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Fitch Ratings Affirms AES Clesa's Ratings.


Business Editors

CHICAGO-(BUSINESS WIRE)--March 26, 2002--Fitch Ratings has affirmed af·firm  
v. af·firmed, af·firm·ing, af·firms

v.tr.
1. To declare positively or firmly; maintain to be true.

2. To support or uphold the validity of; confirm.

v.intr.
 the 'BB+' foreign currency rating and 'BBB-' local currency rating of AES Clesa y Compania, S. en C. de C.V. (AES Clesa). The 'BB+' and 'BBB-' ratings also apply to AES Clesa's outstanding US$25 million senior notes (unenhanced) and US$40 million senior notes enhanced by political risk insurance provided by Zurich U.S. Political Risk, respectively.

AES Clesa's local currency rating is based on its low business risk profile, efficient operations, stable cash flow generation, and constructive regulatory environment. AES Clesa's regulated electricity distribution operations provide the company with a stable, predictable cash flow stream that lowers business risk and cash flow volatility.

AES Clesa's electric distribution business is essentially operated as natural monopoly In economics, the term monopoly is used to refer to two different things. This has been a source of some ambiguity in discussions of "natural monopoly".[1] The two definitions follow:
  • An industry is said to be a natural monopoly
 in El Salvador El Salvador (ĕl sälväthōr`), officially Republic of El Salvador, republic (2005 est. pop. 6,705,000), 8,260 sq mi (21,393 sq km), Central America. . Although the concession is not exclusive, competition from other distributors has been and is expected to be limited. Customers are eligible to choose their electricity supplier, however any switching of suppliers should not materially impact the company's cash flow as distribution tariffs This is a list of tariffs and trade legislation:
  • List of tariffs in Canada
  • List of tariffs in United States
  • List of tariffs in India
  • List of tariffs in China
  • List of tariffs in Russia
 would continue to be collected if the distribution grid is used. Management's strategy is to improve customer service, lower costs, and enhance revenues, which should help improve the company's competitive and business positions.

The company's service territory is located in the rapidly growing western portion of El Salvador. However, during 2001, electricity demand actually contracted by 1.8% compared to growth of 6.9% in 2000. The temporary change in growth was primarily due to a slowdown For articles with similar titles, see Slow Down (disambiguation).
A slowdown is an industrial action in which employees perform their duties but seek to reduce productivity or efficiency in their performance of these duties.
 in economic activity following two severe earthquakes in January January: see month.  and February February: see month.  2001 and the high volatility of electricity prices, which drove some companies to switch to co-generation or self-generation. Also, actual consumption by AES Clesa's customers declined due to an inability to supply some large clients in the free zones because of problems with the replacement of a damaged transformer transformer, electrical device used to transfer an alternating current or voltage from one electric circuit to another by means of electromagnetic induction. . The effects of the earthquake are past and the problem with the transformer has been resolved.

AES Clesa operates in a constructive, yet new and untested regulatory environment. Distribution tariffs were originally set by the El Salvador regulators in 1998 and were to be reset every four years. The distribution tariffs are designed to provide a return on investment based on the expected cost structure of a model distribution company. The four-year reset was recently postponed by one year, until January 2003, due to the earthquakes in 2001. The tariff tariff, tax on imported and, more rarely, exported goods. It is also called a customs duty. Tariffs may be distinguished from other taxes in that their predominant purpose is not financial but economic—not to increase a nation's revenue but to protect domestic  reset will be based on a new methodology in El Salvador, but is the same as is used in Chile, Peru, Argentina, and Panama.

In addition to the four-year reset, tariffs are adjusted annually based on changes in inflation and exchange rate, and more frequently for changes in electricity prices. The government also recently changed the electricity law to allow for monthly adjustment of electricity prices to better reflect fluctuations of hydrology hydrology, study of water and its properties, including its distribution and movement in and through the land areas of the earth. The hydrologic cycle consists of the passage of water from the oceans into the atmosphere by evaporation and transpiration (or  and fuel prices. The monthly adjustment should better match tariffs with costs, limiting the lag effect and providing a more stable gross operating income Operating Income

The profit realized from a business' own operations.

Notes:
This would not include income from things such as investments in other firms. Also referred to as operating profit or recurring profit.
 level.

AES Clesa seeks to limit its exposure to the volatile spot market by covering the majority of anticipated demand through supply contracts with generators and imports from Guatemala. Going into 2001, the company had contracted for 95% of its expected demand. However, this strategy negatively affected the company in 2001 due to the effects of the earthquake, which left the company in a temporary over-contracted position at various times. Since supply contract prices are directly referenced to the tariffs, not spot prices, AES Clesa was forced to sell its over contracted energy into the spot market at lower prices. AES Clesa expects to purchase an average of 85% of anticipated demand under contract going forward to reduce its exposure to future potential drops in demand.

Consolidated EBITDA-to-interest coverage ratios have been pressured recently reflecting lower demand in 2001, increased energy purchase costs related to its over contracted position and an inability to import the normal amount of energy from Guatemala resulting in supplemental purchases from the Salvadorian spot market at higher prices. Credit protection measures should improve to levels consistent with the rating category based on more normal operating conditions and a more conservative power purchasing strategy. AES Clesa is also expected to benefit in 2002 from higher distribution tariffs, which were adjusted effective January 2002. The company estimates that the tariff increase should add approximately US$2 million to annual revenues and cash flow. A tariff reduction may result at the time of the 5-year reset, effective January 2003. Total debt-to-capital is moderately leveraged at 60% and is expected to be relatively stable reflecting constant debt levels and equity base.

The ratings of AES Clesa incorporate the economic, political and other sovereign risks Sovereign Risk

The risk that a foreign central bank will alter its foreign-exchange regulations thereby significantly reducing or completely nulling the value of foreign-exchange contracts.
 inherent in investments in El Salvador. While the local currency rating on the transaction is based on the credit strength of AES Clesa, the foreign currency rating is constrained con·strain  
tr.v. con·strained, con·strain·ing, con·strains
1. To compel by physical, moral, or circumstantial force; oblige: felt constrained to object. See Synonyms at force.

2.
 by El Salvador's 'BB+' foreign currency rating.
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Copyright 2002, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Mar 26, 2002
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