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Fitch Rates Illinois $290MM GO Refunding Bonds 'AA'.

NEW YORK New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
 -- Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings

An international rating agency for financial institutions, insurance companies, and corporate, sovereign, and municipal debt. Fitch Ratings has headquarters in New York and London and is wholly owned by FIMALAC of Paris.
 assigns an 'AA' rating to approximately $290 million State of Illinois general obligation bonds (GOs), refunding series of June 2006. The bonds, maturing Jan. 1, 2007-2021, are expected to sell through negotiation with a syndicate led by Loop Capital Markets as early as tomorrow. Fitch also affirms the 'AA' rating of $20.5 billion outstanding Illinois long-term GOs. The Rating Outlook remains Negative.

Illinois' 'AA' rating is based on the breadth and wealth of its economy, which is now gaining momentum, its moderate debt burden, and improving revenue performance. The Negative Rating Outlook reflects continued financial constraints, as evidenced by a budgetary basis deficit which has persisted for many years. The statutory plan to address Illinois massive unfunded and long-standing pension liability calls for the state's contribution to grow from $1.4 billion now to $3.8 billion in 2010; the increase is equal to about 9% of the present total expenditure level. Revenues are exceeding estimates this year and both capital and expenditure growth has been restrained. However, Fitch believes that barring a significant revenue increase or a substantial reduction in expenditures, Illinois will be unable to follow its own plan to contain the $39 billion unfunded pension liability. This intractable problem, including cash flow pressures, is apt to impair credit quality.

Illinois' economy has gradually gained momentum since it began posting year-over-year job gains in the summer of 2004. April employment was 0.9% over one year prior, although it still lags the U.S. growth rate and is significantly below the 2000 peak. Job growth has been strongest in the Chicago region, and in the leisure, professional services (job) professional services - A department of a supplier providing consultancy and programming manpower for the supplier's products. , and finance sectors. Manufacturing continues to decline, as it has throughout the Great Lakes region The Great Lakes region can refer to:
  • Great Lakes region (North America)
  • African Great Lakes region
. Manufacturing jobs have declined each year since 1998, and are off nearly 25% since that date. Income growth improved last year, but still remains comparatively sluggish. Per capita [Latin, By the heads or polls.] A term used in the Descent and Distribution of the estate of one who dies without a will. It means to share and share alike according to the number of individuals.  personal income in Illinois is 104% of the U.S., ranking the state 14th among the states.

As the economy has improved, so have state revenue collections. Fiscal 2005 collections were 8% above 2004, led by strong personal and corporate income taxes. Through May 31, fiscal 2006 state revenue growth is 6.8%, with net individual income taxes up 8.2% and sales tax sales tax, levy on the sale of goods or services, generally calculated as a percentage of the selling price, and sometimes called a purchase tax. It is usually collected in the form of an extra charge by the retailer, who remits the tax to the government.  up 7% over 2005. Expenditure growth has been limited. Cash balances, including the stabilization fund Stabilization fund may refer to:
  • Exchange Stabilization Fund
  • Stabilization Fund of the Russian Federation
  • Petroleum Fund of Norway (SPF)
  • Chile's Copper Stabilization Fund (CSF)
  • Oman's State General Reserve Fund (SGRF)
, rose to $773 million, or 2.9% of general funds receipts in fiscal 2005 and are projected to rise to $790 million in fiscal 2006. Medicaid payables, a long-time problem for the state, remain high although the fiscal 2006 supplemental budget addresses this in part by appropriating $250 million from special funds to reduce the payables balance by approximately $490 million including the federal match. Medicaid payables are projected to end fiscal 2006 at about 56 days. Large accounts payable and accrued liabilities Accrued liabilities are liabilities which have occurred, but have not been paid or logged under accounts payable during an accounting period; in other words, obligations for goods and services provided to a company for which invoices have not yet been received.  have created a large GAAP GAAP

See: Generally Accepted Accounting Principles


GAAP

See generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP).
 undesignated general fund balance deficit, which equaled $2.6 billion, or 10.1% of annual general fund revenues, at the end of fiscal 2004. Fiscal 2005 GAAP results are not available although state officials expect a fiscal 2005 audit to be published this summer.

Authorized fiscal 2007 operating spending of $25.8 billion is 5.2% above that projected for fiscal 2006. Projected state source revenues of $23.3 billion is 3% over fiscal 2006, using conservatively projected income tax growth of 2.9% and sales tax growth of 3.1%. The Governor has announced his intention to propose a sale of the state's lottery to fund additional education spending over multiple years. Other asset sales are also under consideration.

The pension bonds, issued in 2003, increased the state's tax-supported debt to an upper moderate level. Tax-supported debt, at $23.7 billion, equals 5.1% of personal income. Excluding pension debt not used for budgetary purposes, debt equals a more modest 3.4% of personal income, reflecting disciplined debt issuance for capital purposes. The current issue is for refunding purposes only.

Still, one of the state's challenges remains the funding of its pensions. As of June 30, 2005, unfunded accrued actuarial ac·tu·ar·y  
n. pl. ac·tu·ar·ies
A statistician who computes insurance risks and premiums.



[Latin
 liability was $38.6 billion, resulting in a 60% funded ratio. While this ratio improved after the 2003 financing and the benefit reforms of 2005, partial pension funding holidays and market performance have constrained con·strain  
tr.v. con·strained, con·strain·ing, con·strains
1. To compel by physical, moral, or circumstantial force; oblige: felt constrained to object. See Synonyms at force.

2.
 further funding improvement.

Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use Terms of Use are rules set up by the owner of an intellectual property or service to govern how they may be legally used.

In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide.
 of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, 'www.fitchratings.com'. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental  are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site.
COPYRIGHT 2006 Business Wire
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Copyright 2006, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Jun 13, 2006
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