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Fitch Puts Abitibi on Rating Watch Positive and Bowater on Rating Watch Evolving.


CHICAGO -- Fitch has placed the ratings of Abitibi Consolidated Inc. (ABY) and Bowater Inc. (BOW) on Rating Watch Positive and Evolving, respectively, following the companies' joint announcement of an intent to merge in an all stock transaction. Fitch rates ABY's debt as follows:

--Issuer Default Rate 'B+';

--Senior unsecured debt Unsecured debt

Debt that does not identify specific assets that the debtholder is entitled to in case of default.
 'B+/RR4';

--Secured bank debt 'BB-/RR3'.

Fitch rates BOW's debt as follows:

--Issuer Default Rate 'BB-';

--Senior unsecured debt 'BB-';

--Secured bank debt 'BB'.

ABY and BOW have overlapping footprints in newsprint newsprint

low grade paper used for newspapers. Old newspapers are fed to cattle as an alternative roughage and may occasionally be ingested by dogs. Significant amounts of lead are accumulated in tissues; no cases of poisoning have been recorded in cattle, though it has been
 and supercalendered papers and lumber lumber, term for timber that has been cut into boards for use as a building material. The major steps in producing lumber involve logging (the felling and preparation of timber for shipment to sawmills), sawing the logs into boards, grading the boards according to . ABY makes and sells about 3.4 million metric tonnes of newsprint per year compared to BOW's 2.2 million metric tonnes. Both companies make specialty and supercalendered grades (ABY: 1.7 million metric tonnes, BOW: 0.9 million short tons), and each manufactures lumber in Canada (ABY: 1.9 billion board feet, BOW: 1.0 billion board feet). In addition BOW makes light-weight coated grades of paper, primarily at its newly converted mill in Catawba, SC and manufactures and sells about one million metric tonnes of market pulp per year.

Fitch believes the merger is a positive step forward for both companies. Paper mill locations are complementary and lend support to an estimated US$250 million in cost synergies Cost Synergy

In the context of mergers, cost synergy is the savings in operating costs expected after two companies, who compliment each other's strengths, join.

Notes:
The savings in operating costs usually come in the form of laying off employees.
 to be gained by employing the 'best practices' of each. These encompass not only manufacturing but also procurement The fancy word for "purchasing." The procurement department within an organization manages all the major purchases.  and delivery and extend to lumber operations as well. Moreover, the combination will provide the companies a stronger platform to compete in the challenging newsprint industry, which witnessed a 6.3% decline in consumption last year. It will also help address cost inflation, which is largely responsible for last year's record high newsprint prices. The consolidation will allow the Number 1 (ABY) and Number 2 (BOW) newsprint producers on the continent to find collaborative solutions that deal with North America's shift to the internet for information, likely at more reasonable costs than if each were to forge ahead independently. Offsetting the positive aspects of the merger is the high leverage of both companies amid deteriorating de·te·ri·o·rate  
v. de·te·ri·o·rat·ed, de·te·ri·o·rat·ing, de·te·ri·o·rates

v.tr.
To diminish or impair in quality, character, or value:
 industry fundamentals.

The merger will require shareholders' approval and the blessing of regulatory authorities Noun 1. regulatory authority - a governmental agency that regulates businesses in the public interest
regulatory agency

administrative body, administrative unit - a unit with administrative responsibilities
 in both Canada and the U.S. Approvals by the latter could extend the timetable for the merger (likely the least significant consequence) and conditions for approval could affect the benefits of the merger (potentially a significant consequence). As the merger moves forward, the financial risks to investors will become clearer and will be evaluated by Fitch. Until the merger is consummated both companies will operate independently and conduct their financial affairs to reduce debt through available cash flow and announced asset sales.

Through the third quarter of last year, ABY had total debt outstanding of almost US$4.3 billion, including asset securitizations. The company's 12 month rolling EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) A metric used to show a company's profitability, but not its cash flow. EBITDA became popular in the 1980s to show the potential profitability of leveraged buyouts, but has become , calculated by Fitch, was C$563 million. BOW had US$2.4 billion in debt outstanding at Sept. 30, 2006; 12 month rolling EBITDA was US$379 million.

Fitch's rating definitions and terms of use Terms of Use are rules set up by the owner of an intellectual property or service to govern how they may be legally used.

In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide.
 of such ratings are available on the agency's public web site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental  are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site.
COPYRIGHT 2007 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2007, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Jan 30, 2007
Words:556
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