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Fitch Places MetEd and PenElec on Rating Watch Negative.


NEW YORK New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
 -- Fitch has placed the debt securities of Metropolitan Edison Co. (MetEd) and Pennsylvania Electric Co. (PenElec) on Rating Watch Negative. The rating action reflects the higher commodity exposure and business risk that would result from the possible termination of the existing power supply contract with wholesale power supply affiliate FirstEnergy Solutions (FES) and the increased likelihood that Pennsylvania regulators will reject the generation rate cap adjustments proposed by the utilities. The ratings of parent company FirstEnergy Corp (FE; IDR IDR

In currencies, this is the abbreviation for the Indonesian Rupiah.

Notes:
The currency market, also known as the Foreign Exchange market, is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average volume of over US $1 trillion.
 'BBB-' by Fitch) are unaffected by the rating action. The utilities' ratings are summarized below.

On Oct. 31, 2006, the administrative law judges administrative law judge n. a professional hearing officer who works for the government to preside over hearings and appeals involving governmental agencies. They are generally experienced in the particular subject matter of the agency involved or of several agencies.  (ALJs) issued their recommended decision in MetEd and PenElec's pending rate case rejecting key elements of the utilities' proposed transition plan which, among other things, would have increased generation rate caps prior to the end of the utilities' transition plans on Dec. 31, 2010. Earlier this year, FES, an affiliate of MetEd and PenElec and subsidiary of FE, filed notice with the utilities of its intent to terminate their wholesale power sales agreement effective midnight Dec. 31, 2006. Subsequently, FES amended the wholesale power sales agreement requiring PenElec and MetEd to procure To cause something to happen; to find and obtain something or someone.

Procure refers to commencing a proceeding; bringing about a result; persuading, inducing, or causing a person to do a particular act; obtaining possession or control over an item; or making a person
 approximately 33% of their uncommitted provider of last resort obligation of approximately 2.8 million megawatt meg·a·watt  
n. Abbr. MW
One million watts.



mega·watt
 hours (mwh) through a request for proposal (RFP (Request For Proposal) A document that invites a vendor to submit a bid for hardware, software and/or services. It may provide a general or very detailed specification of the system.

1. (business) RFP - Request for Proposal.
2.
). FES retains the right to cancel the revised contract with 60 days notice. The RFP was completed in September 2006 at prices above the utilities' standard offer rate. Fitch estimates the shortfall is approximately $70 million-$100 million annually, which will pressure cash flow and credit metrics metrics Managed care A popular term for standards by which the quality of a product, service, or outcome of a particular form of Pt management is evaluated. See TQM.  in the near term.

If the power sales contract Sales Contract

Contract between a seller and buyer for the sale of goods, services, or both.
, which supplies approximately 25%-30% of the combined loads of PenElec and MetEd at a price in the mid-$40 mwh range, were cancelled in its entirety, Fitch estimates that MetEd and PenElec's combined procurement costs would exceed the fixed price standard offer tariffs by approximately $200 million-$300 million annually in 2007 and 2008, assuming market prices of $70-$80 per mwh, with the exposure growing thereafter as other supply agreements roll off. Moreover, continuation of the rate cap in a high commodity cost environment sets the stage for significant post-transition rate increases and potential political resistance to rate hikes in 2011.

Fitch notes that the ALJs' recommendation does not bind the PUC (Public Utility Commission) A regulatory body in every state in the U.S. that governs public utilities within its jurisdiction such as electricity, gas, oil, sewer, water, transportation and telephone service. Some states call it the Public Service Commission (PSC). . Nonetheless, the probability that the commission will reverse the ALJs to allow a phase-in of higher generation rates as proposed by FE is small, in Fitch's opinion. In addition, the recommended transmission and distribution rate increases for MetEd and PenElec included in the ALJs recommendation are significantly less than the amounts requested by the utilities. If the commission adopts a final order consistent with the ALJs' recommendation, credit rating downgrades are likely to follow. A final commission order is expected in January 2007.

MetEd and PenElec filed their rate case in April 2006 requesting rate increases ranging from 19%-24% and 15%- 19%, respectively, based on preferred and alternative proposals included in their comprehensive transition plan filings. Under the ALJs' recommended decision, MetEd and PenElec revenues would be increased $10.6 million and $26.4 million, respectively, compared to requested amounts of $216 million-$269 million and $157 million-$206 million.

MetEd

-- Issuer Default Rating (IDR) 'BBB-';

-- First mortgage bonds 'BBB+';

-- Senior unsecured 'BBB';

-- Short-term rating 'F3'.

PenElec

-- IDR 'BBB-';

-- First mortgage bonds 'BBB+';

-- Senior unsecured 'BBB';

-- Short-term rating 'F3'.

Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use Terms of Use are rules set up by the owner of an intellectual property or service to govern how they may be legally used.

In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide.
 of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental  are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site.
COPYRIGHT 2006 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2006, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Nov 22, 2006
Words:633
Previous Article:Fitch Rates Babylon, New York Series 2006 Bonds 'A'; Upgrades Outstanding GOs to 'A'.
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