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Fitch Initiates Rating Outlooks on U.S. State GOs.


NEW YORK New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
 -- Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings

An international rating agency for financial institutions, insurance companies, and corporate, sovereign, and municipal debt. Fitch Ratings has headquarters in New York and London and is wholly owned by FIMALAC of Paris.
 assigns initial Rating Outlooks to U.S. state A U.S. state is any one of the fifty subnational entities of the United States, although four states use the official title "commonwealth". The separate state governments and the federal government share sovereignty, in that an American is a citizen both of the federal entity and  general obligation (GO) ratings (see list at end) and assigns an overall Stable Rating Outlook to the sector. Other tax-supported state debt ratings are not being assigned Rating Outlooks now, but will be in the near future. Most states are assigned Stable Rating Outlooks, three are assigned Negative Rating Outlooks, and one is assigned a Positive Rating Outlook. Positive or Negative Rating Outlooks indicate that a rating change is likely, although not inevitable, over the next one to two years. Importantly, the specific state Rating Outlooks reflect economic and fiscal conditions that may have existed for some time, and are not necessarily reactions to recent events such as proposed budgets under consideration. Nevertheless, future governmental decisions and economic events could determine rating directions.

For Louisiana (rated 'A') the state has taken timely and prudent balancing actions in response to the effects of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. Reserves are large and revenues have far exceeded downwardly revised estimates Revised estimate

The third estimate of GDP released about three months after the measurement period.
 following the storms. However, economic and property losses have been tremendous, and the extent and timing of the rebuilding of the New Orleans New Orleans (ôr`lēənz –lənz, ôrlēnz`), city (2006 pop. 187,525), coextensive with Orleans parish, SE La., between the Mississippi River and Lake Pontchartrain, 107 mi (172 km) by water from the river mouth; founded  area remain uncertain. Due to this uncertainty, the state's rating is assigned a Negative Rating Outlook, and the rating is affirmed af·firm  
v. af·firmed, af·firm·ing, af·firms

v.tr.
1. To declare positively or firmly; maintain to be true.

2. To support or uphold the validity of; confirm.

v.intr.
 at 'A' and removed from Rating Watch Negative, where it was originally placed on Sept. 12, 2005. The rating was downgraded to 'A' from 'A+' on Dec. 1, 2005 following the hurricanes.

The Negative Rating Outlook on Michigan (rated 'AA') considers the prospects of massive downsizing (1) Converting mainframe and mini-based systems to client/server LANs.

(2) To reduce equipment and associated costs by switching to a less-expensive system.

(jargon) downsizing
 and uncertainty in the domestic auto industry, which dominates manufacturing employment in this state. The current rating for the state reflects its lower moderate debt burden and strong fiscal management, including the demonstrated ability to maintain balanced operations despite recessionary conditions now entering a sixth year.

Illinois (rated 'AA') is assigned a Negative Rating Outlook, primarily reflecting the state's large anticipated fiscal challenges, despite recently improved revenue performance. Illinois must confront its massive unfunded pension liability; large increases in pension funding requirements begin in the next budget cycle in order to contain further growth in this liability.

California (rated 'A') is assigned a Positive Rating Outlook, reflecting general economic and revenue improvement and progress in reducing its structural imbalances, although the final outcome of the proposed budget could affect rating direction.

The overall Stable Rating Outlook for state ratings reflects a favorable fa·vor·a·ble  
adj.
1. Advantageous; helpful: favorable winds.

2. Encouraging; propitious: a favorable diagnosis.

3.
 economic picture and continued positive revenue performance. Strong revenue growth, which, in many situations, has been fueled by strength in corporate income, capital gains, and real estate, is expected to be less robust going forward. Reserves are being rebuilt despite rapid increases in health care and pension costs, continued education funding requirements, and other pent-up demands. Continued weakness in manufacturing and the slowing in real estate are not expected to derail de·rail  
intr. & tr.v. de·railed, de·rail·ing, de·rails
1. To run or cause to run off the rails.

2.
 economic recovery, although their effects may be more pronounced in certain states. Nonetheless, with revenue gains expected to moderate, fixed costs fixed costs,
n.pl the costs that do not change to meet fluctuations in enrollment or in use of services (e.g., salaries, rent, business license fees, and depreciation).
 on the rise, mounting pressures for tax relief in many states, and expanding debt and infrastructure requirements, states will continue to face financial pressures.

For more information, see Fitch Research dated April 13, 2006, available on the Fitch Ratings web site at www.fitchratings.com. The report contains additional explanations of the Rating Outlooks and a credit summary for each state.

Fitch rates the following:

Alabama

--GOs 'AA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Alaska

--GOs 'AA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

California

--GOs 'A';

--Rating Outlook Positive.

Connecticut

--GOs 'AA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Delaware

--GOs 'AAA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Florida

--GOs 'AA+';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Georgia

--GOs 'AAA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Hawaii

--GOs 'AA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Illinois

--GOs 'AA';

--Rating Outlook Negative.

Iowa

--GOs 'AA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Louisiana

--GOs 'A';

--Rating Outlook Negative (removed from Rating Watch Negative).

Maine

--GOs 'AA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Maryland

--GOs 'AAA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Massachusetts

--GOs 'AA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Michigan

--GOs 'AA';

--Rating Outlook Negative.

Minnesota

--GOs 'AAA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Mississippi

--GOs 'AA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Missouri

--GOs 'AAA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Nevada

--GOs 'AA+';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

New Hampshire New Hampshire, one of the New England states of the NE United States. It is bordered by Massachusetts (S), Vermont, with the Connecticut R. forming the boundary (W), the Canadian province of Quebec (NW), and Maine and a short strip of the Atlantic Ocean (E).  

--GOs 'AA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

New Jersey

--GOs 'AA-';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

New York

--GOs 'AA-';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

North Carolina North Carolina, state in the SE United States. It is bordered by the Atlantic Ocean (E), South Carolina and Georgia (S), Tennessee (W), and Virginia (N). Facts and Figures


Area, 52,586 sq mi (136,198 sq km). Pop.
 

--GOs 'AAA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Ohio

--GOs 'AA+';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Oklahoma

--GOs 'AA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Oregon

--GOs 'AA-';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Pennsylvania

--GOs 'AA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Rhode Island Rhode Island, island, United States
Rhode Island, island, 15 mi (24 km) long and 5 mi (8 km) wide, S R.I., at the entrance to Narragansett Bay. It is the largest island in the state, with steep cliffs and excellent beaches.
 

--GOs 'AA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

South Carolina South Carolina, state of the SE United States. It is bordered by North Carolina (N), the Atlantic Ocean (SE), and Georgia (SW). Facts and Figures


Area, 31,055 sq mi (80,432 sq km). Pop. (2000) 4,012,012, a 15.
 

--GOs 'AAA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Tennessee

--GOs 'AA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Texas

--GOs 'AA+';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Utah

--GOs 'AAA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Vermont

--GOs 'AA+';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Virginia

--GOs 'AAA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Washington

--GOs 'AA';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

West Virginia West Virginia, E central state of the United States. It is bordered by Pennsylvania and Maryland (N), Virginia (E and S), and Kentucky and, across the Ohio R., Ohio (W). Facts and Figures


Area, 24,181 sq mi (62,629 sq km). Pop.
 

--GOs 'AA-';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Wisconsin

--GOs 'AA-';

--Rating Outlook Stable.

Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use Terms of Use are rules set up by the owner of an intellectual property or service to govern how they may be legally used.

In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide.
 of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental  are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site.
COPYRIGHT 2006 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2006, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Apr 13, 2006
Words:855
Previous Article:Fitch Affirms & Removes Certain Louisiana Credits from Rating Watch Negative.
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