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Fitch Downgrades AEP Texas Central to 'BBB'; Outlook to Negative; Affirms AEP & Subs; Outlook Stable.


CHICAGO -- Fitch has downgraded the ratings of AEP AEP - Application Environment Profile  Texas Central (TCC TCC The Car Connection (web site)
TCC Tidewater Community College
TCC Tallahassee Community College
TCC Temporary Continuation of Coverage
TCC Tucson Convention Center (Tucson, AZ, USA) 
) and affirmed the outstanding ratings for American Electric Power American Electric Power (NYSE: AEP) is a major investor-owner electric utility in various parts of the United States. It is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio. It serves parts of 11 states, and is currently the largest electricity generating utility in the United States.  Co. (NYSE NYSE

See: New York Stock Exchange
: AEP) and the remaining eight subsidiaries. The Rating Outlook for TCC is revised to Negative from Stable. Fitch has concurrently revised the Rating Outlook for AEP Texas North (TNC (hardware) TNC - A threaded version of a BNC. ) to Stable from Negative. The Rating Outlook for all other entities is Stable. A detailed list of ratings is shown below. Approximately $14.5 billion of debt is affected.

Ratings downgraded:

TCC

--Issuer Default Rating (IDR IDR

In currencies, this is the abbreviation for the Indonesian Rupiah.

Notes:
The currency market, also known as the Foreign Exchange market, is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average volume of over US $1 trillion.
) to 'BBB' from 'BBB+';

--Senior Secured Debt to 'A-' from 'A';

--Senior Unsecured Debt to 'BBB+' from 'A-';

--Preferred Stock to 'BBB' from 'BBB+'.

Ratings affirmed:

AEP

-- Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BBB';

--Senior Unsecured Debt at 'BBB';

--Commercial Paper at 'F2'.

TNC

--Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BBB+';

--Senior Secured Debt at 'A';

--Senior Unsecured Debt at 'A-';

--Preferred Stock at 'BBB+'.

Appalachian Power Co. (APC (1) (American Power Conversion Corporation, West Kingston, RI, www.apcc.com) The leading manufacturer of UPS systems and surge suppressors, founded in 1981 by Rodger Dowdell, Neil Rasmussen and Emanual Landsman, three electronic power engineers who had worked at MIT. )

-- Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BBB';

--Senior Secured Debt at 'A-';

--Senior Unsecured Debt at 'BBB+';

--Preferred Stock at 'BBB';

Columbus Southern Power Co. (CSP (1) (Certified Systems Professional) An earlier award for successful completion of an ICCP examination in systems development. See ICCP.

(2) (Commerce Service P
)

-- Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BBB+';

--Senior Unsecured Debt at 'A-';

--Commercial Paper at 'F2'.

Indiana Michigan Power Co. (IMP)

-- Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BBB-';

--Senior Unsecured Debt at 'BBB';

--Commercial Paper at 'F2'.

Kentucky Power Co. (KPC "Keeping parents clueless." See digispeak. )

--Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BBB-';

--Senior Unsecured Debt at 'BBB';

--Commercial Paper at 'F2'.

Ohio Power Co. (OPC (1) (OpenGL Performance Characterization) A project group within GPC that manages OpenGL benchmarks. OPC endorses the Viewperf and GLperf benchmarks. Viewperf was created by IBM and OPC provides viewsets for it, which are combinations of tests using specific )

--Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BBB';

--Senior Unsecured Debt at 'BBB+';

--Preferred Stock at 'BBB';

--Commercial Paper at 'F2'.

Public Service Company of Oklahoma (PSO PSO - Oracle Parallel Server )

--Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BBB+';

--Senior Unsecured Debt at 'A-';

--Preferred Stock at 'BBB+'.

Southwestern Electric Power Co. (SWEPCO SWEPCO Southwestern Petroleum Corporation (Fort Worth, TX)
SWEPCO South West Electric Power Company
SWEPCO Solar & Wind Electric Power Company (UK) 
)

--Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BBB+';

--Senior Secured Debt at 'A';

--Senior Unsecured Debt at 'A-';

--Preferred Stock at 'BBB+'.

TCC's downgrade reflects credit protection measures that are more consistent with the lower rating category. TCC experienced reduced earnings and cash flow due to a decline in wholesale revenues as contracts with large customers expired. At the same time, the company had non-cash carrying costs related to the delays in completing its planned securitization that negatively impacted credit coverages. TCC's $1.7 billion securitization was completed in October 2006. Additionally, TCC's cash flow declined in 2006 following the company's exit from the generation business and associated removal of AEP power pool profits. The Negative Rating Outlook reflects Fitch's expectation that credit metrics at the company will continue to be weak for the 'BBB' rating category absent a favorable outcome in TCC's pending rate case in Texas, where the company has requested an $82.7 million increase. Fitch views the Texas regulatory environment as being somewhat challenging for wires companies operating in the state. A final order is expected in October 2007.

The ratings affirmation for AEP and the remaining subsidiaries take into account the stable cash flow and earnings base generated from the regulated utility operations, a solid competitive position derived from low-cost coal-fired generation assets. The ratings also reflect leverage that is at the high end for the ratings category at the parent company and at some of the subsidiaries. Consolidated leverage, as measured by the ratio of Debt to EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) A metric used to show a company's profitability, but not its cash flow. EBITDA became popular in the 1980s to show the potential profitability of leveraged buyouts, but has become , was 4.1x at year-end 2006, and is forecasted by Fitch to remain near those levels over the next several years. This increase in leverage has been anticipated as a sizeable portion of the company's large capital expenditure program will likely be funded with debt. However, Fitch notes that AEP's current and forecasted credit metrics should be able to withstand these higher levels of debt at current ratings, assuming reasonable rate recovery in various rate filings.

Annual consolidated capital investments are expected to average $3.3 billion through 2010, the bulk of which will be spent on ongoing infrastructure replacement and environmental compliance. Inadequate rate recovery of these costs at the utility subsidiary level could place ratings pressure on the affected subsidiaries (APC, CSP, KPC, OPC, PSO and SWEPCO) and possibly the parent. Additionally, while AEP has had resolution to several rate issues over the past year, several outstanding regulatory issues remain, in particular in Virginia, West Virginia, Texas, Indiana, Oklahoma and at the FERC FERC Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
FERC FEMA Emergency Response Capability
. In addition, the market structure in Ohio following the expiration of the current rate stabilization plans in 2009 is uncertain. Fitch's ratings and Stable Outlook include an expectation of reasonable outcomes to these issues, however adverse regulatory decisions may negatively impact the affected subsidiaries and potentially the parent.

The Stable Rating Outlook also reflects Fitch's expectation that AEP will continue to benefit from stable and predictable cash flows from its regulated operations, an overall continuation of generally balanced regulatory environments, and that the company will receive timely and appropriate recovery of capital expenditures during the more active construction period.

AEP delivers electricity to more than five million customers in 11 states, including Ohio, Indiana, West Virginia, Virginia, Kentucky, Michigan, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Texas, Louisiana and Arkansas.

Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use Terms of Use are rules set up by the owner of an intellectual property or service to govern how they may be legally used.

In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide.
 of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental  are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site.
COPYRIGHT 2007 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2007, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Apr 17, 2007
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