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Fitch Downgrades $156.5MM from 1 New Century Second Lien Deal.


NEW YORK New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
 -- Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings

An international rating agency for financial institutions, insurance companies, and corporate, sovereign, and municipal debt. Fitch Ratings has headquarters in New York and London and is wholly owned by FIMALAC of Paris.
 has taken the following rating actions on one New Century mortgage pass-through certificate Pass-through Certificate

Fixed-income securities that represent an undivided interest in a pool of federally insured mortgages put together by the Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae).
 transaction. Downgrades total $156.5 million. Break Loss percentages (BL) and Loss Coverage Ratios (LCR See least cost routing. ) for each class, rated 'B' or higher, are included with the rating actions as follows:

New Century 2006-S1

--$53.6 million class A-1 downgraded to 'B' from 'BBB-' (BL: 50.23, LCR: 0.88);

--$32.7 million class A-2a downgraded to 'B' from 'AAA' (BL: 50.23, LCR: 0.88);

--$33.1 million class A-2b downgraded to 'B' from 'BBB-' (BL: 50.23, LCR: 0.88);

--$37.0 million class M-1 downgraded to 'C/DR6' from 'B+';

--$22.5 million class M-2 remains at 'C/DR6';

--$5.7 million class M-3 remains at 'C/DR6';

--$6.2 million class M-4 remains at 'C/DR6';

--$744,414 class M-5 remains at 'C/DR6';

--$0.0 class M-6 remains at 'C/DR6';

--$0.0 class M-7 remains at 'C/DR6';

--$0.0 class M-8 remains at 'C/DR6'.

Deal Summary

--Originators: 100% New Century;

--60+ day Delinquency: 26.94%;

--Realized Losses to date (% of Original Balance): 15.56%;

--Expected Remaining Losses (% of Current Balance): 57.32%;

--Cumulative Expected Losses (% of Original Balance): 50.75%.

While Fitch's analysis takes into consideration the sequential distribution of principal to the senior classes, under Fitch's revised base-case expectation the senior tranche will become under-collateralized prior to any of the senior classes paying off in full. Once the senior tranche has become under-collateralized, the distribution of principal to the senior classes will become pro rata [Latin, Proportionately.] A phrase that describes a division made according to a certain rate, percentage, or share.

In a Bankruptcy case, when the debtor is insolvent, creditors generally agree to accept a pro rata share of what is owed to them.
. For that reason, Fitch does not make a distinction in long-term credit risk among the senior classes for this particular transaction.

In addition, the rating actions are based on changes that Fitch has made to its subprime loss forecasting assumptions. The updated assumptions better capture the deteriorating performance of pools from 2007, 2006, and late 2005 with regard to continued poor loan performance and home price weakness. Minimum LCRs specifically for subprime second lien A Second lien financing is a form of financing secured on a second ranking basis by (more or less) the same security, which secures the first ranking financing. The first lien lenders and the second lien lenders agree that, in the event of a security enforcement or bankruptcy, the  transactions are as follows: 'AAA': 2.00; 'AA': 1.75; 'A': 1.50; 'BBB': 1.20; 'BB' 0.95; 'B': 0.75. Additional details are available in the following research, available at www.fitchratings.com:

--'Downgrade Criteria for Recent Vintage U.S. Subprime RMBS' (Aug. 8, 2007);

--'U.S. Subprime RMBS/HEL Upgrade/Downgrade Criteria' (June 12, 2007).

All of Fitch's ratings criteria for US subprime RMBS RMBS Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities
RMBS Rambus, Inc. (NASDAQ stock symbol)
RMBS Russian Mortgage-Backed Securities
, along with a list of deals currently under analysis, are available at www.fitchratings.com/smartview.

Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use Terms of Use are rules set up by the owner of an intellectual property or service to govern how they may be legally used.

In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide.
 of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental  are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site.
COPYRIGHT 2007 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2007, Gale Group. All rights reserved.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Dec 21, 2007
Words:480
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