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Fitch Affirms TXU Corp. at 'BBB-'; Outlook to Stable.


NEW YORK New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
 -- Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings

An international rating agency for financial institutions, insurance companies, and corporate, sovereign, and municipal debt. Fitch Ratings has headquarters in New York and London and is wholly owned by FIMALAC of Paris.
 affirms the ratings of TXU TXU Texas Utilities (Electric and Gas Company)
TXU Transmitter Unit
 Corp (TXU), TXU US Holdings Co. (Holdings), and TXU Energy Co., LLC (Logical Link Control) See "LANs" under data link protocol.

LLC - Logical Link Control
 (Energy) and revises the Rating Outlook for each of these companies to Stable from Negative. The outstanding ratings of TXU Electric Delivery Co. (Delivery) are affirmed and its Rating Outlook remains Stable. (See the list of affected ratings below.)

The revised Rating Outlook for TXU, Holdings, and Energy is based in part based upon significantly improved earnings and cash flow coverage of debt. The Stable Outlook assumes the elimination of the 'price to beat' at the end of 2006 without pricing constraints imposed by any new Texas law, thus enabling TXU's retail business to be the source of a dynamic hedge for Energy. The Stable Outlook also reflects Fitch's expectation of continued success in risk management of its wholesale and retail operations and that the funding for TXU's new power plant development will largely consist of non-recourse debt Non-Recourse Debt

A loan that is secured by some sort of collateral, usually property. The issuer can seize the collateral if the borrower defaults.

Notes:
These types of projects are characterized by high capital expenditures, long loan periods, and uncertain revenue
 and minority equity investments from third parties.

TXU Corp's (TXU's) credit profile benefits from its large fleet of favorably positioned coal and nuclear generating assets in Texas. Fitch notes that improved cash flow and the proceeds from a 2004 securitization Securitization

The process of creating a financial instrument by combining other financial assets and then marketing them to investors.

Notes:
Mortgage backed securities are a perfect example of securitization.

May also be spelled as "securitisation.
 of Texas regulatory assets enabled the company to reduce consolidated leverage, as measured by total debt/EBITDA from 4.0 times (x) at year-end 2003 to 2.2x for the 12-month period ended Sept 30, 2006. Fitch's credit concerns include significant debt at the holding company, exposure to natural gas prices and risks associated with the significant new baseload power plant development plan.

At this time the company is in the advanced planning stage for the construction of 9,100 megawatts (mw) of new coal-fired generation capacity in Texas that will be owned and operated by a newly formed wholesale generating subsidiary, TXU Generation Development Company (TXU DEV). The company obtained commitments for non-recourse debt for the 9,100 mw of new generation. Additionally, TXU plans to sell up to 49% of its equity interest in the facilities to minority owners. Additionally, TXU announced on Nov. 6, 2006 a power strategy that includes the development of 16,000 to 23,000 mw of capacity over time which includes the 9,100 mw of new Texas generation described above. The effect of the development of this planned new build in Texas or any subsequent projects upon the ratings of TXU, the parent, and possibly the other TXU subsidiaries will depend upon Fitch's evaluation of more definitive financing terms, construction agreements and structure, as well as the long-term cash flow implications of the projects.

Factors that could result in negative ratings actions for TXU, Energy, US Holdings, and Delivery include increased debt leverage relative to normalized cash flow from operations Cash flow from operations

A firm's net cash inflow resulting directly from its regular operations (disregarding extraordinary items such as the sale of fixed assets or transaction costs associated with issuing securities), calculated as the sum of net income plus noncash expenses
, or adverse regulatory or competitive developments. In addition, acquisitions or asset disposals resulting in a higher corporate risk profile without a projected improvement in cash flow coverage of debt would be adverse to credit quality. In particular divestiture The breakup of AT&T. By federal court order, AT&T divested itself on January 1, 1984 of its 23 operating companies, which became known as the Regional Bell Operating Companies (RBOCs).  of Delivery without a partial use of proceeds to reduce leverage could have negative ratings implications as the remaining businesses have a higher overall business risk. At the same time, positive rating actions could result from reduced parent debt, or a demonstrated ability to produce strong and recurring re·cur  
intr.v. re·curred, re·cur·ring, re·curs
1. To happen, come up, or show up again or repeatedly.

2. To return to one's attention or memory.

3. To return in thought or discourse.
 cash flow from the competitive businesses throughout the commodity price cycle.

The following ratings have been affirmed with the Rating Outlooks revised to Stable from Negative:

TXU Corp.:

-- Issuer Default Rating (IDR IDR

In currencies, this is the abbreviation for the Indonesian Rupiah.

Notes:
The currency market, also known as the Foreign Exchange market, is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average volume of over US $1 trillion.
) 'BBB-';

-- Senior unsecured 'BBB-';

-- Commercial paper 'F3'.

TXU US Holding Co.:

-- IDR 'BBB-';

-- Senior unsecured 'BBB-'.

TXU Energy Co., LLC

-- IDR 'BBB';

-- Senior unsecured 'BBB';

-- Commercial paper 'F2'.

The following ratings are affirmed with a Stable Rating Outlook:

TXU Electric Delivery Co.:

-- IDR 'BBB';

-- Senior unsecured 'BBB+';

-- Commercial paper 'F2'.

TXU Corp. is a holding company with subsidiaries engaged in the generation, delivery and sale of electricity to both the wholesale and retail customers, primarily in Texas.

Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use Terms of Use are rules set up by the owner of an intellectual property or service to govern how they may be legally used.

In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide.
 of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental  are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site.
COPYRIGHT 2006 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2006, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Nov 30, 2006
Words:715
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