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Fitch Affirms National Collegiate Trust 1997 S-2; Assigns Stable Outlook.


NEW YORK New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
 -- Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings

An international rating agency for financial institutions, insurance companies, and corporate, sovereign, and municipal debt. Fitch Ratings has headquarters in New York and London and is wholly owned by FIMALAC of Paris.
 has affirmed the outstanding rating on the notes issued by National Collegiate Trust (NCT NCT National Childbirth Trust
NCT National Car Test
NCT North Carolina Theatre
NCT National Coordination Team
NCT Northern California TRACON
NCT Noise Cancellation Technology
NCT Network Control and Timing
NCT Nicotine Replacement Therapy
) 1997 S-2. The Rating Outlook is Stable.

Fitch's Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria was used to review the rating of the notes and the affirmation follows a review of the collateral performance that involved the calculation of a loss multiple based on the most recent variables. The affirmation reflects a loss multiple that supports the relevant rating category for the outstanding notes. Despite Fitch's negative view of the private student loan sector in general, a Stable Outlook is assigned because of a sufficiently high loss multiple that is expected to provide rating stability in the next two years.

As of the end of the September 2009 collection period, the cumulative default level is approximately 29.01% of the original total pool loan balance, which is higher than what was expected. However the trust estate has experienced positive excess spread, and total parity has increased since deal closing (December 1997) and is currently 147%, leading to a sufficiently high multiple. The student loan portfolio is seasoned over ten years, and the remaining losses are expected to be relatively small for the remainder of the transaction.

A projected net loss amount based on the latest performance data was compared to available credit enhancement Credit Enhancement

A method whereby a company attempts to improve its debt or credit worthiness.

Notes:
Credit enhancements take many different forms. An example of a credit enhancement would be conversion rights added on to a debt instrument in order to lower the issuing
 to determine the loss multiple. Fitch used historical vintage loss data provided by First Marblehead Inc. to form a loss timing curve representative of the series 1997 S-2 collateral pool. After giving credit for seasoning of loans in repayment, Fitch applied the trust's current cumulative gross loss level to this loss timing curve to derive the expected gross losses over the projected remaining life. No recovery rate was applied, which was also assumed during the transaction's initial review.

Credit enhancement consists of excess spread, a reserve fund and funds held in the collateral proceeds account for the notes. Fitch assumed excess spread to be the lesser of the average historical excess spread (earning on the assets minus interest payments to bondholders and fees) and the most recent 12-month average excess spread, and applied that same rate over the stressed projection of remaining life.

The collateral supporting the National Collegiate Trust 1997 S-2 notes consist entirely of private credit student loans originated under First Marblehead Corp.'s Guaranteed Access to Education (GATE) program. The program was created to assist individuals in financing their undergraduate or graduate education beyond what the Federal Family Education Loan Program The Federal Family Education Loan Program (FFELP) is a United States Department of Education program that provides for private organizations to market, originate, and service federally guaranteed loans, such as Stafford and PLUS loans to students and their parents.  (FFELP FFELP Federal Family Education Loan Program ) affords. These private student loans are intended to be used to pay educational costs at the participating institutions. The loans are serviced by Pennsylvania Higher Education higher education

Study beyond the level of secondary education. Institutions of higher education include not only colleges and universities but also professional schools in such fields as law, theology, medicine, business, music, and art.
 Assistance Authority (PHEAA PHEAA Pennsylvania Higher Education Assistance Agency ), which Fitch does not rate.

Fitch affirms the following rating and assigns an Outlook to the following class of notes for National Collegiate Trust:

--Series 1997 S-2 notes 'AAA'; Outlook Stable.

The following applicable criteria report is available on Fitch's web site at 'www.fitchratings.com': 'Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria' dated Sept. 30, 2009.

Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'.

ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP HTTP
 in full HyperText Transfer Protocol

Standard application-level protocol used for exchanging files on the World Wide Web. HTTP runs on top of the TCP/IP protocol.
://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE Terms of Use are rules set up by the owner of an intellectual property or service to govern how they may be legally used.

In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide.
 OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental  ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE.
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Publication:Business Wire
Geographic Code:1U2NY
Date:Oct 23, 2009
Words:595
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