Fitch Affirms LB-UBS 2007-C7; Assigns Outlooks.NEW YORK New York, state, United States New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of -- Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings An international rating agency for financial institutions, insurance companies, and corporate, sovereign, and municipal debt. Fitch Ratings has headquarters in New York and London and is wholly owned by FIMALAC of Paris. has taken various rating actions on LB-UBS 2007-C7, commercial mortgage pass-through certificates Pass-Through Certificates (PTCs) are instruments that evidence the ownership of two or more Equipment Trust Certificates. In other words, Equipment Trust Certificates may be bundled into a pass-through structure as a means of diversifying the asset pool and/or increasing the size . In addition, Fitch has assigned Rating Outlooks, as applicable. A detailed list of rating actions follows at the end of this press release. The downgrades are the result of Fitch's loss expectations on specially serviced loans as well as prospective views regarding commercial real estate market value and cash flow declines. Fitch forecasts potential losses of 5.9% for this transaction, should market conditions not recover. Today's rating actions are based on losses of 4.0% including 100% of the losses associated with term defaults and any losses associated with maturities within the next five years. Given the significant term to maturity, Fitch's actions only account for 25% of the losses associated with maturities beyond five years. The bonds with Negative Outlooks indicate classes that may be downgraded in the future should full potential losses be realized. Fitch analyzed an·a·lyze tr.v. an·a·lyzed, an·a·lyz·ing, an·a·lyz·es 1. To examine methodically by separating into parts and studying their interrelations. 2. Chemistry To make a chemical analysis of. 3. the transaction and calculated expected losses by assuming cash flows on each of the properties decline 15% from year-end (YE) 2007 and property values decline 35% from issuance. These loss estimates were reviewed in more detail for loans representing 81.4% of the pool and, in certain cases, revised based on additional information and/or property characteristics. Approximately 10.9% of the mortgages are scheduled to mature within the next five years, with 10.5% maturing in 2013. In 2017, 81.7% of the pool is scheduled to mature. Fitch identified 16 Loans of Concern (22.3%) within the pool, one of which (0.3%) are specially serviced. All of the top 15 loans (76.9%) are current as of the August 2009 payment date. Four of the top 15 loans (13.7% of the pool) are expected to default during the term or at maturity, with loss severities ranging from approximately 3% to 23%. Of the top 15 loans, the largest contributors (by loan balance) to term losses are as follows: District at Tustin Legacy Tustin Legacy is 1,600-acre planned community in Tustin, California being developed on the former Marine Corps Air Station Tustin which will include parks, a commercial retail center, and various densities of housing, for a total of 4,600 units. (6.5% of the pool balance), Nashville Multifamily Portfolio (3.7%) and Meyerland Plaza Meyerland Plaza is a large shopping center located in southwest Houston, Texas, United States. Meyerland Plaza is located in the Meyerland neighborhood of Houston and is just outside of the 610 Loop. (2.9%). District at Tustin Legacy is secured by a 985,684 square foot (sf) retail center located in Tustin, CA. The property is anchored by Costco and Lowe's (not part of the collateral) as well as Target, Whole Foods, TJ Maxx, AMC (Advanced Mezzanine Card) See AdvancedTCA. Theaters, and Best Buy. As of June 30, 2009 the property was 99% occupied and near term lease expirations are limited as tenants were signed when the property was constructed in 2006. The property has been unable to achieve the rents expected at issuance, which led to a YE 2008 servicer reported debt service coverage ratio The debt service coverage ratio (DSCR), or debt service ratio, is the ratio of net operating income to debt payments on a piece of investment real estate. It is a popular benchmark used in the measurement of an income-producing property’s ability to produce (DSCR DSCR See: Debt-service coverage ratio ) of .90 times (x). The loan is sponsored by Lee and Nancy Hanley along with Kimco Realty realty n. a short form of "real estate." (See: real estate) REALTY. An abstract of real, as distinguished from personalty. Realty relates to lands and tenements, rents or other hereditaments. Vide Real Property. . The Nashville Multifamily Portfolio is collateralized by a four property, 1,593 unit, multifamily portfolio located in the Nashville, TN MSA (Metropolitan Service Area) An urban area with at least 50,000 people plus surrounding counties. There are 306 MSAs and 428 RSAs (rural service areas) in the U.S. MSAs and RSAs are used to allocate cellular licenses. . Property performance has declined since issuance and as of YE 2008 occupancy was 84%, down from 95% at issuance. Performance has also been hindered by increased expenses which offset a recent jump in occupancy to 91% for per the March 30, 2009 rent roll. The servicer reported YE 2008 DSCR was 0.94x, down from 1.25x at issuance. The loan is sponsored by New Dawn Companies. The Meyerland Plaza loan is collateralized by a 936,543 sf retail center in Houston, TX. The property is anchored by JC Penney and Target, which is not part of the collateral. The property is currently 91% occupied down from 99% at issuance. The property is also subject to significant near term lease expirations including 19.5% in 2010 (Old Navy, Bed, Bath & Beyond, Office Max, and Stein Mart Stein Mart NASDAQ: SMRT is a chain of department stores that sells boutique, apparel, footwear, linens and home decor. Stein Mart, Inc. is based in Jacksonville, Florida, and describes itself as "a hybrid between a better department/specialty store and a traditional ) and 36.2% in 2012, which includes JC Penney. Servicer reported YE 2008 DSCR was 1.14x. The loan is sponsored by Ronus, Inc., an owner and developer of commercial real estate in the eastern U.S. Fitch downgrades, removes from Rating Watch Negative, and assigns Loss Severity (LS) ratings and Negative Outlooks to the following classes: --$269.5 million class A-J A-J Anti-Jam to 'AA/LS-3' from 'AAA'; --$47.6 million class B to 'A/LS-5' from 'AA+'; --$35.7 million class C to 'BBB/LS-5' from 'AA'; --$23.8 million class D to 'BBB-/LS-5' from 'AA-'; --$27.7 million class E to 'BB/LS-5' from 'A+'; --$15.9 million class F to 'BB/LS-5' from 'A'; --$31.7 million class G to 'BB/LS-5' from 'A-'; --$27.7 million class H to 'B/LS-5' from 'BBB+'; --$23.8 million class J to 'B/LS-5' from 'BBB'; --$27.7 million class K to 'B-/LS-5' from 'BBB-'; --$19.8 million class L to 'B-/LS-5' from 'BB+'; --$11.9 million class M to 'B-/LS-5' from 'BB'; --$11.9 million class N to 'B-/LS-5' from 'BB-'; --$4 million class P to 'B-/LS-5' from 'B+'; --$4 million class Q to 'B-/LS-5' from 'B'. Fitch affirms the following class, removes it from Rating Watch Negative, and assigns an LS rating and Negative Outlook: --$3.9 million class S at 'B-/LS-5'. Additionally, Fitch affirms the following classes, assigns LS ratings and maintains a Stable Outlook: --$16.1 million class A-1 at 'AAA/LS-1'; --$194 million class A-2 at 'AAA/LS-1'; --$74 million class A-AB at 'AAA/LS-1'; --$1.7 billion class A-3 at 'AAA/LS-1'; --$265.1 million class A-1A at 'AAA/LS-1'; --$317.0 million class A-M A-M Alternating Maximization (algorithm) at 'AAA/LS-3'; --Interest-only class X-CL at 'AAA'; --Interest-only class X-CP at 'AAA'; --Interest-only class X-W at 'AAA'. The $47.6 million class T is not rated by Fitch. Additional information on Fitch's amended criteria for analyzing recent vintage U.S. CMBS CMBS See: Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities is available in the July 8, 2009 report, 'Surveillance Methodology for Recent Vintage U.S. CMBS,' which is available at 'www.fitchratings.com' under the following headers: Structured Finance >> CMBS >> Criteria Reports Fitch will release a report titled 'LB-UBS 2007-C7' that will contain a graph of revised loss expectations for the transaction at 'www.fitchratings.com' under the following headers: Structured Finance >> CMBS >> Special Reports Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use Terms of Use are rules set up by the owner of an intellectual property or service to govern how they may be legally used. In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide. of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, 'www.fitchratings.com'. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. |
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