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Fitch: U.S. Small Business Loan ABS Delinquencies Expected to Trend Higher in 2007.


CHICAGO -- Shifting economic conditions and credit dynamics likely mean continued higher delinquencies for U.S. small business loan ABS (Automatic Backup System) See backup program.  for at least the first six months of 2007, though late stage delinquencies will likely trend down in that same time frame, according to according to
prep.
1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians.

2. In keeping with: according to instructions.

3.
 Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings

An international rating agency for financial institutions, insurance companies, and corporate, sovereign, and municipal debt. Fitch Ratings has headquarters in New York and London and is wholly owned by FIMALAC of Paris.
 in its inaugural edition of the 'Business Loan Bulletin'.

However, Fitch's analysis shows that the noticeable upward trend of 180+ day delinquencies historically trends upward during second quarter (averaging 41.18% of total delinquencies) before falling (averaging 37.27% of total delinquencies in third quarter). 'If younger delinquency buckets continue to capture a greater proportion of total delinquencies, pressure on defaults within the transactions may be alleviated,' said Director Du Trieu.

Fitch's Business Loan Bulletin, intended for publication on a semi-annual basis, will benchmark the delinquency performance on the unguaranteed portion of Small Business Administration (SBA SBA
abbr.
Small Business Administration

Noun 1. SBA - an independent agency of the United States government that protects the interests of small businesses and ensures that they receive a fair share of government
) loans and conventional small business loans backing over $4.1 billion of outstanding issuance, correlated primarily to economic conditions, collateral characteristics, seasoning, and borrower profile. Underlying loans in Fitch's portfolio are secured primarily by real estate with borrowers across the United States United States, officially United States of America, republic (2005 est. pop. 295,734,000), 3,539,227 sq mi (9,166,598 sq km), North America. The United States is the world's third largest country in population and the fourth largest country in area.  in a variety of industries, including hotels, auto centers, service stations, retail centers, transportation equipment, rubber and plastic products, and metals and manufacturing.

The Business Loan Bulletin will provide investors a unique perspective surrounding the performance of the small business loan ABS sector. Aside from portfolio delinquency performance discussion, Fitch's index will include industry commentary and other areas of interest to participants in the small business loan ABS sector.

Fitch's 'Business Loan Bulletin' is available on the Fitch Ratings web site at www.fitchratings.com.

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In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide.
 of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental  are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site.
COPYRIGHT 2007 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2007, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Jan 22, 2007
Words:331
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