Fitch: Subprime, Consumer, Corporate Challenges Will Test U.S. Term ABS in 2006.NEW YORK New York, state, United States New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of -- The impact of higher interest rates and an uncertain housing market will likely challenge the stability of the U.S. subprime consumer in 2006, according to a new report by Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings An international rating agency for financial institutions, insurance companies, and corporate, sovereign, and municipal debt. Fitch Ratings has headquarters in New York and London and is wholly owned by FIMALAC of Paris. . In addition, the corporate woes of certain U.S. auto manufacturers will put pressure on auto-related ABS sectors, particularly dealer floorplan and rental fleet. Fitch remains guarded in its outlook for both subprime credit card and auto loan ABS despite recent improvements. Fitch is concerned that higher interest rates and slower home price growth could amplify losses in these segments. In the credit card sector mid/subprime borrowers may be forced to draw on previously unused revolving credit lines at a time when household leverage is near all time highs. In addition, these conditions may also serve to intensify competition among lenders. In the auto ABS arena, two key areas being watched in 2006 are dealer floorplan and rental fleet ABS, both of which are expected to come under performance pressure due to industry challenges and exposure to auto manufacturers. These same corporate pressures could negatively impact loss severity in all auto-related ABS transactions as certain manufacturers continue their high level of incentives. Fitch's 'Global Structured Finance: 2006 Outlook and 2005 Review' includes asset performance and rating volatility forecasts for the global ABS, CMBS CMBS See: Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities , RMBS RMBS Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities RMBS Rambus, Inc. (NASDAQ stock symbol) RMBS Russian Mortgage-Backed Securities and CDOs sectors in 2006, along with how broader macroeconomic mac·ro·ec·o·nom·ics n. (used with a sing. verb) The study of the overall aspects and workings of a national economy, such as income, output, and the interrelationship among diverse economic sectors. trends will influence the structured finance markets in the U.S. and overseas, and an overview of rating performance and credit migration trends over the past year. The report is available on the Fitch Ratings web site at www.fitchratings.com. Fitch Alert Surveillance Tracker (FASTracker), is a web-based portfolio management tool that allows investors to actively monitor through customized alerts how new research and other performance data are affecting bonds in the ABS, CMBS, RMBS and CDO (Collaborative Data Objects) A programming interface from Microsoft for accessing MAPI-based e-mail, calendaring and scheduling servers. Originally called "OLE Messaging" and "Active Messaging," CDO wraps the Enhanced MAPI library into a COM object that provides the sectors. To learn more about FASTracker, contact Fitch's sales department in New York at usaclientservices@fitchratings.com or +1-212-908-0800; in Europe, please contact Elizabeth McGlogan at elizabeth.mcglogan@fitchratings.com or +44 (0)20 7417 6309; in Asia, please contact client services at asiaclient.services@fitchratings.com, or +65 2263 9999. Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use Terms of Use are rules set up by the owner of an intellectual property or service to govern how they may be legally used. In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide. of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. |
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