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Fitch: Newspaper Co. Financial Policy Changes Remain a Risk for Bondholders.


CHICAGO -- As the newspaper industry has come under pressure over the past few years, several companies have radically changed their financial policies and significantly increased leverage in order to attempt to address decelerating growth and weak stock price performance. Management teams that have retained investment grade ratings have been increasingly asked by analysts and investors to explain the potential uses of free cash flow and debt capacity going forward. Investors have asked for a compelling rationale for certain companies' commitment to investment grade ratings.

As stated in recent reports we have published on the industry, Fitch expects that shareholders will continue to place pressures on newspaper companies in general, forcing management teams to further re-evaluate capital structure philosophies. Companies with the single class of stock could be more exposed to this type of shareholder activism. Fitch believes that family or trust-owned enterprises with dual-class stock dual-class stock

See stock class.
 structures are better positioned to take a longer-term view of the risks and opportunities in the newspaper space and to weather near-term turbulence in the stock markets, thereby better insulating them from shareholder activist-driven event risk. However, while companies with dual-class stock structures may be somewhat insulated in·su·late  
tr.v. in·su·lat·ed, in·su·lat·ing, in·su·lates
1. To cause to be in a detached or isolated position. See Synonyms at isolate.

2.
 from these risks, Fitch continues to caution that if the stock prices remain under pressure, the boards of directors and management teams (at companies with dual classes of stock) may still be similarly pressured to consider management buyouts Management buyout (MBO)

Leveraged buyout whereby the acquiring group is led by the firm's management.


management buyout

See going private.
, other leveraging transactions or large-scale digital acquisitions to attempt to boost their companies' share prices.

Fitch believes there has been a subtle trend among investment grade newspaper companies toward generally softening softening /sof·ten·ing/ (sof´en-ing) malacia.

softening

a change of consistency, with loss of firmness or hardness.
 their public commitments to credit ratings in favor of emphasizing their commitments to driving shareholder value. Last week, Gannett Corp (GCI GCI Ground Circuit Interrupter
GCI Getty Conservation Institute
GCI Global Commerce Initiative
GCI Green Cross International (non-profit international environmental organization)
GCI Growth Competitiveness Index
GCI Great Cities Institute
) and the New York New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
 Times Company (NYT NYT New York Times
NYT National Youth Theatre (UK)
NYT New York Transit (New York, USA)
NYT New York Tribune
) (neither company is rated by Fitch) released earnings and fielded capital structure philosophy questions during their conference calls. NYT is paying down some debt in the near-term, but did not give guidance regarding its capital structure parameters going forward, mentioned it was creating flexibility to pursue opportunities that make strategic sense, and specified that its commitment to investment grade ratings has been important 'historically'. Also, GCI (consistent with prior discussions on the topic) did not commit to particular leverage targets (or ratings) and mentioned it is not opposed to significantly increasing the dividend if there was evidence that such an action would drive the stock price. GCI management stated they are evaluating all options and looking at all opportunities to deliver shareholder value.

While their respective answers do not differ significantly from some of their peers and may not be cause for immediate concern for bondholders, Fitch remains mindful mind·ful  
adj.
Attentive; heedful: always mindful of family responsibilities. See Synonyms at careful.



mind
 of the intermediate-term event risks that bondholders of newspaper companies continue to face; particularly of newspaper companies with higher investment grade ratings. Fitch believes these two companies and others are not immune to the pressures being felt across the industry as newspaper circulation and advertising revenue trends have been soft in recent periods. Stock prices for the major newspaper players collectively (as well as GCI and NYT individually), have been down in 2004, 2005, 2006 and year-to-date.

While there continues to be many uncertainties, Fitch continues to believe that credit ratings are largely at the discretion of management teams and if they choose to dedicate ded·i·cate  
tr.v. ded·i·cat·ed, ded·i·cat·ing, ded·i·cates
1. To set apart for a deity or for religious purposes; consecrate.

2.
 free cash flow to reduce debt, many could retain their ratings. The question remains whether management teams and their boards can withstand pressure in the face of declining stock prices and maintain bondholder Bondholder

A firm often has stockholders and bondholders. In a liquidation, the bondholders have first priority.


bondholder

An individual or institution that owns bonds in a corporation or other organization.
 protection at consistent levels.

For additional information on Fitch's approach to the newspaper and broadcasting industries visit www.fitchratings.com.

The following are recent reports that we have published on the industry:

--'U.S. Newspapers and TV Broadcasting Outlooks Remain Negative in 2007' (January 18, 2006);

--'U.S. Newspapers: Heightened Risk in a Downturn' (May 3, 2006).

Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use Terms of Use are rules set up by the owner of an intellectual property or service to govern how they may be legally used.

In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide.
 of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental  are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site.
COPYRIGHT 2007 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2007, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Feb 5, 2007
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