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Experts forecast active hurricane season.

Weather-risk experts say the 2004 hurricane season will be an active one for the Atlantic Coast areas of the United States and the Caribbean, with a London-based forecaster anticipating four strikes by tropical systems on the United States.

Meanwhile, William Gray and the Colorado State University hurricane forecast team said they expect activity to be above average again in 2004.

The probability, of at least one major hurricane making landfall in the United States this year is about 30% above the long-term average, the team said.

Two of those tropical systems probably will be official hurricanes, said the experts at London-based Tropical Storm Risk, a consortium of insurance, risk and weather-forecasting experts led by reinsurance broker Benfield Group plc's Benfield Hazard Research Center located at University College London.
Atlantic Tropical Storms

 2002 2003 2004 *

Named storms 12 14 13
Hurricanes 4 7 7
Intense hurricanes 2 3 3

* Estimated

Source: Tropical Storm Risk
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Title Annotation:Highlights from BestWeek
Author:Pilla, David
Publication:Best's Review
Article Type:Brief Article
Geographic Code:50CAR
Date:Jan 1, 2004
Words:153
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