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Experts caution this runaway train may hit the buffers.


The real estate market has gone to insane heights recently, but every bubble has to burst, said some of AREW's Panel of Powerful Executives this week.

Held at Club 101 at 101 Park Ave., the panel of four top executives was moderated by Eileen Spinola, senior vice president of the Real Estate Board of New York New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
, who asked the experts their opinions on several issues affecting the market.

Interest rates remain low and banks are loaning money, driving both the residential and commercial market, said Darcy Stacom, executive vice president/partner Investment Properties Institutional Group/CB Richard Ellis There are several prominent people named Richard Ellis, including
  • Richard A. Ellis (scientist and engineer), research engineer
  • Richard Ellis (astronomer), Caltech professor and director of Palomar Observatory.
.

But Stacom sees a market turn around. "There's too much equity. There's too much debt," she said. "I've been in this business over 25 years and there is no such thing as a cycle that doesn't end. If you put enough straws on a camel's back, it will break."

Stacom cited Vornado's recent $113 million acquisition of the retail condominium condominium

In modern property law, individual ownership of one dwelling unit within a multidwelling building. Unit owners have undivided ownership interest in the land and those portions of the building shared in common.
, the former Westbury Hotel, that occupies an entire Madison Avenue Madison Avenue, celebrated street of Manhattan, borough of New York City. It runs from Madison Square (23d St.) to the Madison Bridge over the Harlem River (138th St.). In the 1940s and 50s, some of the major U.S.  blockfront between 69th and 70th Streets, as a headline-making investment. "Vornado is always going to be on the front page," Stacom said. "I think it's just the sheer dollar number transfers have gotten large enough to be newsworthy news·wor·thy  
adj. news·wor·thi·er, news·wor·thi·est
Of sufficient interest or importance to the public to warrant reporting in the media.



news
. So when Vornado buys a retail strip that is actually very small square footage wise, but it trades at $113 million people write about it. Retail has seen a tremendous amount of investment. It will always be your best investment."

Virginia Pittarelli, CEO (1) (Chief Executive Officer) The highest individual in command of an organization. Typically the president of the company, the CEO reports to the Chairman of the Board.  Madison HGCD, agrees, and added that the lack of retail product on the market is holding prices steady.

In the past few years, the Years, The

the seven decades of Eleanor Pargiter’s life. [Br. Lit.: Benét, 1109]

See : Time
 influx of the bank retail has caused bidding wars, Pittarelli said.

"Banks have helped the huge rental market. Most banks want corner locations," she said. "Specialty retailers can't compete with what the banks can pay. What the banks have done after 9/11 is keep the rental rates high, with the exception of Soho. Spaces may have stayed on the market a little longer, but the rental rates remained the same."

She also said that national and international retail companies that may have been hesitant to open shop in Manhattan are now seeing the value of being here.

"People always came into the Manhattan market with a little trepidation trepidation /trep·i·da·tion/ (trep?i-da´shun)
1. tremor.

2. nervous anxiety and fear.trep´idant


trep·i·da·tion
n.
1. An involuntary trembling or quivering.
," said Pittrarelli. "They now have learned to understand it and realize there is a reward in having a presence in Manhattan and finding the right opening. The biggest problem is space."

Certain parts of the 5th Avenue corridor have become more popular as of late. "The move south on 5th Avenue corridor 42nd and 48th street is hot now," she said. "It's simply changing the completion of that corridor."

With the residential market breaking records, Jacky Teplitzky, executive vice president of Prudential Douglas Elliman, said the market changes on a daily basis. "I don't call this a sellers market. I call this an insanity insanity, mental disorder of such severity as to render its victim incapable of managing his affairs or of conforming to social standards. Today, the term insanity is used chiefly in criminal law, to denote mental aberrations or defects that may relieve a person from  market," she said. "It's moving ahead of us so fast that brokers don't know Don't know (DK, DKed)

"Don't know the trade." A Street expression used whenever one party lacks knowledge of a trade or receives conflicting instructions from the other party.
 how to price it."

Even after the September 11 attacks September 11 attacks

Series of airline hijackings and suicide bombings against U.S. targets perpetrated by 19 militants associated with the Islamic extremist group al-Qaeda.
, the residential market rebounded quickly. "On Jan. 7. 2002 the phones were ringing off the wall and it didn't bring down residential prices," said Teplitzky, who gave an example of her own two-bedroom, two-bath apartment in the East Village that has increased in value from it's 1993 listing price of $185,000 to $1 million in today's market.

Prices are staying high, she said. "The wait and see attitude never proved itself right in New York. If you have to buy, buy," she said.

"Either you bid asking or you bid above asking, because there is nothing less. There are no negotiations and there are no comps."

In addition, Spinola asked the panelists whether the downtown area should take precedence over the city's plans for the West Side of Manhattan.

Michelle Adams, executive director of Association of a Better New York, felt downtown should be continue its move forward and should not be hindered by the West Side development.
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Article Details
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Author:Nelson, Barbara
Publication:Real Estate Weekly
Geographic Code:1USA
Date:Apr 20, 2005
Words:669
Previous Article:Owners in driving seat as market fires on all cylinders.
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