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Epidemiology of meningococcal disease, New York City, 1989-2000. (Research).


Study of the epidemiologic trends in meningococcal disease is important in understanding infection dynamics and developing timely and appropriate public health interventions health intervention Health care An activity undertaken to prevent, improve, or stabilize a medical condition . We studied surveillance data from the New York City New York City: see New York, city.
New York City

City (pop., 2000: 8,008,278), southeastern New York, at the mouth of the Hudson River. The largest city in the U.S.
 Department of Health and Mental Hygiene mental hygiene, the science of promoting mental health and preventing mental illness through the application of psychiatry and psychology. A more commonly used term today is mental health. , which showed that during 1989-2000 a decrease occurred in both the proportion of patients with serogroup B infection (from 28% to 13% of reported cases; p<0.01) and the rate of serogroup B infection (from 0.25/100,000 to 0.08/100,000; p<0.01). We also noted an increased proportion (from 3% to 39%; p<0.01) and rate of serogroup Y infection (from 0.02/100,000 to 0.23/100,000; p<0.01). Median patient age increased (from 15 to 30 years; p<0.01). The case-fatality rate for the period was 17%. As more effective meningococcal vaccines become available, recommendations for their use in nonepidemic settings should consider current epidemiologic trends, particularly changes in age and serogroup distribution of meningococcal infections.

**********

Meningococcal disease is a broad term used to describe the different clinical syndromes resulting from Neisseria meningitidis Neisseria men·in·git·i·dis
n.
The bacteria that is the causative agent of cerebrospinal meningitis; meningococcus.


Neisseria meningitidis 
 infection. Its two major clinical illnesses, meningitis and meningococcemia (i.e., sepsis Sepsis Definition

Sepsis refers to a bacterial infection in the bloodstream or body tissues. This is a very broad term covering the presence of many types of microscopic disease-causing organisms.
 caused by meningococcal infection), occur more often as sporadic cases, but occasional outbreaks are an important cause of illness and death worldwide.

In the United States United States, officially United States of America, republic (2005 est. pop. 295,734,000), 3,539,227 sq mi (9,166,598 sq km), North America. The United States is the world's third largest country in population and the fourth largest country in area. , a substantial proportion of cases of meningitis and sepsis are caused by N. meningitidis (1). The incidence rate of meningococcal disease in the United States is estimated to be 0.7-1.4/100,000 population, and the case-fatality rate (CFR CFR

See: Cost and Freight
) is approximately 10% (2,3). Both the incidence rate and CFR have been relatively constant, with no major changes observed in the past decade (2).

Serogroups B and C are the most common strains found in the United States; however, increased rates of infection from serogroup Y were observed in the 1990s (2,3). Changes in the age distribution of those infected have also been noted, and the conventional concept that meningococcal disease predominately affects infants and young children should be revised because the median age of meningococcal disease case-patients has increased (2).

We describe the epidemiology of meningococcal disease in New York City from January 1989 to December 2000 with an emphasis on the trends of serogroup incidence, age, and fatality rates fa·tal·i·ty rate
n.
See death rate.



fatality rate

see case fatality rate.
. The hypotheses tested were: Consistent with the trends in the epidemiology of meningococcal disease in the United States, the incidence of serogroup Y infection in New York City is increasing, the median age of patients is increasing, and the CFR is comparable to national figures.

Methods

The study included New York City residents who met the case definition for confirmed or probable meningococcal disease, as defined by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), agency of the U.S. Public Health Service since 1973, with headquarters in Atlanta; it was established in 1946 as the Communicable Disease Center.  and the Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists The Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists (CSTE) was organized in the USA in the early 1950s in response to the need to have at least one person in each state and territory responsible for public health surveillance of diseases and conditions of public health . Inclusion in the study as a confirmed case required a clinically compatible course with the isolation of N. meningitidis from a sterile site (e.g., blood, cerebrospinal fluid cerebrospinal fluid (CSF)

Clear, colourless liquid that surrounds the brain and spinal cord and fills the spaces in them. It helps support the brain, acts as a lubricant, maintains pressure in the skull, and cushions shocks.
, joint fluid, or pleural fluid pleural fluid
n.
The thin film of serous fluid between the visceral and parietal pleurae.
); inclusion as a probable case required a positive antigen test from cerebrospinal fluid or clinically described purpura fulminans purpura ful·mi·nans
n.
A severe and fatal form of idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura that occurs especially in children, usually following an infectious illness, and that is characterized by low blood pressure, fever, and disseminated intravascular
 (4). The period of study was January 1989-December 2000.

We obtained the meningococcal disease cases from the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene (referred to hereafter as NYC NYC
abbr.
New York City


NYC New York City
 Department of Health) surveillance database of reportable diseases reportable diseases,
n.pl contagious diseases that must be reported by the physician to public health authorities. They include but are not limited to malaria, influenza, poliomyelitis, relapsing fever, typhus, yellow fever, cholera, and bubonic plague.
. Meningococcal disease is a national reportable disease re·port·a·ble disease
n.
See notifiable disease.
; in New York City, all cases are required by health code to be reported to be spoken of; to be mentioned, whether favorably or unfavorably.

See also: Report
 to the NYC Department of Health. Physician reports, investigation forms, and laboratory reports were reviewed for all the meningococcal disease patients included in the NYC Department of Health database. All cases with evidence of the study criteria were included. Data on meningococcal disease used in this study were collected through routine passive surveillance, and serogroup identification was performed by the NYC Department of Health Public Health Laboratory. Antibiotic resistance antibiotic resistance,
n the ability of certain strains of microorganisms to develop resistance to antibiotics.

antibiotic resistance 
 profiles and pulsed-field gel electrophoresis gel electrophoresis
n.
Electrophoresis performed in a gel composed of agarose, polyacrylamide, or starch.
 results were available only for a subset of isolates after 1999 and are not included in this report. Archival data and population estimates (before 1989) were obtained from New York City Vital Statistics Annual Summary reports.

The database contained information on each cast-patient's age, sex, race, ethnicity, borough of residence, and death. Information on race and ethnicity was incomplete and therefore was not analyzed. When death information was missing, patient identifiers were submitted to the New York City Vital Records and Registry for a death certificate search, which was accomplished by searching by name and International Classification of Diseases (ICD ICD International Classification of Diseases (of the World Health Organization); intrauterine contraceptive device.

ICD
abbr.
) code. Using name search, staff in the New York City Vital Records and Registry department The Registry Office

The Securities Act is the governing law regulating the sale and trading of securities on the US securities markets. It defines the requirements for registration and providing services for individual and corporate entities.
 used visual inspection to search the New York City death certificates, looking for Looking for

In the context of general equities, this describing a buy interest in which a dealer is asked to offer stock, often involving a capital commitment. Antithesis of in touch with.
 the name of each patient with an unknown cause of death in the 1-month period after the date of onset of the disease. We also conducted a search using the ICD codes that correspond to meningococcal disease (ICD-9 036.0-036.9 and ICD-10 A39.0-A39.9); the search identified all death certificates from 1989 to 2001 that included these codes. We used the information found through this second search method if the death certificate referred to a patient already in the database with an unknown outcome. We did not include death certificates with meningococcal disease ICD codes that referred to patients not previously included in the database (i.e., they had not been reported to the NYC Department of Health as having meningococcal disease) because of the lack of data to confirm the diagnosis. Patients whose names did not appear in the death certificate search file were considered survivors in the CFR calculation. This study was based on electronic data and surveillance records; we ensured confidentiality by excluding all identifying information from the active analysis database.

Statistical Methods

Incidence rates were calculated by using 1990 and 2000 population files from the U.S. Census Bureau Noun 1. Census Bureau - the bureau of the Commerce Department responsible for taking the census; provides demographic information and analyses about the population of the United States
Bureau of the Census
. We used the Pearson chi-square test chi-square test: see statistics.  or Fisher exact test to assess the statistical significance of categorical That which is unqualified or unconditional.

A categorical imperative is a rule, command, or moral obligation that is absolutely and universally binding.

Categorical is also used to describe programs limited to or designed for certain classes of people.
 variables and the Kruskal-Wallis test to assess continuous variables.

Time trend analysis was performed to detect an association between time (e.g., year or year group) and response variables (e.g., serogroup and outcome). We used the Spearman spear·man  
n.
A man, especially a soldier, armed with a spear.
 correlation test and chi-square test for linear trends to assess statistical significance. Logistic regression In statistics, logistic regression is a regression model for binomially distributed response/dependent variables. It is useful for modeling the probability of an event occurring as a function of other factors.  models were built to provide coefficients for significant trends.

Independence can be assumed from the data because most cases were sporadic throughout the study period; we considered the vast majority of cases to be unrelated. In addition, no patient had more than one episode of the disease during the study period, and the analyses were performed with the patients grouped into 3-year intervals to minimize any existing correlation between sequential years (5). The SPSS A statistical package from SPSS, Inc., Chicago (www.spss.com) that runs on PCs, most mainframes and minis and is used extensively in marketing research. It provides over 50 statistical processes, including regression analysis, correlation and analysis of variance.  (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL) statistical software package and Epi Info Epi Info is a public domain statistical software for epidemiology developed by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Developed by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in Atlanta, Georgia (USA), Epi Info has been in existence for over 20 years and is
 2000 (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA) software were used to perform the statistical calculations.

Results

Among New York City residents, 615 cases of meningococcal disease were reported to the NYC Department of Health from January 1989 to December 2000, with an average annual incidence of 0.67/100,000; of cases reported, 582 cases (95%) were confirmed and 33 cases (5%) were included as probable. Meningococcemia occurred in 54% of the cases, meningitis in 44%, and pneumonia, septic arthritis septic arthritis

Acute inflammation of one or more joints caused by infection. Suppurative arthritis may follow certain bacterial infections; joints become swollen, hot, sore, and filled with pus, which erodes their cartilage, causing permanent damage if not promptly treated
 or other sterile site infections in 2%. All cases were considered to be sporadic except for two case-patients in 1997 who were contacts of a primary case-patient in a juvenile detention center A detention center or a detention centre is any location used for detention. Specifically, it can mean:
  • A prison
  • A structure for immigration detention
  • An internment camp or concentration camp
 resident and one culture negative case-patient in 2000 who was linked to a subsequent confirmed case-patient by household contact.

For the period 1989-2000, the meningococcal disease rate decreased by 33%, compared to the period 1953-1988, and declined by 90%, compared to the period 1905-1952 (Table 1). During the period under study, a 69% reduction occurred at the beginning of the 1990s, with the rates dropping from 1.19 per 100,000 population in 1989 to 0.37 per 100,000 population in 1992 (chi square chi square (kī),
n a nonparametric statistic used with discrete data in the form of frequency count (nominal data) or percentages or proportions that can be reduced to frequencies.
 for trend = 9.1; p<0.01). Since then, rates have increased slightly and remained relatively constant (Table 1). When children <1 year of age are excluded, the declining trend in incidence is no longer statistically significant (chi square for trend = 2.4; p<0.12).

When stratified stratified /strat·i·fied/ (strat´i-fid) formed or arranged in layers.

strat·i·fied
adj.
Arranged in the form of layers or strata.
 by borough of patient residence, the average incidence rates were highest in the Bronx (0.88/100,000) and Manhattan (0.81/100,000) and lowest in Brooklyn (0.65/100,000), Staten Island Staten Island (1990 pop. 378,977), 59 sq mi (160 sq km), SE N.Y., in New York Bay, SW of Manhattan, forming Richmond co. of New York state and the borough of Staten Island of New York City.  (0.65/100,000), and Queens (0.55/100,000). However, the differences between boroughs were not statistically significant (chi square = 1.4; df = 4; p = 0.23). Rates by United Hospital Fund neighborhoods ranged from 0.23 to 1.08 per 100,000. The highest rates occurred in two northern Manhattan and one central Bronx neighborhoods This article features a list of neighborhoods in the Bronx, one of five boroughs of New York City.

When using this article, note that names of many (but not all) neighborhoods in the Bronx have somewhat low "currency", that is, are not invoked very commonly when referring to the
; the lowest rates were all in Queens.

The highest average annual incidence rate was observed among patients <1 year of age (8.49/100,000), with substantially lower rates observed for older age groups (Table 2). A statistically significant declining trend for the age groups of <1 years of age (chi square for trend = 21.5; p<0.01) and 1-4 years of age (chi square for trend = 14.3; p<0.01) was seen over the four 3-year groups. No other decrease or increase in age-specific incidence trends was statistically significant. The proportion of cases occurring in young children (<5 years of age) decreased from 39% in 1989-1991 to 17% in 1998-2000.

The overall median age of the patients with meningococcal disease was 22 years; stratification by year group showed that median age has increased from 15 years of age in 1989-1991 to 30 years of age in 1998-2000 (Kruskal-Wallis test; chi square = 20.0; df =3; p<0.01). To assess the effect of changes in serogroup on the median age, serogroups B, C, Y, and unknown were sequentially excluded from the computation of median age. Only the removal of serogroup Y resulted in a loss of statistical significance of the trend in median age (Kruskal-Wallis test; chi square = 7.6; df=3; p=0.06).

Overall incidence rates were higher for males (0.73/100,000) than females (0.61/100,000; relative risk [RR] = 1.19; 95% confidence interval confidence interval,
n a statistical device used to determine the range within which an acceptable datum would fall. Confidence intervals are usually expressed in percentages, typically 95% or 99%.
 [CI] 1.02 to 1.40). However, CFR was higher (20.1% vs. 13.9%; RR=1.45; 95% CI 1.02 to 2.07) for females. No statistically significant differences were found in gender-specific incidence rate by age category.

Serogroup was determined for 423 (72%) of 582 culture-positive cases. From 1989 to 2000, serogroups B, Y, and C were the most commonly identified serogroups (32% [n=137], 28% [n=119], and 27% [n=112], respectively) of the cases for which a serogroup was known. Serogroup W135 constituted 7% (n=28); nongroupable, 3% (n=13); A, 2% (n=9); and other serogroups, 1% (n=5) of the isolates. The median age of the case-patients differed by serogroup, with the highest median age for nongroupable (48 years of age), followed by other (43 years of age), Y (37 years of age), A (34 years of age), W (27 years of age), C (23 years of age), and B (11 years of age).

Incidence rates for serogroup B infections declined in all age groups with the largest decline in the <1-year and 1-4-year age groups in 1989-2000. Serogroup Y incidence rates increased twofold to tenfold tenfold
Adjective

1. having ten times as many or as much

2. composed of ten parts

Adverb

by ten times as many or as much

Adj. 1.
 in all age groups except 1-4 years during the period (Table 3).

Over the 12-year interval, the proportion of cases caused by strains included in the quadrivalent quad·ri·va·lent
adj.
1. Having four valences.

2. Having a valence of four; tetravalent.



quadrivalent

having a valence of four.
 vaccine available in the United States (A, C, Y, and W135) increased from 28% to 65% of reported cases (Kruskal-Wallis test; chi square = 57.4; df=3; p<0.01). This increase is due in part to the decline in incidence of serogroup B infections and the decline in the number of cases for which a serogroup could not be determined (Figure 1).

[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]

To assess whether changes in serogroup B and Y incidence were independent from the changes observed in age, we performed logistic regression analyses. The likelihood of serogroup Y infection compared with all other serogroups increased by a factor of 2.47 (99% CI 1.84 to 3.33) for each successive year group while controlling for age. The likelihood of serogroup B infections compared with all other serogroups decreased by a factor of 0.77 (99% CI 0.61 to 0.91) for each successive year group.

Information about patient outcome was initially available for 478 (77.7%) of the cases. After the vital records search, one additional death was identified for a patient with missing outcome. The overall CFR during 1989-2000 was 16.9% (104 deaths, 615 cases). The CFR varied during the study period, being lowest in the interval 1992-1994 (14%; 15/109) and highest in 1989-1991 when 20% (39/196) of the case-patients died; however, the difference between year groups was not statistically significant. When we analyzed CFR for each year separately, we found a surprisingly high CFR of 27% (16/59 cases) in 1999.

CFR increased linearly with age after 5 years of age and was lowest for those 5-14 years of age (8%) and highest for >65 years of age (33%) (Table 2). Figure 2 shows CFR by age category and year group. The CFR also differed by serogroup and was the highest for serogroup A (44.4%; 4/9), compared to that observed among serogroups C (22.3%; 25/112), Y (18.5%; 22/119), W (17.9%; 5/28), and B (12.4%; 17/137). However, the high CFR for serogroup A should be interpreted cautiously because of the low number of cases in the study period. No statistically significant difference of CFR between serogroups was noted (Bonferoni adjustment for multiple comparisons, p>0.002).

[FIGURE 2 OMITTED]

Discussion

Our study has shown that a significant decrease in meningococcal disease incidence rates occurred at the beginning of the 1990s in New York City, and low incidence rates were observed throughout the rest of the decade. The decline in incidence rates are unlikely to have occurred because of changes in surveillance; no modifications in the diagnostic criteria for meningococcal disease were made, and only passive surveillance was conducted throughout the entire study period.

Compared to national surveillance data, the overall incidence rate in New York City during the period was 34% lower (0.67 vs. 1.02/100,000) (6). Age-specific rates age-specific rate

a rate which specifies the age parameter for the rate.
 in children <5 years of age have declined both nationally and in New York City, although the magnitude of the decline in the city has been greater. Nationally, the rate for patients <1 year of age declined from 13.5/100,000 in 1989 to 6.79/100,000 in 2000. For children 1-4 years of age, the rate declined from 4.18/100,000 to 2.04/100,000 over the same period (6). Much of the decline occurred during the years 1998-2000. For New York City, the rates in the <1-year age group declined from 18.6/100,000 in 1989 to 2.72/100,000 in 2000. For the 1-4 year age group, the rate declined from 4.95/100,000 in 1989 to 0.93/100,000 in 2000. A similar trend for New York New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
 State (excluding New York City) has occurred, with overall meningococcal rates dropping 44% (from 1.28/100,000 in 1989 to 0.72/100,000 in 2000) and the rate <5 years declining 85% (from 8.85/100,000 to 1.29/100,000, unpub. data, New York State Department of Health, Division of Epidemiology).

The median age of New York City case-patients was higher than that observed in epidemiologic reviews for the United States and the New England New England, name applied to the region comprising six states of the NE United States—Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and Connecticut. The region is thought to have been so named by Capt.  region (2,6). The increase in the median age of cases from 1989 to 2000 observed in New York City is predominately due to a decrease in the incidence rates among young children (1-4 years of age) and infants (<1 year of age), along with slight increases in rates among adults (25-64 years of age). This finding of higher median age may be a result of the greater decline in meningococcal disease seen in children <5 years of age in New York City compared to the rest of the United States.

In accordance with trends observed in other areas of the United States (2,3), a significant increase in the incidence of serogroup Y infection occurred in New York City. The median age of patients with serogroup Y infections in New York City (30 years) was comparable to that of Connecticut patients (29 years) but greater than that seen in Illinois patients (16 years) when comparison data from 1989-1996 were used (3). Serogroup C was responsible for an increasing number of sporadic cases and outbreaks in the United States (7) and Canada (8) in the late 1980s and early 1990s. In New York City, the single cluster involving three people in 1997 was caused by serogroup C infection. The incidence of serogroup C infection did not change substantially in New York City throughout the 12 years of the study; serotype serotype /se·ro·type/ (ser´o-tip) the type of a microorganism determined by its constituent antigens; a taxonomic subdivision based thereon.

se·ro·type
n.
See serovar.

v.
 C infection accounted for 18.2% of the total number of cases (range per year group 15.6-19.4).

Serogroup W-135, important worldwide because of the cases associated with returning pilgrims from Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia (sä`dē ərā`bēə, sou`–, sô–), officially Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, kingdom (2005 est. pop. , accounted for 4.6% of all cases in New York City from 1989 to 2000. This association with the pilgrimage to Mecca pilgrimage to Mecca

(hajj) journey every good Muslim tries to make at least once. [Islamic Religion: WB, 10: 374–376]

See : Journey
 accounted for the three cases in New York City caused by serogroup W-135 reported from January to April in 2000: One patient was a returning pilgrim, another was a household contact of a returning pilgrim, and the third patient reported having interacted with returning pilgrims or their families (9).

The incidence rate of serogroup B declined threefold during the period of study, and the infection has nearly disappeared in children <5 years of age in New York City (one case in 1999-2001). The number of serogroup B meningococcal cases in New York State (excluding New York City) has also declined, from 10 in 1997 to 3 in 2000 (unpub. data, New York State Department of Health, Division of Epidemiology). Data from New Jersey indicate that the number of meningococcal infections in children <5 years of age has similarly declined, from 16 in 1995 to 3 in 2000, although the number of serogroup B cases has remained relatively constant (unpub. data, New Jersey Department of Health and Human Services Noun 1. Department of Health and Human Services - the United States federal department that administers all federal programs dealing with health and welfare; created in 1979
Health and Human Services, HHS
). In Oregon, where an increase in serogroup B meningococcal disease occurred in the last decade (10), no similar decline in serogroup B has been seen in children <5 years of age (Frederick Hoesly, pers. comm.). An interesting discovery is the coincident co·in·ci·dent  
adj.
1. Occupying the same area in space or happening at the same time: a series of coincident events. See Synonyms at contemporary.

2.
 increase in the use of Haemophilus influenzae Haemophilus in·flu·en·zae
n.
A gram-negative, rod-shaped bacterium of the genus Haemophilus, especially Haemophilus influenzae type b, that occurs in the human respiratory tract and causes acute respiratory infections, acute conjunctivitis, and
 conjugate vaccine A conjugate vaccine is created by covalently attaching a poor antigen to a carrier protein, thereby conferring the immunological attributes of the carrier on the attached antigen.  containing serogroup B meningococcal outer membrane The outer membrane refers to the outside membranes of Gram-negative bacteria, the chloroplast, or the mitochondria. It is used to maintain the shape of the organelle contained within its structure, and it acts as a barrier against certain dangers.  protein. Private provider vaccine orders received by the Vaccine for Children program for NYC indicate that the proportion of H. influenzae vaccine containing serogroup B meningococcal outer membrane protein has risen steadily from 0% in 1994 to 52% in 2000 (unpub. data, Department of Health, Immunization immunization: see immunity; vaccination.  Program). Comparison Vaccine for Children data for the public sector are incomplete. Studies conducted by the manufacturer found that immunity to serogroup B meningococcus meningococcus

Neisseria meningitidis, the bacterium that causes meningococcal meningitis in humans, the only natural hosts in which it causes disease. Meningococci are spherical, frequently occur in pairs, and are strongly gram-negative (see gram stain).
 was induced by the serogroup B meningococcal outer membrane protein vaccine in a primate animal model (11) and in children during phase III Noun 1. phase III - a large clinical trial of a treatment or drug that in phase I and phase II has been shown to be efficacious with tolerable side effects; after successful conclusion of these clinical trials it will receive formal approval from the FDA  vaccine trials (Alan Shaw, pers. comm.). Further epidemiologic and immunologic research are needed to explore the protective immunity and potential use of this vaccine for meningococcal serogroup B disease.

A significant change occurred in the prevalence of vaccine-preventable strains during the period. During the years 1989-1991, only 29.7% (43/145) of the meningococcal infections that occurred in patients >2 years of age were caused by vaccine-preventable strains. The proportion of vaccine-preventable strains increased steadily in each 3-year interval reaching 66.4% (85/128) in 1998-2000 (chi square for trend; p<0.01). Currently, the quadrivalent meningococcal polysaccharide polysaccharide: see carbohydrate.
polysaccharide

Any of a large class of long-chain sugars composed of monosaccharides. Because the chains may be unbranched or branched and the monosaccharides may be of one, two, or occasionally more kinds,
 vaccine, the only licensed and approved vaccine in the United States, provides good efficacy against serogroups A, C, W-135, and Y infections in older children and adults. The vaccine is not routinely recommended for the general population because of its short duration of protection, poor efficacy in children <2 years of age, and the low incidence of meningococcal infections in the United States (1,12). To overcome the problems of immunity in young children, conjugate vaccines have been recently developed and might dramatically improve the prevention of meningococcal disease because of their greater efficacy among infants and longer duration of immunity (13). The conjugate vaccine that is currently licensed in the United Kingdom only protects against serogroup C infection; its addition to the routine childhood vaccine schedule in New York City would have limited impact based on current serogroup incidence (13). Meningococcal serogroup C accounted for 12% (3/25) of infections in children <5 years of age and 2% (3/144) of all meningococcal infections in 1998-2000. During the entire 12-year period, only one serogroup A meningococcal infection occurred in a child <5 years of age. To make an impact on rates of meningococcal disease in New York City through routine childhood vaccination, a vaccine is needed that produces good, long-lasting immunity in young children to serogroups B, C, W-135, and Y.

In contrast with the overall lower incidence rates, the CFR for 1989-1998 was 16.6% for New York City, compared to 9.3% for the rest of the United States (6). Possible explanations for this finding include differential reporting of severe cases, presence of virulent vir·u·lent
adj.
1. Extremely infectious, malignant, or poisonous. Used of a disease or toxin.

2. Capable of causing disease by breaking down protective mechanisms of the host. Used of a pathogen.

3.
 clones in the population, and timely access of medical care. Additionally, not all public health jurisdictions include probable cases in their surveillance reports to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, raising the possibility that the national number of deaths is low because of underreporting of culture-negative fatal cases. A small proportion of cases (5%) in the New York City surveillance database met the definition for probable cases, suggesting that such cases may be underreported; however, no statistically significant difference existed in deaths by case status (confirmed CFR = 16.7%; probable CFR = 21.1%; chi square =0.46; p=0.50). This proportion of probable cases in New York City is comparable to that found in a review of meningococcal disease in New England for 1993-1998, where 4% of the cases met the probable case definition and the CFR was 10% (14). The proportion of probable cases and CFR for meningococcal disease in New Jersey in 1990-2000 were 10.5% and 11.6%, respectively (unpub. data, New Jersey Department of Health and Senior Services, Infectious and Zoonotic Diseases Zoonotic diseases
Diseases caused by infectious agents that can be transmitted between (or are shared by) animals and humans. This can include transmission through the bite of an insect, such as a mosquito.

Mentioned in: West Nile Virus
 Program). An assessment of meningococcal surveillance in New York State (excluding New York City) found delays but relatively complete reporting (15). The exceptionally high death rate in 1999 prompted a closer examination of these data. Median age for the year was 35, higher than median age for any other year cohort and significantly higher than median age for all other years (median age excluding 1999 = 21; p=0.013). The proportion of group Y disease was 41%, which also differed significantly from the years excluding 1999 (chi square = 19.0, p<0.01). Further epidemiologic investigation, including molecular typing, is necessary to explain the excess meningococcal deaths in New York City.

Limitations

A limitation of surveillance-based studies is the bias introduced by underreporting. However, because of the severity of the disease and the need for intravenous antibiotic treatment, most meningococcal disease case-patients are hospitalized, and the local health department is usually notified in order to track down close contacts and ensure that they receive antibiotic prophylaxis prophylaxis (prō'fĭlăk`sĭs), measures designed to prevent the occurrence of disease or its dissemination. Some examples of prophylaxis are immunization against serious diseases such as smallpox or diphtheria; quarantine to confine . A study assessing the completeness of the New York State surveillance system for meningococcal disease by using hospital discharge data as the basis for comparison showed that 93% of estimated cases in hospitalized patients in 1991 were properly reported (15). Hospital practices, such as antibiotic administration before acquisition of cultures, might render samples from case-patients culture-negative; however, no evidence suggests that a change in such practice has occurred in the study interval.

Because our inclusion criteria
For Wikipedia's inclusion criteria, see: What Wikipedia is not.


Inclusion criteria are a set of conditions that must be met in order to participate in a clinical trial.
 required a positive bacterial culture, positive cerebrospinal fluid antigen test, or purpura purpura

Presence of hemorrhages in the skin, often associated with bleeding from natural cavities and in tissues. Major causes include damage to small artery walls (as in vitamin deficiency or allergic reaction) and platelet deficiency (in association with such disorders as
 fulminansis, cases that were culture-negative where antigen testing was not available or nonmeningitis cases without purpura fulminans might have been missed. The use of these inclusion criteria was important to ensure the validity of the study and comparability to other jurisdictions but could have slightly inflated the CFR if fatal cases tend to be reported more often to the health departments.

Another limitation was the large proportion of missing information for outcome (22.1%) that may have underestimated the CFR. We minimized this problem by performing death certificate searches using multiple search criteria.

Approximately three quarters of the New York City isolates during the study period were identified by serogroup; this proportion was similar to that observed in other surveillance-based studies conducted in the United States (2,3,9). Assuming that the lack of serogroup information for a proportion of the cases was not related to problems in identifying any specific serogroup (i.e., independent from serogroup), bias was unlikely to have been responsible for the observed trends in serogroup.

The time-trend analysis performed in this study assessed the presence of epidemiologic trends during the 1990s but not the factors responsible for them. Therefore, our study was important in identifying trends, but further studies need to be conducted to test specific hypotheses about the factors responsible for them.

National surveillance data used for comparison of rates and CFR were based on the same case definitions as used in our study; however, not all jurisdictions follow these definitions. For example, New York State Department of Health excludes probable cases, and this variation in surveillance methodology may affect the national CFR used for comparison.

Conclusions

In New York City, during the period from 1989 to 2000, the overall incidence rates of meningococcal disease decreased. This reduction was more evident in the younger age groups, and therefore the median age of patients with meningococcal disease increased. Independent of the changes in the age distribution, the proportion of cases caused by serogroup Y increased and those caused by serogroup B decreased. The CFR did not change significantly throughout the study period and is higher than national figures. The incidence of serogroup B infections has dramatically declined. Evidence suggests that this decline may be the unintended result of H. influenzae type b vaccine use that incorporates the meningococcus serogroup B outer membrane protein. The implications of this finding require further research because currently no available vaccine or satisfactory method exists for controlling outbreaks from serogroup B.

Understanding trends in meningococcal disease epidemiology is important in redefining appropriate measures of control and prevention. The identification of groups at high risk and the distribution of prevailing meningococcal serogroups will be critical in future decisions and recommendations regarding the nonepidemic use of meningococcal vaccine.
Table 1. Rates of meningococcal disease, New York City,
1905-2000

Yrgroup or yr        Cases (a)      Annual rate/100,000

1905-1916              7,038               12.3
1917-1928              3,715               5.44
1929-1940              3,844               4.29
1941-1952              4,505               4.75
1953-1964              1,007               1.08
1965-1976               707                0.75
1977-1988               986                1.16
1989                    87                 1.19
1990                    79                 1.08
1991                    30                 0.41
1992                    27                 0.37
1993                    40                 0.55
1994                    42                 0.57
1995                    54                 0.73
1996                    59                 0.80
1997                    54                 0.73
1998                    35                 0.47
1999                    59                 0.79
2000                    50                 0.62
1989-2000               615                0.67

(a) Before 1945, meningococcal disease was classified as cerebrospinal
fever or epidemic spinal meningitis.

Table 2. Meningococcal incidence rates and case-fatality rates by
age group and year group, New York City, 1989-2000 (a)

Age group (yr)   1989-1991   1992-1994         1995-1997

<1                  15.9       8.15              7.25
1-4                 2.83       1.10              1.24
5-14                0.77       0.37              0.61
15-24               0.99       0.76              0.45
25-44               0.34       0.21              0.49
45-64               0.47       0.26              0.61
[greater than
or equal to] 65     0.77       0.45              0.75
All ages            0.89       0.50              0.69

Age group (yr)   1998-2000   1989-2000  Case-fatality rate (%)

<1                  4.23       8.49              13.0
1-4                 0.85       1.50              13.0
5-14                0.40       0.53               7.8
15-24               0.72       0.77              10.6
25-44               0.47       0.38              17.1
45-64               0.55       0.48              24.4
[greater than                                    32.9
or equal to] 65     0.60       0.64
All ages            0.60       0.67              16.9

(a) Rates are per 100,000.

Table 3. Annual incidence rates of Neisseria meningitidis,
serogroups B and Y, New York City, 1989-2000 (a)

                               1989-1991

Age group                B                   Y
(yr)                No.       Rate      No.       Rate

<1                   15        5.8       2        0.78
1-4                  13        1.0       0         0
5-14                 3        0.11       1        0.04
15-24                9        0.29       1        0.03
24-44                6        0.08       1        0.01
45-64                5        0.12       0         0
[greater than or
equal to] 65         3        0.10       0         0
All ages             54       0.25       5        0.02

                                1992-1994

Age group                 B                   Y
(yr)                No.       Rate      No.       Rate

<1                   11        4.3       1        0.39
1-4                  5        0.39       2        0.16
5-14                 4        0.15       0         0
15-24                5        0.16       4        0.13
24-44                4        0.05       1        0.01
45-64                1        0.02       2        0.04
[greater than or
equal to] 65         4        0.14       3        0.10
All ages             34       0.15       13       0.06

                                1995-1997

Age group                B                   Y
(yr)                No.       Rate      No.       Rate

<1                   9        2.7        3        0.91
1-4                  4        0.31       2        0.15
5-14                 3        0.09       3        0.09
15-24                2        0.06       3        0.09
24-44                8        0.10       15       0.19
45-64                2        0.04       11       0.22
[greater than or
equal to] 65         2        0.07       8        0.28
All ages             30       0.12       45       0.19

                                1998-2000

Age group                 B                   Y
(yr)                No.       Rate      No.       Rate

<1                   4         1.2       5         1.5
1-4                  2        0.15       1        0.08
5-14                 1        0.03       9        0.27
15-24                3        0.09       7        0.21
24-44                3        0.04       7        0.09
45-64                4        0.08       17       0.33
[greater than or
equal to] 65         2        0.07       10       0.36
All ages             19       0.08       56       0.23

(a) Rates are per 100,000 and use 1990 and 2000 census figures.


Acknowledgments

We are indebted to Katherine Bomschlegel, Stephen Friedman Stephen Friedman may refer to a number of persons:
  • Stephen Friedman (PFIAB) is, as of 2006, the Chairman of the President's Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board.
  • Stephen J.
, and Sheila Palevsky for their assistance in obtaining data for the study; Candace Noonan-Toly, Ling-Chuan Wu, and Kathy Gardiner for comparison data; and the New York City Public Health Laboratory. We also thank Louise Berenson and Wenhui Li for performing the death certificate searches and the staff of the Communicable Disease communicable disease
n.
A disease that is transmitted through direct contact with an infected individual or indirectly through a vector. Also called contagious disease.
 and Integrated Surveillance programs.

References

(1.) Rosenstein NE, Perkins BA, Stephens DS, Popovic T, Hughes JM. Meningococcal disease. N Engl J Med 2001;344:1378-88.

(2.) Rosenstein NE, Perkins BA, Stephens DS, Lefkowitz L, Cartter ML, Danila R, et al. The changing epidemiology of meningococcal disease in the United States, 1992-1996. J Infect Dis 1999; 180:1894-901.

(3.) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Serogroup Y meningococcal disease--Illinois, Connecticut, and selected areas, United States, 1989-1996. MMWR MMWR Morbidity & Mortality Weekly Report Epidemiology A news bulletin published by the CDC, which provides epidemiologic data–eg, statistics on the incidence of AIDS, rabies, rubella, STDs and other communicable diseases, causes of mortality–eg,  Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 1996;45:1010-3.

(4.) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Case definitions for conditions under public health surveillance. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 1997;46:30.

(5.) Ely JW, Dawson JD, Lemke JH, Rosenberg J. An introduction to time-trend analysis. Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol 1997; 18:267-74.

(6.) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Summary of notifiable diseases The following is a list of notifiable diseases arranged by country. Australia
Source:[1]
  • Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS)
  • Anthrax
  • Arbovirus infections:
, United States, 1989-2000. Vols. 38-49. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. Available from: URL URL
 in full Uniform Resource Locator

Address of a resource on the Internet. The resource can be any type of file stored on a server, such as a Web page, a text file, a graphics file, or an application program.
: http://www.cdc.gov/MMWR/summary.html

(7.) Jackson LA, Schuchat A, Reeves MW, Wenger JD. Serogroup C meningococcal outbreaks in the United States. JAMA JAMA
abbr.
Journal of the American Medical Association
 1995;273:383-9.

(8.) Whalen CM, Hockin JC, Ryan A, Ashton F. The changing epidemiology of invasive meningococcal disease in Canada, 1985 through 1992. JAMA 1995;273:390-4.

(9.) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Serogroup W-135 meningococcal disease among travelers returning from Saudi Arabia--United States, 2000. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2000;49:345-6.

(10.) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Serogroup B meningococcal disease--Oregon, 1994. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 1995;44:121-4.

(11.) Vella PP, Staub JM, Armstrong J, Dolan KT, Rusk CM, Syzmanski S, et al. Immunogenicity immunogenicity /im·mu·no·ge·nic·i·ty/ (-je-nis´it-e) the property enabling a substance to provoke an immune response, or the degree to which a substance possesses this property.  of a new Haemophilus influenzae type b conjugate vaccine Haemophilus influenzae type b conjugate vaccine
n.
See Hib vaccine.
 (meningococcal protein conjugate conjugate /con·ju·gate/ (kon´jdbobr-gat)
1. paired, or equally coupled; working in unison.

2. a conjugate diameter of the pelvic inlet; used alone usually to denote the true conjugate diameter; see
) (PedvaxHIB). Pediatrics 1990;85:668-75.

(12.) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Prevention and control of meningococcal disease--recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices The Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) consists of fifteen advisors to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), selected by the Secretary of the United States Department of Health and Human Services, to provide advice and guidance on the most effective  (ACIP ACIP Cardiology A clinical trial–Asymptomatic Cardiac Ischemia Pilot Study that evaluated 3 therapeutic strategies2 for ↓ myocardial ischemia during exercise testing. ). MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2000;49:1-10.

(13.) Perkins BA. New opportunities for prevention of meningococcal disease. JAMA 2000;283:2842-3.

(14.) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Meningococcal disease--New England, 1993-1998. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 1999;48:629-33.

(15.) Ackman DM, Birkhead G, Flynn M. Assessment of surveillance for meningococcal disease in New York State, 1991. Am J Epidemiol 1996; 144:78-82.

Address for correspondence: Don Weiss, Bureau of Communicable Disease, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, 125 Worth St., Box 22A, New York, NY 10013, USA; fax: (212) 676-6091; e-mail:Dweiss@health.nyc.gov

Alexandre Sampaio Moura, * ([dagger]) Ariel Pablos-Mendez, ([dagger]), ([double dagger double dagger
n.
A reference mark () used in printing and writing. Also called diesis.

Noun 1.
]) Marcelle Layton, * and Don Weiss *

* New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, New York, New York, USA; ([dagger]) Columbia University Columbia University, mainly in New York City; founded 1754 as King's College by grant of King George II; first college in New York City, fifth oldest in the United States; one of the eight Ivy League institutions. , New York, New York, USA; and ([double dagger]) Rockefeller Foundation Rockefeller Foundation, philanthropic institution established (1913) by John D. Rockefeller, Sr., to promote "the well-being of mankind throughout the world." During its first 14 years the foundation received $183 million from Rockefeller. , New York, New York, USA

Dr. Moura earned a master's degree master's degree
n.
An academic degree conferred by a college or university upon those who complete at least one year of prescribed study beyond the bachelor's degree.

Noun 1.
 in public health from Columbia University, New York, while conducting research on the epidemiology of meningococcal disease as an intern intern /in·tern/ (in´tern) a medical graduate serving in a hospital preparatory to being licensed to practice medicine.

in·tern or in·terne
n.
 at New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene. He works as an epidemiology consultant at the HIV HIV (Human Immunodeficiency Virus), either of two closely related retroviruses that invade T-helper lymphocytes and are responsible for AIDS. There are two types of HIV: HIV-1 and HIV-2. HIV-1 is responsible for the vast majority of AIDS in the United States.  division at Belo Horizonte Belo Horizonte (bəl'rēzôN`tĭ) [Port.,=beautiful horizon], city (1996 pop. 2,091,770), capital of Minas Gerais state, E Brazil.  City Health Department, Brazil. His current research interests include HIV/AIDS HIV/AIDS Human Immunodeficiency Virus/Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome  epidemiology and the study of hepatitis C Hepatitis C Definition

Hepatitis C is a form of liver inflammation that causes primarily a long-lasting (chronic) disease. Acute (newly developed) hepatitis C is rarely observed as the early disease is generally quite mild.
 in special populations.
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