Environmental change in Garibaldi Provincial Park, Southern Coast Mountains, British Columbia.SUMMARY
We are reconstructing Holocene environments in Garibaldi Provincial Park Garibaldi Provincial Park is a wilderness park located in British Columbia, Canada, about 70 kilometres (43.5 mi) north of Vancouver. The park is located to the east of the Sea to Sky Highway between Squamish and Whistler and covers an area of over 1,950 square kilometres , in the southern Coast Mountains Coast Mountains, range, W British Columbia and SE Alaska, extending c.1,000 mi (1,610 km) parallel to the Pacific coast, from the mountains of Alaska near the Yukon border to the Cascade Range near the Fraser River. Mt. of British Columbia British Columbia, province (2001 pop. 3,907,738), 366,255 sq mi (948,600 sq km), including 6,976 sq mi (18,068 sq km) of water surface, W Canada. Geography
, by examining a diverse set of paleoenvironmental records, including tree-rings, lake sediments, glacial landforms Many now-familiar glacial landforms were created by the movement of huge sheets of ice called continental glaciers during the Pleistocene Epoch (more commonly called the Ice Age. , and photographs. This integrated study, in combination with previous research in adjacent areas, is providing a more detailed picture of past climate, vegetation, and glacier extent in Garibaldi Park than has heretofore been available. The data suggest recurrent, complex, and successively more extensive glacier advances during the last half of the Holocene, followed by dramatic warming, snow and ice loss, and a rise in treeline in the twentieth century. The multi-proxy approach used in this study is broadly applicable to other mountain areas. It yields more reliable and robust paleoenvironmental reconstructions than approaches based on only one or two types of data.
Nous travaillons a reconstituer les conditions environnementales holocenes dans le parc provincial Garibaldi, dans la region sud des montagnes cotieres de la Colombie-Britannique, en etudiant divers ensembles de variables representatives du paleoenvironnement, dont les anneaux de croissance des arbres, les sediments lacustres, les formes (language, music) Formes - An object-oriented language for music composition and synthesis, written in VLISP.
["Formes: Composition and Scheduling of Processes", X. Rodet & P. Cointe, Computer Music J 8(3):32-50 (Fall 1984)]. des paysages glaciaires, et des photographies. La presente etude e·tude
1. A piece composed for the development of a specific point of technique.
2. A composition featuring a point of technique but performed because of its artistic merit. synoptique, combinee aux resultats des recherches sur des regions adjacentes, nous fournit une image plus detaillee du climat, de la vegetation et de l'etendue glaciaire d'alors dans le parc Garibaldi. Les donnees permettent de penser que durant la derniere moitie de l'Holocene, les avancees glaciaires ont ete recurrentes, complexes et de plus en plus etendues. Par la suite, il y a eu rechauffement spectaculaire, deperdition de neige et glace, ainsi qu'une elevation de latitude de la limite forestiere au cours du XXe seicle. L'approche par combinaisons de variables representatives utilisees dans la presente recherche re·cher·ché
1. Uncommon; rare.
2. Exquisite; choice.
3. Overrefined; forced.
4. Pretentious; overblown. peut etre employee tel quel
Tel Quel (in English "as is") was an avant-garde journal for literature, founded in 1960 in Paris (Éditions du Seuil) by Philippe Sollers. pour l'etude d'autres regions montagneuses. Les reconstitutions paleo-environnementales sont plus fiables et plus sures que celles reposant sur un ou deux types de donnees.
The Kyoto Accord and recent droughts on the Canadian Prairies The Canadian prairies is a large area of flat sedimentary land stretching throughout western Canada between the Canadian Shield in the east and the Canadian Rockies. The Canadian prairies – the portion of the Great Plains landform that supports various grasses and shrubs have heightened public interest in climate change. In many areas of the Northern Hemisphere, the 1990s were the warmest decade of the last century and, possibly, the last 1000 years (Fig. 1; Mann et al., 1998). Most climate scientists agree that this recent warming is anomalous, but debate continues about its source. Part of the difficulty in establishing the cause of warming on such short time scales is that Earth's climate system is complex, strongly nonlinear, and behaves in poorly understood ways. One way to improve our understanding of Earth's climate is to study its behaviour over long periods, ranging from centuries to millennia or more (Bradley and Jones, 1993).
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Many biological and physical systems are sensitive to changes in temperature, precipitation, and other climate variables. Their careful study may provide a long-term perspective on climate change and its causes. Confidence in such proxies as faithful recorders of past climate is increased when a common climate signal can be obtained from several independent sources (Mann, 2002).
Alpine and subalpine sub·al·pine
1. Of or relating to regions at or near the foot of the Alps.
2. Of, relating to, inhabiting, or growing in mountainous regions just below the timberline.
Adj. 1. environments are particularly sensitive to climate change. Many ecological and geomorphic ge·o·mor·phic
Of or resembling the earth or its shape or surface configuration. processes in high mountains are influenced by changes in precipitation and temperature (Ryder, 1998; Luckman and Kavanagh, 2000). We are using a multi-proxy approach to reconstruct past precipitation and temperature in Garibaldi Provincial Park in the southern Coast Mountains north of Vancouver over the past several millennia. Garibaldi Park is an ideal location for this research because 60% of the area is above treeline, 21% is covered by snow and glacier ice, and its climate is controlled by both maritime and continental air masses. In addition, Garibaldi Park is near a major urban centre and is one of the most visited provincial parks in British Columbia.
In this paper, we briefly discuss previous paleoenvironmental research in the mountains of western Canada
Western Canada, commonly referred to as the West and present some of our findings from Garibaldi Park. The objectives of the paper are to 1) illustrate the main methods used in Holocene alpine environmental reconstruction in the Cordillera cor·dil·le·ra
An extensive chain of mountains or mountain ranges, especially the principal mountain system of a continent.
[Spanish, from cordilla, diminutive of cuerda, cord of western Canada, 2) show the power of multidisciplinary research in elucidating past enviromnents, and 3) summarize the history of late Holocene environmental change in the park.
Our research is partly driven by the premise that a better understanding of past climate change is important for forecasting future impacts of a warming climate. As glaciers in the southern Coast Mountains recede re·cede 1
intr.v. re·ced·ed, re·ced·ing, re·cedes
1. To move back or away from a limit, point, or mark: waited for the floodwaters to recede.
2. and, in some cases, disappear, the timing and magnitude of runoff may change significantly, affecting fish populations, power generation, and water supply. The disappearance of glaciers may also impact tourism as they are a major attraction for outdoor enthusiasts. Furthermore, changes in treeline can adversely impact some plants and wildlife that depend on open parkland.
CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH IN WESTERN CANADA
Researchers have used historical climate and observational data in conjunction with proxy climate records to reconstruct decadal- to centennial-scale fluctuations in climate over the last millennium (Fig. 1). The period that has received the most attention is the Little Ice Age, which began about AD 1200 and ended about AD 1900 (Grove, 2001; Luckman, 2004). Global surface air temperatures during the Little Ice Age may have averaged about I[degrees]C lower than today, but fluctuated markedly over decadal and centennial timescales (Bradley and Jones, 1993). Most glaciers were more extensive during the Little Ice Age than at present. Those in the Canadian Rockies The Canadian Rockies comprise the Canadian segment of the North American Rocky Mountains range. The southern end in Alberta and British Columbia borders Idaho and Montana of the USA. The northern end is at the Liard Plain in British Columbia. , for example, achieved their maximum extent of the last 10,000 years in the seventeenth to nineteenth centuries (Luckman, 2000).
Much of the research on Holocene glacier and climate fluctuations in western Canada has been done in the southern Canadian Rocky Mountains (see Luckman, 2000, for references). A variety of methods has been used to identify and date former glacier margins in the Rockies, including geomorphic analysis, stratigraphic stra·tig·ra·phy
The study of rock strata, especially the distribution, deposition, and age of sedimentary rocks.
strat and sedimentological observations, radiocarbon dating of fossil plants in glacial sediments, dendrochronology dendrochronology: see dating.
Method of scientific dating based on the analysis of tree rings. Because the width of annular rings varies with climatic conditions, laboratory analysis of timber core samples allows scientists to , and lichenometry. Changes in tree growth at high elevations and changes in sediment delivery to proglacial lakes have also been used to infer climate and glacier fluctuations during the Holocene (Leonard, 1997; Luckman, 2000).
Other mountain ranges in western Canada have been studied in far less detail than the Rockies, and much of that work has been done in the British Columbia Coast The British Columbia Coast is one of Canada's two continental coastlines; the other being the coastline from the Beaufort Sea of the Arctic Ocean via the Northwest Passage and Hudson Bay to the Ungava Peninsula and Labrador and the Gulf of St. Mountains (e.g., Mathews, 1951; Brink, 1959; Ryder and Thomson, 1986; Ryder, 1987; Desloges and Ryder, 1990; Smith and Laroque, 1996; Smith and Desloges, 2000; Gedalof et al., 2002; Larocque and Smith, 2003; Clague et al., 2004). Most of these studies, however, utilize only one or two types of paleoenvironmental proxy data to detail past climate change. In this article, we use documentary, geumorphic, sedimentological, and biological evidence to more fully document paleoenvironmental change in one area of the Coast Mountains over the past several millennia.
Garibaldi Provincial Park is situated in the southern Coast Mountains, about 70 km north of Vancouver, British Columbia (Fig. 2). It was one of the first provincial parks established in the province, having been given park status in 1927 after several years of lobbying by recreational and environmental enthusiasts. There are more than 150 glaciers in Garibaldi Park, including two icefields larger than 10 [km.sup.2] (Garibaldi Neve and Mamquam Icefield). Several peaks are more than 2500 m in elevation. Mount Garibaldi (2678 m asl) is only 20 km from tidewater at the head of Howe Sound.
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The landscape of Garibaldi Park has been strongly shaped by Quaternary quaternary /qua·ter·nary/ (kwah´ter-nar?e)
1. fourth in order.
2. containing four elements or groups.
1. Consisting of four; in fours. continental and alpine glaciation. Mount Garibaldi is a Quaternary volcano, and its present form is the product of an explosive eruption at the end of the last glaciation, about 13,000 years ago. At that time, the western half of the volcano erupted onto glacier ice filling nearby Cheakamus and Squamish valleys, and subsequently collapsed when the ice melted (Mathews, 1952).
The southwestern part of the park is strongly influenced by maritime air masses, bur climate becomes increasing continental to the north and east. Overall, the climate is humid and cool, with very wet winters and dry summers. Annual precipitation ranges from 1000 to more than 3000 mm. More than 75% of the precipitation falls as snow between October and March.
Vegetation in Garibaldi Park is altitudinally zoned. A forest dominated by mountain hemlock hemlock, any tree of the genus Tsuga, coniferous evergreens of the family Pinaceae (pine family) native to North America and Asia. The common hemlock of E North America is T. and subalpine fir covers most areas between 1000 m and 1700 m asl (Brooke et al., 1970). At the upper limit of this zone, continuous forest gives way to parkland comprising islands of small, commonly stunted trees and subalpine meadows (Brooke et al., 1970).
Instrument records, photographs, and documents are the most reliable sources of information on past vegetation, ice cover, and climate in mountains. Photographs and maps are available for Garibaldi Park, but only for the last 90 years. Climate data for the park are limited, and climate data from adjacent areas only reach back to the late 19th century. Thus other means must be used to assess environmental change. Fortunately, Garibaldi Park contains many natural climate archives. One example is the park's forests. The widths and densities of annual rings in trees are partly controlled by climate, specifically temperature, precipitation, and snow cover. Furthermore, since tree rings can be resolved to the year, they afford opportunities to date glacier advances, for example where trees have been overridden by a glacier. Times of glacier advance and retreat can be less precisely determined by radiocarbon dating in situ In place. When something is "in situ," it is in its original location. and detrital de·tri·tus
n. pl. detritus
1. Loose fragments or grains that have been worn away from rock.
a. Disintegrated or eroded matter: the detritus of past civilizations. wood in glacier forefields or glacial deposits, and by measuring lichens Lichens
Symbiotic associations of fungi (mycobionts) and photosynthetic partners (photobionts). These associations always result in a distinct morphological body termed a thallus that may adhere tightly to the substrate or be leafy, stalked, or hanging. and soils on moraines and other glacial landforms (Luckman, 1998; Larocque and Smith, 2003). Proglacial lake sediments are another valuable climate proxy. Many proglacial lakes experience higher sedimentation during times of more extensive ice cover or rapid glacier retreat (Leonard, 1986, 1997; Menounos, 2002). Sediments in many proglacial lakes are varved (annually laminated) and thus offer the same temporal resolution as trees for paleoenvironmental studies. They also provide a continuous record of environmental change, unlike moraines and other glacial landforms, and that record may extend much farther back in time than living trees. A disadvantage of lake sediment records is that sedimentation in lakes can be influenced by factors not related to glacier fluctuations, for example landslides and floods. In addition, lags may exist between the production of sediment under glaciers and its delivery to lakes.
Glaciers in western North America advance or retreat in response to changes in winter accumulation and synoptic syn·op·tic also syn·op·ti·cal
1. Of or constituting a synopsis; presenting a summary of the principal parts or a general view of the whole.
a. Taking the same point of view.
b. conditions during summer (e.g., Burbank, 1982; Bitz and Battisti, 1999; Moore and Demuth, 2001). The net mass balance of Sentinel Glacier in Garibaldi Park, for example, is positively correlated with winter precipitation ([r.sup.2] = 0.70) and negatively correlated ([r.sup.2] = -0.32) with summer temperature (Bitz and Battisti, 1999). Inter-annual to inter-decadal changes in winter accumulation in western North America are influenced by large-scale, ocean-atmospheric processes, including the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation ) (Shabbar and Khandekar, 1996; Shabbar et al., 1997), and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) is a pattern of Pacific climate variability that shifts phases on at least inter-decadal time scale, usually about 20 to 30 years. The PDO is detected as warm or cool surface waters in the Pacific Ocean, north of 20° N. (PDO PDO Php Data Objects (PHP extension)
PDO Protected Designation of Origin (EC)
PDO Pacific Decadal Oscillation (weather)
PDO Property Damage Only ), an index of inter-annual to inter-decadal North Pacific sea surface temperature Sea surface temperature (SST) is the water temperature at the surface. In practical terms, the exact meaning of "surface" will vary according to the measurement method used. anomalies (Mantua Mantua (măn`chə, –tə), Ital. Mantova, city (1991 pop. 53,065), capital of Mantova prov. and Hare, 2002).
The PDO and ENSO exert their strongest control in the mountains of western North America during winter (Mantua and Hare, 2002). Glaciers that have a persistent positive net mass balance will adjust their areas, lengths, and thickness to accommodate the increased mass. They typically leave moraines and trimlines, delimiting their former extents long after they have receded. Conspicuous moraines and trimlines in Garibaldi Park delineate the maximum recent cover of ice during the Little Ice Age (Fig. 2, 3).
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The time of the Little Ice Age maximum in Garibaldi Park may differ from glacier to glacier by as much as decades due to differences in glacier response times, but Figures 2 and 3 give a sense of the amount of ice loss in the park since the most extensive advance of the Little Ice Age in the early eighteenth century. At least 630 [km.sup.2] (33 %) of the park was covered by ice in the early eighteenth century. Ice cover today is 390 [km.sup.2], a loss of 38 % in less than 300 years (Koch et al., 2003a). Moraines dating to the late nineteenth century are very close to Little Ice Age maximum ice limits, thus most of the ice loss has happened in the last 150 years. In fact, much of the thinning and retreat date to the last 80 years (Fig. 3) and occurred during two intervals, one between about 1930 and 1960 and another starting in the late 1970s and continuing to the present. The two retreat phases were separated by a stillstand or minor re-advance of many glaciers in the late 1960s and early 1970s (Fig. 3). Glaciers in other parts of the Canadian Cordillera have fluctuated in a similar manner to those in Garibaldi Park since the late nineteenth century (e.g., Osborn and Luckman, 1988; Luckman, 2000).
Ages of glacier advances can be estimated by dating plant remains in lateral and terminal moraines, or by determining the age of trees or lichens growing on the moraines (Fig. 4, 5; Luckman, 2000). Changes in tree growth may reveal the duration of an advance, as both react to the same forcing (Luckman, 2000). Cooler climate leads to glacier advance and, commonly, to narrow rings in temperature-sensitive trees (Luckman, 1996, 1998). Some tree species, for example mountain hemlock (Peterson and Peterson, 2001), may likewise form narrow rings during years when the snowpack snow·pack
An area of naturally formed, packed snow that usually melts during the warmer months.
1. is thick and lingers late into the summer.
[FIGURES 4-5 OMITTED]
The oldest tree on a moraine moraine (mərān`), a formation composed of unsorted and unbedded rock and soil debris called till, which was deposited by a glacier. The till that falls on the sides of a valley glacier from the bounding cliffs makes up lateral moraines, provides a minimum estimate for the time of moraine stabilization (Fig. 4; Lawrence, 1946). The tree ages need to be adjusted to account for the time between moraine stabilization and seedling germination germination, in a seed, process by which the plant embryo within the seed resumes growth after a period of dormancy and the seedling emerges. The length of dormancy varies; the seed of some plants (e.g. ("ecesis e·ce·sis
The successful establishment of a plant or animal species in a habitat.
[From Greek oik "; McCarthy and Luckman, 1993; Winchester and Harrison, 2000). Photographic records and field studies indicate that the ecesis interval in Garibaldi Park is generally less than 20 years, but in some situations can be as long as 70 years (Koch, unpublished data).
The age of a glacial advance can also be estimated by dating living trees damaged during the advance, dead trees in growth position overridden by the glacier (in situ stumps), and detrital wood within moraines or lying on the surface in the glacier forefield (Fig. 5; Luckman, 1998, and references therein). The most valuable ages are those derived from in situ trees, especially if the rings can be cross-dated into living chronologies to obtain the year when the tree was damaged or killed. Detrital wood and damaged and dead trees in growth position are present in the forefields of glaciers in Garibaldi Park, allowing us to acquire a more complete Holocene glacier record than his been possible in other parts of the Coast Mountains to date. Radiocarbon dating of these materials has revealed advances around 6000 and 3000 years ago and during the last 500 years (Fig. 6; Koch et al., 2004). Evidence for these events is provided by in situ stumps and detrital wood from several glaciers in Garibaldi Park. Other, more poorly constrained advances occurred about 8000 (Menounos et al., 2004), 4500, and 1500 years ago. The 8000- and 4500-year advances are inferred from detrital wood in the forefields of two glaciers in the park. Evidence for the 1500-year-old event has been found at only one glacier in the park, but has been documented elsewhere in the southern Coast Mountains (Reyes et al., 2004).
[FIGURE 6 OMITTED]
Late Little Ice Age moraines in Garibaldi Park have been dated more precisely by lichenometry and dendrochronology. Most glaciers achieved their maximum Little Ice Age extent in the late seventeenth or early eighteenth century (Koch et al., 2004).
Tree growth and climate
Alpine environments are ideal sites for dendroclimatic studies. Trees near treeline produce annual rings that vary in width and density in response to changing environmental conditions. Temperature and precipitation are the principal environmental factors affecting tree growth near treeline (Fritts, 1976; Schweingruber, 1996). Subalpine coniferous con·i·fer
Any of various mostly needle-leaved or scale-leaved, chiefly evergreen, cone-bearing gymnospermous trees or shrubs such as pines, spruces, and firs. trees are particularly useful for reconstructing climate over the last millennium because they respond to changes in temperature and precipitation, yet can live for hundreds of years. Subalpine fir and mountain hemlock, for example, can attain ages of about 300 and 900 years, respectively.
Ring-width chronologies of these species correlate positively with summer temperature and the PDO, and correlate negatively with winter precipitation, spring snowpack depth, and glacier mass balance
Crucial to the survival of a glacier is its mass balance, the difference between accumulation and ablation (melting and sublimation). (Lewis, 2001; Peterson and Peterson, 2001; Gedalof et al., 2002; Peterson et al., 2002). Mountain hemlock ring-width chronologies can also be correlated over much of the Pacific Northwest, including Garibaldi Park (Gedalof and Smith, 2001), which allows us to apply them in our study.
Sediments in many lakes consist of distinctive annual couplets, termed varves. Varves yield valuable hydroclimatic information that cannot be obtained from other paleoenvironmental datasets. Flood events and seasonal hydrology hydrology, study of water and its properties, including its distribution and movement in and through the land areas of the earth. The hydrologic cycle consists of the passage of water from the oceans into the atmosphere by evaporation and transpiration (or , for example, can be inferred from detailed sedimentological analysis of varves (Menounos, 2002). The lower, coarser grained portion of a varve varve, in geology, pair of thin sedimentary layers formed annually by seasonal climatic changes. Usually found in glacial lake deposits, varves consist of a coarse-grained, light-colored summer deposit and a finer-grained, dark-colored winter deposit formed when fine is deposited during late spring and early summer snowmelt snow·melt
1. The runoff from melting snow.
2. A period or season when such runoff occurs: streams that flood during snowmelt. . Other coarse layers may record severe rain-on-snow storms in the watershed, typically in summer or fall (Fig. 7). The basal, coarse layer of a varve is commonly overlain o·ver·lain
Past participle of overlie. by microlaminared silt and clay, reflecting variable streamflow Streamflow, or channel runoff, is the flow of water in streams, rivers, and other channels, and is a major element of the water cycle. It is one component of the runoff of water from the land to waterbodies, the other component being surface runoff. during summer. These sediments, in turn, are capped by clay deposited during winter when inflow to the lake is lowest and the lake is ice-covered.
[FIGURE 7 OMITTED]
Reconstructing hydroclimaric events from lake sediments is complicated by changes in sediment supply (Desloges and Gilbert, 1995), which result, for example, from fluctuations in glaciers (Leonard, 1997) or summer temperature (Leonard, 1986) on decadal and centennial timescales. Acquisition of varved sediment records from several lakes in a region can reveal the common hydrological hy·drol·o·gy
The scientific study of the properties, distribution, and effects of water on the earth's surface, in the soil and underlying rocks, and in the atmosphere. signals contained in the records.
We have obtained and analyzed cores of varved sediments from Cheakamus, Green, and Glacier lakes (Fig. 2). Some of the conclusions that we have drawn from these records are 1) varve thickness is most highly correlated with the intensity of the annual flood during the period of streamflow monitoring; 2) varve thickness correlates with inter-annual changes in air temperature prior to the period of rapid glacier recession in the early twentieth century; and 3) temporal patterns of sedimentation are consistent with published records of glacial activity in the Canadian Cordillera and with our moraine chronologies based on tree rings and lichens. The lake sediment records suggest that ice cover was more extensive 3000 to 2500 years ago and between AD 1700 and 1920 than at present.
Changes in treeline provide important insights into past climate. Treeline is a dynamic boundary reflecting a balance between environmental conditions favouring and limiting tree growth (Arno and Hammerly, 1984). Temperature and the depth and duration of snowpack determine the location of treeline. Trees do not germinate successfully where the mean temperature of the warmest month is less than ca. 10[degrees]C (Arno and Hammerly, 1984). Thick snowpack and late-lying snow also determine vegetation distribution in the subalpine zone, as snow inhibits the successful germination of trees (Arno and Hammerly, 1984). Differences in aspect and local topography result in a variable vegetation cover near treeline, with islands of trees separated by meadows, an ecotone e·co·tone
A transitional zone between two communities containing the characteristic species of each.
[eco- + Greek tonos, tension, tone; see tone. referred to as parkland. For this reason, the term "treeline" represents a transitional zone transitional zone
1. The region of the lens of the eye where cells from the anterior epithelial capsule become transformed into the fibers that compose the lens substance.
2. rather than an exact altitudinal line (Holtmeier, 1985).
Alpine treeline fluctuated throughout the Holocene, at all timescales and in all mountain ranges around the world (Rochefort et al., 1994; Kullman, 1995). Treeline was lowest during the final phase of the Little Ice Age in the nineteenth century. Since then, treeline has advanced upslope, reaching heights not attained for several centuries or even millennia (Kullman, 2001). Recent studies indicate that treeline is more sensitive to small changcs in climate than previously thought and that paleotreelinc identification may prove to be a useful tool for reconstructing past climate (Kullman, 1998). The Pacific Northwest shows great potential in this regard (Woodward et al., 1995; Rochefort and Peterson, 1996).
Treeline in Garibaldi Park has not been disturbed by humans, and apparently his not been affected, at least over the last several hundred years, by large forest fires (Cashman, 2004) or insect outbreaks. Therefore, recent shifts in treeline can be attributed to changes in climate. We have determined the position of treeline at a few locations in Garibaldi Park in the twentieth century from photographic records dating back to the 1910s (Fig. 8). We have also sampled trees in areas with long photographic records to establish germination dates and growth rates Growth Rates
The compounded annualized rate of growth of a company's revenues, earnings, dividends, or other figures.
Remember, historically high growth rates don't always mean a high rate of growth looking into the future. (Koch et al., 2003b). Similar studies in the Canadian Rocky Mountains have provided important information on climate change (Luckman and Kavanagh, 2000) and for use in land management (Rhemtulla et al., 2002). Preliminary findings from our study indicate that treeline in some parts of Garibaldi Park has risen about 40 m over the last 100 years, and that many alpine meadows have been invaded by trees over this period (Koch et al., 2003b).
[FIGURE 8 OMITTED]
The climate of western Canada has fluctuated considerably since the last ice sheet disappeared from the region about 11,000 years ago. On the longest timescale timescale
the period of time within which events occur or are due to occur
timescale n → délais mpl
timescale time (Brit) n , we see progressive cooling over the Holocene. Cooling was accompanied by successively more extensive advances of glaciers and was driven by a progressive decrease in summer solar insolation in the Northern Hemisphere (Luckman, 1993, 2000).
Long-term changes in solar insolation, however, cannot explain the shorter, decadal-scale changes in climate inferred from the geological and historical records, including those of the last century. Most of these shorter-term climate changes are driven by complex, poorly understood, ocean-atmosphere effects (Clark et al., 2002), by short-term changes in the total output of radiation from the Sun (Lean, 2002), by volcanism volcanism
Any of various processes and phenomena associated with the surface discharge of molten rock or hot water and steam, including volcanoes, geysers, and fumaroles. (Angell and Korshover, 1985), or by some combination of these factors (Paul and Schulz, 2002). Environmental changes since the end of the Little Ice Age, however, suggest that the climate of the twentieth century was unusual in the context of the Holocene. The changes include average global surface warming of about 1[degrees]C (Bradley and Jones, 1993), recession of some glaciers from their most advanced positions of the last 10,000 years to positions they likely have not occupied in the last 8000 years (Koch et al., 2004), and concurrent upward migration of treeline from its lowest Holocene level to a level most likely not reached in the last 7000 years (Kullman, 2001). If this trend continues into the future, we may pass through a threshold from the present climate regime into a new, different one, with unexpected consequences for all of us.
We thank the British Columbia Mountaineering Club The British Columbia Mountaineering Club (BCMC) is a mountaineering organization, based in Vancouver, British Columbia. Founded on on October 28, 1907 as the Vancouver Mountaineering Club and its President Michael Feller for giving us access to their archive of historical photos of Garibaldi Provincial Park. We are also grateful to British Columbia Archives for access to the original glass negatives of the first geodetic survey of the park by A.J. Campbell, and to BC Parks and the rangers of Garibaldi Park, especially Chris Platz, for their support. Funding for the research was provided by the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council The Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council (NSERC) is a Canadian government division that provides grants for research in the natural sciences and in engineering. In 2004-2005, it will invest CAD $850 million in university-based research and training. of Canada, Simon Fraser University Simon Fraser University, main campus at Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada; provincially supported; coeducational; chartered 1963, opened 1965. The Harbour Centre campus in downtown Vancouver opened in 1989. , the University of British Columbia Locations
The Vancouver campus is located at Point Grey, a twenty-minute drive from downtown Vancouver. It is near several beaches and has views of the North Shore mountains. The 7. , and the Geological Society of America The Geological Society of America (or GSA) is a nonprofit organization dedicated to the advancement of the geosciences. The society was founded in New York in 1888 by James Hall, James D. . B.H. Luckman and an anonymous reviewer provided valuable comments that improved the quality of the paper.
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Type of computer storage medium that is read optically (e.g., by a laser). ), v. 28, p. 78.
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(2) (Compatible Communications A , and CRSA CRSA Chinese Radio Sports Association
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CRSA Control Risk Self Assessment
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Accepted as revised 8 June 2004
Johannes Koch (1)*, Brian Menounos (2), John J. Clague John J. Clague PhD FRSC is an award-winning Canadian authority in Quaternary and environmental earth sciences. He is a Professor of Earth Sciences at Simon Fraser University and an Emeritus Scientist of the Geological Survey of Canada. (1), and Gerald D. Osborn (3)
(1) Department of Earth Sciences, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, B.C., V5A 1S6 *email@example.com
(2) Geography Program, University of Northern British Columbia The British Columbia legislature established the university on 21 June 1990 with the UNBC Act in response to a grass roots movement spearheaded by the Interior University Society. Prince George, BC, V2N 4Z9
(3) Department of Geology and Geophysics University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, T2N 1N4