Energen Initiates 2006 Earnings Guidance; Adds 2006 Natural Gas, Oil Hedges.BIRMINGHAM, Ala ALA aminolevulinic acid. Ala alanine. ala (a´lah) pl. a´lae [L.] a winglike process. . -- Energen Corporation (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange :EGN EGN External Gateway Network (WorldCom) EGN East Gate News EGN European Games Network ) announced today that it is initiating earnings guidance for 2006 with a range of $4.65-$4.85 per diluted di·lute tr.v. di·lut·ed, di·lut·ing, di·lutes 1. To make thinner or less concentrated by adding a liquid such as water. 2. To lessen the force, strength, purity, or brilliance of, especially by admixture. share. In addition, Energen announced that it has hedged approximately 10 percent of its estimated 2006 natural gas production and increased its 2006 oil hedge position. Embedded Inserted into. See embedded system. in Energen's 2006 earnings guidance is the assumption that average NYMEX See New York Mercantile Exchange. NYMEX See New York Mercantile Exchange (NYM). prices applicable to its unhedged natural gas and oil production will average $6.15 per thousand cubic feet (Mcf) and $35 per barrel, respectively. The assumed average price for unhedged natural gas liquids (NGL NGL - A dialect of IGL. ) production in 2006 is approximately 58 cents per gallon. "Our 2006 price assumptions leave a lot of potential for commodity price-driven earnings upside Upside The potential dollar amount by which the market or a stock could rise. Notes: This is basically an educated guess on how high a stock could go in the near future. See also: Bull, Downside given that current 2006 strip prices are approximately $44.50 per barrel for oil and $6.50 per Mcf for natural gas," said Mike Warren
"In 2006 Energen once again will look to its oil and gas acquisition and development subsidiary, Energen Resources Corporation Energen Resources Corporation is the largest subsidiary of Energen Corporation, a diversified energy company headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama. It is a growing oil and gas acquisition and development company that has approximately 1. , as the Company's growth driver," Warren said. "We also plan to continue relying on Alagasco, our strong natural gas utility, to contribute moderate earnings growth and provide the majority of dividend income for our shareholders." Included in the Company's 2006 guidance of $4.65-$4.85 per diluted share is an estimated 16 cents per diluted share from unidentified oil and gas property acquisitions of approximately $200 million each in the fourth quarters of 2005 and 2006. The Company today added its first natural gas hedges for 2006, selling contracts for approximately 5.9 billion cubic feet (0.49 Bcf per month) of San Juan San Juan, city, Argentina San Juan (săn wän, Span. sän hwän), city (1991 pop. 353,476), capital of San Juan prov., W Argentina. It is a commercial and industrial center in an agricultural region. Basin-specific gas at a NYMEX-equivalent price of $6.52 per Mcf. The Company also has doubled its oil hedge position for 2006 with the addition of contracts for 360,000 barrels (30,000 barrels per month) of sour oil at a NYMEX-equivalent price of $43.41 per barrel. Energen's oil and gas acquisition and development subsidiary, Energen Resources Corporation, utilizes derivative hedge instruments to help mitigate the negative earnings impact of commodity price volatility. Energen Resources' total current hedge position with respect to its estimated 2006 production is as follows:
Estimated 2006 NYMEX-equiv.
Commodity Hedge Vols. Production % Hedged price
----------- ----------- ------------------- ------------- ------------
65.6 58.7
Natural Gas 5.9 Bcf Bcf(1) Bcf(2) 9% 10% 6.52
----------- ----------- --------- --------- ------ ------ ------------
3,800 3,500 $40.27 per
Oil 720 MBbl MBbl(1) MBbl(2) 19%(1) 21%(2) barrel
----------- ----------- --------- --------- ------ ------ ------------
86.6 79.7 $0.56 per
NGL 30.2 MMgal MMgal(1) MMgal(2) 35%(1) 38%(2) gallon
----------- ----------- --------- --------- ------ ------ ------------
(1) With unidentified 4th quarter acquisition in 2005 and 2006
(2) Without unidentified 4th quarter acquisition in 2005 and 2006
Energen Resources' 2006 natural gas hedge position by hedge type
is as follows:
Assumed Basis Price/Mcf
Hedge Type Volumes (Bcf) Difference (NYMEX equiv)
------------------------ ------------- --------------- ---------------
San Juan Basin-specific 5.9 $0.80 $6.52
------------------------ ------------- --------------- ---------------
Permian Basin-specific NA $0.62 NA
------------------------ ------------- --------------- ---------------
Energen Resources' 2006 oil hedge position by hedge type is as
follows:
Assumed Sour Oil Price/Barrel
Hedge Type Volumes (MBbl) Difference (NYMEX equiv)
------------------- ---------------- ---------------- ----------------
NYMEX Hedges 360 -- $37.12
------------------- ---------------- ---------------- ----------------
Sour Oil (WTS) 360 $4.11 $43.41
------------------- ---------------- ---------------- ----------------
Realized prices for Energen Resources' production associated with NYMEX contracts as well as for unhedged production will reflect the impact of basis differentials. For production associated with basin-specific contracts, Energen Resources will receive the contracted hedge price, regardless of basis differentials. In the tables above, the basin-specific contract prices were converted for comparability purposes to a NYMEX-equivalent price by adding to them Energen Resources' assumed basis differentials. Realized NGL prices will reflect transportation and fractionation fractionation /frac·tion·a·tion/ (frak?shun-a´shun) 1. in radiology, division of the total dose of radiation into small doses administered at intervals. 2. fees. Earnings Sensitivities to Commodity Price Changes While there are many factors that affect Energen Resources' financial results, the largest influences typically are the commodity prices applicable to the company's unhedged production. The Company's guidance for 2006 earnings assumes that NYMEX prices applicable to Energen Resources' unhedged production in 2006 will average $6.15 per Mcf for gas and $35 per barrel for oil and that NGL prices will average approximately 58 cents per gallon. Given Energen Resources' current hedge position for 2006 and assuming prices as outlined above for its unhedged production (excluding volumes from unidentified acquisitions), the sensitivities to pricing changes applicable to Energen's earnings guidance for 2006 are as follows: --Every 10-cent change in the average NYMEX price of gas from $6.15 per Mcf represents an estimated net income impact of approximately $2,800,000 (7.5 cents per diluted share). --Every $1.00 change in the average NYMEX price of oil from $35 per barrel represents an estimated net income impact of approximately $1,500,000 (4.0 cents per diluted share). --Every 1-cent change in average price of NGL from $0.58 per gallon represents an estimated net income impact of approximately $250,000 (0.6 cents per diluted share). Price-related events such as substantial basis differential changes could cause earnings sensitivities to be materially different from those outlined above. 2006 Production Estimates Energen Resources' 2006 production is estimated to total approximately 101 Bcfe: --Natural gas: 65.6 Bcf, including 6.9 Bcf from unidentified acquisitions in 2005 and 2006 --Oil: 3.8 MMBbl, including 0.3 MMBbl from unidentified acquisitions in 2005 and 2006 --NGL: 86.6 MMgal, including 6.9 MMgal from unidentified acquisitions in 2005 and 2006 Capital Spending capital spending Spending for long-term assets such as factories, equipment, machinery, and buildings that permits the production of more goods and services in future years. Plans and Other Assumptions Energen Resources has incorporated into its financial objectives for 2006 an investment late in the year of $215 million in domestic producing properties. Energen Resources also is planning to invest in 2006 approximately $85 million in development capital. Energen Resources' exploration spending in 2006 is estimated to total approximately $4 million. Capital spending at Alagasco is estimated to be approximately $57 million. Other key assumptions that support Energen's 2006 earnings guidance include: --Average diluted shares outstanding of 37 million --Alagasco's earning a return on average equity of approximately 13.4 percent on average equity of approximately $285 million. --A DD&A rate at Energen Resources of approximately $1.01 per Mcf equivalent (Mcfe) and lease operating expense Operating Expense The essential things that a company must purchase in order to maintain business. Notes: For example, the payment of employees wages are an operating expense. Also known as OPEX. (including production taxes) of approximately $1.45 per Mcfe. Energen Corporation is a diversified diversified (di·verˑ·s energy holding company with headquarters in Birmingham, Alabama Birmingham (pronounced [ˈbɝmɪŋˌhæm]) is the largest city in the U.S. state of Alabama and is the county seat of Jefferson County. . Its two lines of business are the acquisition and development of natural gas, oil and natural gas liquids onshore on·shore adj. 1. Moving or directed toward the shore: an onshore wind. 2. Located on the shore: an onshore beacon; an onshore patrol. adv. in North America North America, third largest continent (1990 est. pop. 365,000,000), c.9,400,000 sq mi (24,346,000 sq km), the northern of the two continents of the Western Hemisphere. and natural gas distribution in central and north Alabama North Alabama is a region of the U.S. state of Alabama, generally thought to include these 12 counties: Cherokee, Colbert, DeKalb, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone, Madison, Marshall, Morgan, and Winston, with a combined population of 953,247, or 20. . Additional information on Energen is available at www.energen.com. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS forward-looking statement A projected financial statement based on management expectations. A forward-looking statement involves risks with regard to the accuracy of assumptions underlying the projections. This release contains statements expressing expectations of future plans, objectives and performance that constitute forward-looking statements made pursuant to the Safe Harbor Safe Harbor 1. A legal provision to reduce or eliminate liability as long as good faith is demonstrated. 2. A form of shark repellent implemented by a target company acquiring a business that is so poorly regulated that the target itself is less attractive. provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (PSLRA) implemented several significant substantive changes affecting certain cases brought under the federal securities laws, including changes related to pleading, discovery, liability, class representation and awards fees and of 1995. Except as otherwise disclosed, the Company's forward-looking statements do not reflect the impact of possible or pending acquisitions, divestitures or restructurings. We undertake no obligation to correct or update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. All statements based on future expectations rather than on historical facts are forward-looking statements that are dependent on certain events, risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. In addition, the Company cannot guarantee the absence of errors in input data, calculations and formulas used in its estimates, assumptions and forecasts. A discussion of risks and uncertainties, which could affect future results of Energen and its subsidiaries, is included in the Company's periodic reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. |
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