Education projections to 2015.

ELEMENTARY AND SECONDARY ENROLLMENT

After increasing by about one-fifth between 1990 and 2003, elementary and secondary enrollment is expected to increase at slower rates between 2003 and 2015.

Total enrollment:

* increased 18% between 1990 and 2003

* is projected to increase an additional 6% between 2003 and 2015

Enrollment

Actual and projected enrollment in millions

        1990        2003        2015

PK-8     34          39          42

9-12     13          16          16

TOTAL    47          55          58

EXPENDITURES OF ELEMENTARY AND SECONDARY SCHOOL

Current expenditures in constant 2003-2004 dollars increased 41% from 1990-1991 to 2002-2003.

From 2002-2003 to 2015-2016, current expenditures in constant 2003-2004 dollars are projected to increase:

* between 38% to $546 billion and 51% to $599 billion

Per Pupil

Actual and projected expenditures per pupil in
2003-2004 dollars

1990-91            2002-03          2015-16

$6,800             $8,200           $11,000

The pupil/teacher ratio in elementary and secondary schools decreased from 16.9 to 16.0 between 1990 and 2003 and is projected to be 14.6 in 2015.

HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATES

Between 2002-2003 and 2015-2016, the number of high school graduates is projected to increase nationally by 6%.

Total number of high school graduates:

* increased 22% between 1990-1991 and 2002-2003

* is projected to increase an additional 5% between 2002-2003 and 2015-2016

Graduates

Actual and projected high school graduates,
in millions

1990-91      2002-03        2015-16

2.2            2.7            2.9

PUBLIC SCHOOL TEACHERS

The number of teachers in public elementary and secondary schools:

* increased 27% between 1990 and 2003

* is projected to increase an additional 16% between 2003 and 2015

Teachers

Actual and projected elementary and
secondary teachers, in millions

1990-91        2002-03        2015

2.4              3            3.6

State and Regional

Projected increases and
decreases in enrollment:
2003-2015

          INCREASES

Nevada                  36%
Arizona                 32%
Texas                   23%
Georgia                 19%
Idaho                   18%
Utah                    17%
Florida                 17%
North Carolina          15%
Colorado                13%
Delaware                11%
Hawaii                  11%
Virginia                10%
Tennessee                8%
Arkansas                 6%
Maryland                 5%
South Carolina           5%
Alaska                   5%
Nebraska                 4%
Oregon                   3%
California               3%
Minnesota                3%
Oklahoma                 3%
Kentucky                 3%
Indiana                  2%
Missouri                 2%
New Jersey               2%
Mississippi              1%
Iowa 1                   1%
Louisiana                1%
Illinois.                3%
Washington               2%
Kansas                   0%

          DECREASES

New Mexico             -.3%
Wisconsin              -.4%
Alabama                 -1%
Montana                 -1%
South Dakota            -1%
New Hampshire           -4%
Ohio 4%                 -4%
Wyoming                 -4%
West Virginia           -4%
Michigan                -4%
Massachusetts           -4%
Rhode Island            -5%
Connecticut             -5%
Pennsylvania            -6%
Maine                   -6%
New York                -8%
District of Columbia    -9%
North Dakota           -13%
Vermont                -13%

Source: National Center for Education Statistics,
Projections of Education Statistics to 2015, nces.ed.gov