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EDITORIAL : BAD SCIENCE, BAD POLICY PAST MISTAKES CAN BE COSTLY FOR SOCIETY.


Call it the ``oops'' syndrome. It's the frustrating plight of someone who took action based on available information that later turned out to be wrong - too late to undo the damage.

``Obviously, a man's judgment cannot be better than the information on which he has based it,'' the late Arthur Hays Sulzberger Arthur Hays Sulzberger (1891 - 1968) was the publisher of The New York Times from 1935 to 1961. During that time, daily circulation rose from 465,000 to 713,000 and Sunday circulation from 745,000 to 1. , former publisher of the New York New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
 Times, once said during a speech to fellow newspaper executives.

Computer buffs have a more colorful way to describe the futility of bad data: ``Garbage in, garbage out (humour) Garbage In, Garbage Out - (GIGO) /gi:'goh/ Wilf Hey's maxim expressing the fact that computers, unlike humans, will unquestioningly process nonsensical input data and produce nonsensical output. .''

But no matter what words are used to describe it, the ``oops'' syndrome is a fact of life.

And no matter how many real-life examples we hear of, few are as frustrating as the costly policies adopted by government decision-makers who relied on questionable data.

For instance, a study from the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory: see Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.

(body) Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory - (LLNL) A research organaisatin operated by the University of California under a contract with the US Department of Energy.
 indicates that underground fuel-tank leaks are far less damaging to the environment, and pose a much smaller health threat, than once believed.

As a result, the state Water Resources Control Board is re-evaluating a 13-year-old cleanup program that has cost fuel tank owners more than $1 billion in cleanup costs. Much of that money has come from fees that underground tank owners must pay regardless of whether their tanks are leaking.

Unfortunately, that case is not unique in the annals of ``oops.'' Another is the recent disclosure of a big goof in post-divorce economics of men and women.

According to according to
prep.
1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians.

2. In keeping with: according to instructions.

3.
 published reports, sociologist Lenore J. Weitzman now concedes that statistics she published 11 years ago, which were widely re-quoted, are flat wrong. Her study concluded that women's households suffered a 73 percent drop in their standard of living in the first year after divorce, while men's households had a 42 percent rise.

Another sociologist who recently examined Weitzman's data found the actual figures were a 27 percent decline for the women and 10 percent rise for the men. The gap is still noteworthy, but hardly the cataclysmic cat·a·clysm  
n.
1. A violent upheaval that causes great destruction or brings about a fundamental change.

2. A violent and sudden change in the earth's crust.

3. A devastating flood.
 scenario Weitzman depicted in her study of California's no-fault divorce No-fault divorce is divorce in which the dissolution of a marriage does not require fault of either party to be shown, or, indeed, any evidentiary proceedings at all. It occurs on petition to the court, typically a family court by either party, without the requirement that the  system.

But the damage was done. Her numbers were repeated in hundreds of newspapers and magazines, dozens of legal appeals and Supreme Court cases, and even in President Clinton's budget proposal.

They also were cited by lobbyists and legislators when the state Legislature A state legislature may refer to a legislative branch or body of a political subdivision in a federal system.

The following legislatures exist in the following political subdivisions:
 enacted new laws on child-support and divorce. Although Weitzman has set the record straight, we're not about to hold our breath waiting for the Legislature to re-visit the issue.

But the lawmakers should reconsider these matters, just as the Water Resources Control Board is doing with fuel tanks. When public policies are set by government officials relying on bad science, all too often the public pays for the mistake.
COPYRIGHT 1996 Daily News
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 1996, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Article Details
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Publication:Daily News (Los Angeles, CA)
Article Type:Editorial
Date:May 28, 1996
Words:450
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