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Dynamic CD-ROM growth boosts the 1996 outlook for optical disk drive shipments to more than 57 million.


MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Aug. 19, 1996--In only four years, worldwide CD-ROM CD-ROM: see compact disc.
CD-ROM
 in full compact disc read-only memory

Type of computer storage medium that is read optically (e.g., by a laser).
 shipments have increased from 2.5 million drives in 1992 to an estimated 54.5 million drives in 1996.

Read-only Read-only generally refers to something that can be read, but not written to or modified.

In computing, read-only can mean:
  • Read-only memory (ROM), a type of storage media
  • Read-only access to files or directories in file system permissions
 CD-ROM drives CD-ROM drives, which today typically means a CD-RW drive that is a combo CD-ROM, CD-R and CD-RW drive, come in a variety of speeds. The original drive (1x) transferred data at 150KB per second.  are expected to provide 94.6% of all optical disk drive shipments in 1996, according to according to
prep.
1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians.

2. In keeping with: according to instructions.

3.
 the recently released 1996 DISK/TREND Report on optical disk drives.

Writable CD format drives, such as CD-R (CD-Recordable) A writable CD technology using a type of compact disc that can be recorded, but not erased (CD-Rs are "write once" discs). CD-R discs are used to master CD-ROMs, to back up data and to make copies of data for distribution.  write-once In cache coherence protocol literature, Write-Once is the first write-invalidate protocol defined. It has the optimization of executing write-update on the first write and a write-invalidate on all subsequent writes, reducing the overall bus traffic in consecutive writes to the  models, plus PD drives which can use either CD-ROM read-only disks or rewritable Refers to storage media that can be re-recorded many times. Contrast with write once. See magnetic disk, magnetic tape and rewritable optical disc.  disks, will add another 3.6% to the worldwide total of 57.6 million optical disk drives of all types.

Shipments of CD format drives for computer applications are projected to be dominated dom·i·nate  
v. dom·i·nat·ed, dom·i·nat·ing, dom·i·nates

v.tr.
1. To control, govern, or rule by superior authority or power:
 by CD-ROM drives through 1999. Although shipments of the new DVD-ROM DVD-ROM: see digital versatile disc.


A read-only DVD disc used to permanently store data files. DVD-ROM discs are widely used to distribute large software applications that exceed the capacity of a CD-ROM disc.
 drives offering much higher capacities combined with backward compatibility See backward compatible.

(jargon) backward compatibility - Able to share data or commands with older versions of itself, or sometimes other older systems, particularly systems it intends to supplant.
 for current CD-ROM disks are expected to start at the end of 1996, DVD-ROM drive shipments are not expected to pass up CD-ROM drive A device that holds and reads CD-ROM discs. CD-ROM drives generally also play audio CD discs by sending analog sound to the sound card via a 4-pin cable. For specifications of 10x, 20x, etc. drives, see CD-ROM drives. See CD-ROM, CD-ROM changer, CD-ROM server and CD-ROM audio cable.  annual shipments until after 1999.

The delay will be caused by the time required to establish large-scale large-scale
adj.
1. Large in scope or extent.

2. Drawn or made large to show detail.


large-scale
Adjective

1. wide-ranging or extensive

2.
 DVD-ROM drive manufacturing, bring DVD-ROM prices down to levels competitive with CD-ROM drives, and publish a large selection of DVD-ROM titles.

Here are other highlights from the 1996 DISK/TREND Report on optical disk drives: -0-
    -- Product life cycles for individual CD-ROM drive models are
       very short, as drive manufacturers move to faster drives to
       enable content providers to improve multimedia performance.
       "4X", or "quad speed" drives, dominated 1995 shipments, with
       74.5% of CD-ROM drive shipments.  However, in 1996 78% of
       unit shipments are expected to be "6X" and "8X" drives, and
       by 1998 CD-ROM drive shipment leadership will be held by
       even faster "10X" and "12X" drives.  Also in 1998, growth in
       total CD-ROM drive shipments will be nominal, with a sharp
       decline forecasted in 1999, as rapid increases in DVD-ROM
       drive shipments impact the CD-ROM drive market.


    -- CD format writable drive shipments exceeded half a million
       drives in 1995, and the total is expected to top 4 million
       drives in 1999, but with significant changes in the product
       mix.  Shipments of CD-R write-once drives, used in making
       small quantities of CD disks, have grown rapidly in recent
       years and are expected to be 41.8% of the product group's
       1996 total.  PD drives, using either read-only or rewritable
       disks, have also seen rapid growth in Japan's domestic market
       and are forecasted at 57.2% of the 1996 total for the CD
       format writable drive group.  Nevertheless, the advent of new
       CD format rewritable drives will change the future outlook.
       CD-E rewritable drives are expected by the end of 1996, and
       are forecasted to capture an increasing share of the current
       CD-R drive market.  Initial shipments of re-writable DVD
       drives are expected by the end of 1997, and are projected to
       gain more than a third of the 1999 market for CD format
       writable disk drives.


    -- The report divides conventional optical disk drives with
       read/write capability into two product groups, above and below
       2 gigabytes in drive capacity.  Below 2 gigabytes, 1995
       shipments of rewritable 3.5 inch drives topped half a million
       units with 1999 shipments forecasted to grow to almost
       1.3 million drives, a total which would be higher except for
       aggressive price competition by magnetic disk drives.  The
       typical capacity of 5.25 inch drives, now all rewritable or
       multifunction models, is moving up.  5.25 inch drives of less
       than 2 gigabytes are expected to decline in shipments through
       1999, with rapid growth projected for drives above 2
       gigabytes, making inroads into the high-end optical disk drive
       market once held exclusively by 12 inch or larger write-once
       drives.


    -- With the emergence of CD format read-only and writable drives
       as major products, sales of CD format disk libraries have also
       shot upward.  1995 shipments were 337 thousand CD format
       libraries, with more than 1.5 million libraries forecasted
       for 1999, mostly low cost models with the capacity to hold 10
       or fewer disks.  Libraries designed for conventional optical
       disks also continue to grow in all capacity ranges, with the
       lead held by libraries designed to hold 1-39 optical disk
       cartridges.


    -- The number of optical disk drive manufacturers has remained
       relatively stable during the past year, with 58 companies now
       active, 46 of which are headquartered in Asian countries.  The
       total number of manufacturers of optical disk libraries
       remains at 35.  Matsushita Electric Industrial Co., Ltd.,
       continues as the leader in optical disk drive sales, with
       18.1% of the industry's $4.8 billion 1995 sales revenues.


    In addition to sales revenue and unit shipment projections for
optical disk drives in four separate product groups, plus optical
disk drive libraries in four groups, the DISK/TREND Report provides
statistics and analysis on average noncaptive selling prices,
competitive market shares of optical disk drive manufacturers, and a
review of competing data storage technologies.
    The report also contains basic product specifications on 284
optical disk drives and 213 optical disk libraries.  Profiles are
provided on 103 existing and former manufacturers of optical disk
drives and libraries, including 24 with corporate headquarters in the
United States, 69 in Asia and 10 in Europe.
    The new study on optical disk drives was released as part of the
series of four 1996 DISK/TREND Reports, detailed annual business
reviews of the worldwide disk drive industry published by DISK/TREND
Inc.  Separate reports on removable data storage and disk drive
arrays will be published in August and September, and a new report on
magnetic disk drives was released in May, 1996.
    The 1996 DISK/TREND Report on optical disk drives is priced at
$1,990.  Subscriptions to the complete 1996 DISK/TREND Report,
including the reports on disk drive arrays and removable data
storage, plus the individual reports on optical and magnetic rigid
disk drives, are available at $6,432 by contacting DISK/TREND, Inc.,
1925 Landings Drive, Mountain View, CA 94043, or through the
company's Worldwide Web site, http://www.disktrend.com.
    For additional information, see the attached shipment summary, or
call Jim Porter or Bob Katzive, 415/961-6209.
-0-


                         OPTICAL DISK DRIVES


                                           Forecast
                              -------------------------------------
Worldwide
unit shipments        1995
in thousands        Shipments   1996      1997      1998      1999
-------------       ---------   ----      ----      ----      ----
CD FORMAT DRIVES    41,692.0  54,492.2  65,781.0  76,117.0  85,202.0
 read-only


CD FORMAT DRIVES       514.0   2,081.0   2,617.0   3,256.0   4,085.0
 writable


READ/WRITE DRIVES      703.3   1,074.2   1,266.0   1,367.0   1,414.0
 less than 2 gigabytes


READ/WRITE DRIVES        6.4       7.5      19.0      69.0     172.0
 more than 2
 gigabytes          --------  --------  --------  --------  --------


TOTAL, ALL DRIVES   42,915.7  57,654.9  69,683.0  80,809.0  90,873.0


                       +73.2%    +34.3%    +20.9%    +16.0%    +12.5%


    Note: Read/write drives include write-once, rewritable and
multifunction types.


Source:  1996 DISK/TREND Report-0-


Note to Editors: DISK/TREND reports are detailed market studies on the worldwide disk drive industry, with all data verified ver·i·fy  
tr.v. ver·i·fied, ver·i·fy·ing, ver·i·fies
1. To prove the truth of by presentation of evidence or testimony; substantiate.

2.
 by field research. Now in its 20th year, DISK/TREND has tracked the disk drive industry longer than any other market research company.

CONTACT: DISK/TREND Inc., Mountain View

James James, person in the Bible
James, in the Gospel of St. Luke, kinsman of St. Jude. The original does not specify the relationship.
James, rivers, United States
James.
 N. Porter porter: see beer.  or Robert Robert, Henry Martyn 1837-1923.

American army engineer and parliamentary authority. He designed the defenses for Washington, D.C., during the Civil War and later wrote Robert's Rules of Order (1876).

Noun 1.
 H. Katzive, 415/961-6209

http://www.disktrend.com
COPYRIGHT 1996 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 1996, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Aug 19, 1996
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