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Despite slight uptick, consumer confidence stays low.


California consumers were more upbeat in the third quarter as they responded favorably to the halt in interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, according to according to
prep.
1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians.

2. In keeping with: according to instructions.

3.
 a Chapman University Chapman University is a private, nonprofit university located in the city of Orange in Orange County, California, USA. Mission statement
The mission of Chapman University is to provide personalized education of distinction that leads to inquiring, ethical and productive
 survey released last week.

The A. Gary Anderson

For other people named Gary Anderson, see Gary Anderson (disambiguation).


Gary Anderson (born July 16, 1959 in Parys, Free State, South Africa) is a former American football placekicker.
 Center for Economic Research composite index Composite Index

A grouping of equities, indexes or other factors combined in a standardized way, providing a useful statistical measure of overall market or sector performance over time. Also known simply as a "composite".
 of California consumer sentiment jumped to 88.6 in the third quarter from its recent lows of 79.5 in the second quarter and in the third quarter of 2005. This increase came despite stubbornly high gas prices and a slowing real estate market.

But the index remained below 100 for the sixth straight quarter, meaning that more consumers continue to be pessimistic than optimistic op·ti·mist  
n.
1. One who usually expects a favorable outcome.

2. A believer in philosophical optimism.



op
 about future economic performance.

The Chapman index increased more than a similar nationwide survey from the University of Michigan (body, education) University of Michigan - A large cosmopolitan university in the Midwest USA. Over 50000 students are enrolled at the University of Michigan's three campuses. The students come from 50 states and over 100 foreign countries. . That monthly survey posted an index reading of 82.0 in August, up from 79.1 in May. For the third quarter to date (July and August), the University of Michigan's consumer confidence index Consumer Confidence Index

A measure of consumer views regarding the current economic situation and consumer expectations for the future. Information for the index is compiled and released on the last Tuesday of each month by the Conference Board, an
 averaged 83.4, virtually unchanged from the second quarter average of 83.8.

A key reason for the third quarter rebound in consumer confidence in the Chapman survey was the end of more than two years of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve Board. That spurred a huge jump in California consumers' outlook on future economic conditions to 90.3 in the third quarter from 70 in the second quarter.

The sentiment on current economic conditions showed a more modest increase to 87.9 from 82.5.

The major cloud on the horizon was consumers' planned spending on big-ticket items, which dropped to 86.3 in the third quarter from 92.4 in the second quarter. The decline indicates a likely slowing in big-ticket purchases in the next six months.

The Chapman index is based on a survey of several hundred households throughout the state.
Rise, Fall ... and Rise

Consumer confidence in California has been mixed lately.

COMPOSITE INDEX

Q103    72.2
Q203    81.8
Q303    90.7
Q403    96.8
Q104    99.7
Q204   101.0
Q304   110.6
Q404   101.5
Q105   100.0
Q205    95.6
Q305    79.5
Q305    80.0
Q106    88.7
Q206    79.5
Q306    88.6

Source: A. Gary Anderson Center for Economic Research.

Note: Table made from bar graph.
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No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
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Article Details
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Author:Fine, Howard
Publication:Los Angeles Business Journal
Article Type:Survey
Geographic Code:1USA
Date:Sep 11, 2006
Words:380
Previous Article:Real estate market continued its cooling trend in August.(REAL ESTATE)(Statistical table)
Next Article:Confidence game.(Comment)
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