Printer Friendly
The Free Library
19,604,530 articles and books
Member login
User name  
Password 
 
Join us Forgot password?

Dealmakers' Confidence Reaches All-Time Low.


ACG-Thomson Reuters Year-End 2008 DealMakers Survey Reveals Obstacles and Opportunities for M&A and Private Equity Investing in First Half of 2009

Dealmakers Most Bullish on Financial Services, Healthcare, Manufacturing, Energy

Debt Markets Projected to Improve

NEW YORK New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
 -- The latest twice-yearly survey of middle market merger professionals by the Association for Corporate Growth (ACG ACG American College of Gastroenterology; angiocardiography; apexcardiogram.
AcG accelerator globulin (coagulation factor V).

AcG

accelerator globulin (clotting factor V).
) and Thomson Reuters reveals the most negative outlook in the history of the survey, with 86% of dealmakers saying the current M&A environment is fair or poor. The percentage of those who say the current deal environment is good or excellent has fallen to 14% in December 2008, from a high of 93% in June 2007. The percentage has steadily dropped to 72% in December 2007, and to 43% in June 2008.

Most do not see it getting better any time soon. Looking out six months, dealmakers expect the M&A environment to be:

* Worse (44%)

* The same (31%)

* Better (24%).

The 970 middle market investment bankers, private equity professionals, corporate development officers, lawyers, accountants and business consultants polled say the greatest obstacle to M&A activity is:

* Credit crunch Credit Crunch

An economic condition whereby investment capital is difficult to obtain. Banks and investors become weary of lending funds to corporations thereby driving up the price of debt products for borrowers.
 (43%)

* Sellers unwilling to sell at multiples offered (22%)

* Weak economy (16%).

The latest data from Thomson Reuters supports the survey findings. The volume of all worldwide mergers and acquisitions totaled $2.4 trillion in announced deals during the first three quarters of 2008, a decrease of 28% over the record-breaking first three quarters of 2007, according to Thomson Reuters. Of this total, M&A deals in the mid-market, defined by Thomson Reuters as transactions under $500 million, fared better. Less reliant on the global credit markets, they declined only 16%, with a total value of $569.6 billion.

As for which sectors will experience the most M&A activity in the next six months, dealmakers are most bullish on:

* Financial services (30%)

* Healthcare/life sciences (20%)

* Energy (12%)

* Manufacturing and distribution (12%).

"While the large sector buyout deals all but shut down in the second half of 2007, the merger and acquisition activity in the middle market was more resilient up until recently," said Harris Smith, ACG Chairman and Managing Partner of Private Equity and Strategic Relationships at Grant Thornton. "Middle market deals were getting done primarily because they were not dependent on securing debt. Now that credit has dried up, there has been virtually no activity since late summer 2008 in the middle market with the exception of some distressed situations, carve outs of non-core assets by public companies and limited activity by strategic buyers."

Private Equity Firms' Greatest Threats, Best Strategies

Among survey respondents, private equity professionals say the sectors with the greatest opportunities for buyout investments over the next six months are:

* Manufacturing and distribution (20%)

* Healthcare/life sciences (19%)

* Financial services (17%).

Private equity professionals believe today's greatest threats to their business are:

* Credit crunch (65%)

* Overall economy (46%)

* Lack of exit opportunities (35%).

"Beyond dealmaking, the credit crunch is also having an impact on PE portfolios," said Jim Beecher, Publisher of Buyouts Magazine, a Reuters Media publication. "PE firms are trying to shore up performance of their portfolio companies in the wake of a global recession, and in certain cases, are dealing with highly leveraged companies where refinancing their debt will be very difficult in this credit environment."

More private equity professionals say they are modifying their investment strategy (38%), versus 28% in June 2008. They say the best strategies for success in the current environment are:

* Focus on portfolio companies (38%)

* Focus more on add-on acquisitions than platform acquisitions (33%)

* Cut costs at portfolio companies (30%).

"Given the current deep freeze deep freeze

see freezer.
 affecting the credit markets, private equity firms are spending less time pursuing new deals, and more time performing triage triage

Division of patients for priority of care, usually into three categories: those who will not survive even with treatment; those who will survive without treatment; and those whose survival depends on treatment.
 on their portfolio companies," said Dennis J. White, ACG Vice Chairman and Partner, McDermott, Will & Emery LLP LLP - Lower Layer Protocol . "They will have to make some difficult decisions as to which of those companies will survive, which will be sold in distressed conditions, and which will be left to expire."

The lack of acquisition financing has affected 91% of private equity professionals, and 58% expect to put more equity into their deals in the next six months. They are primarily securing debt financing from:

* Commercial banks (63%)

* Mezzanine lenders (53%)

* Seller debt (46%).

Six months from now, private equity professionals expect the debt markets will be:

* Better (65%)

* The same (22%)

* Worse (13%).

"An unprecedented confluence of events is driving the substantial reduction in middle market M&A volume," said Mark Jones, Chairman of ACG InterGrowth in·ter·growth  
n.
1. The growing of one thing with or into another.

2. Mineralogy The growing together of crystals from two or more minerals.
 2008, and Partner, River Associates Investments, LLC (Logical Link Control) See "LANs" under data link protocol.

LLC - Logical Link Control
. "Initially triggered by mortgage related write-downs, the trifecta tri·fec·ta  
n.
A system of betting in which the bettor must pick the first three winners in the correct sequence. Also called triple.



[tri- + (per)fecta.]
 of an across-the-board repricing Repricing

To change the price of an asset. In derivatives, it sometimes refers to the exchange of options of with different strike prices.


repricing 
 of risk, a shrinking universe of credit providers, and a pervasive lack of confidence in near-term corporate sales and earnings projections, have caused many companies to delay or reconsider altogether accessing capital markets. The potential good news is that dealmakers expect the debt markets to improve, which is an integral step towards reviving M&A activity."

Most private equity respondents say they have not adopted fair value accounting standards consistent with FAS 157.

* Have adopted (40%)

* Plan to adopt (26%)

* Do not plan to adopt in near term (34%)

Many private equity firms plan to mark down their portfolio company values in their next quarterly statements.

* Plan to mark down (40%)

* Plan to hold steady (55%)

* Plan to mark up (4%)

Survey Methodology

The twice-yearly survey, conducted in November 2008, was completed by 970 ACG members and Thomson Reuters customers. Respondents were comprised of private equity, venture capital and buyout firm members (19%); investment bankers, intermediaries, brokers (26%); lenders, finance providers (12%); corporate professionals, entrepreneurs (13%); hedge funds (1%); Limited Partners (2%); and service providers, such as lawyers, workout specialists, accountants and consultants (28%). The majority of respondents were from the United States (926), where 42 states were represented. Internationally, executives from 11 countries completed the survey. For a copy of the full survey results, please go to: www.acg.org. The mid-year 2009 survey results will be released at ACG InterGrowth at the Wynn Las Vegas, May 12-14, 2009 (www.acg.org/Conferences/InterGrowth).

About ACG

Founded in 1954, the Association for Corporate Growth (ACG) is the global community for M&A and corporate growth professionals, helping connect capital with opportunity. ACG provides its members with the research, tools and networking opportunities to grow their businesses and themselves professionally. ACG has grown to more than 12,000 members from corporations, private equity, finance, and professional service firms representing Fortune 1000, FTSE FTSE

A company that specializes in index calculation. Although not part of a stock exchange, co-owners include the London Stock Exchange and the Financial Times.

Notes:
The FTSE is similar to Standard & Poor's in the United States.
 100, and mid-market companies in 53 chapters in North America and Europe. For more information, please visit www.ACG.org.

About Thomson Reuters

Thomson Reuters is the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals. Thomson Reuters combines industry expertise with innovative technology to deliver critical information to leading decision makers in the financial, legal, tax and accounting, scientific, healthcare and media markets, powered by the world's most trusted news organization. With headquarters in New York and major operations in London and Eagan, Minnesota, Thomson Reuters employs more than 50,000 people in 93 countries. Thomson Reuters shares are listed on the New York Stock Exchange New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)

World's largest marketplace for securities. The exchange began as an informal meeting of 24 men in 1792 on what is now Wall Street in New York City.
 (NYSE NYSE

See: New York Stock Exchange
: TRI TRI Toxics Release Inventory (US EPA)
TRI Touch Research Institute
TRI Taux de Rentabilité Interne (French: internal rate of return)
TRI Taux de Rentabilité Interne
TRI Tile Roofing Institute
); Toronto Stock Exchange Toronto Stock Exchange (TSE)

Canada's largest stock exchange, trading approximately 1,200 company stocks and 33 options.
 (TSX TSX Toronto Stock Exchange (TSE before April, 2002)
TSX Transfer from Stack Pointer to Index
TSX True Space Extension
: TRI); London Stock Exchange London Stock Exchange

London marketplace for securities. It was formed in 1773 by a group of stockbrokers who had been doing business informally in local coffeehouses.
 (LSE LSE - Language Sensitive Editor : TRIL TRIL Tailored Repairable Items List (aircraft maintenance)
TRIL Token Ring Interoperability Lab
); and Nasdaq (NASDAQ: TRIN TRIN

Short for TRaders INdex. A technical analysis indicator calculated by taking the advances-to-declines spread and dividing that by the volume of advances to declines.

Notes:
If the value of this is less than 1, then it is considered to be a very bullish indicator
). For more information, go to www.thomsonreuters.com.
COPYRIGHT 2008 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2008 Gale, Cengage Learning. All rights reserved.

 Reader Opinion

Title:

Comment:



 

Article Details
Printer friendly Cite/link Email Feedback
Publication:Business Wire
Date:Dec 9, 2008
Words:1218
Previous Article:Unisys Research Shows U.S. Consumers Overwhelmingly Trust Biometrics for Data Protection.
Next Article:Able Planet Wins Four CES Innovations 2009 Design and Engineering Awards.

Terms of use | Copyright © 2012 Farlex, Inc. | Feedback | For webmasters | Submit articles