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Deal volume continues freefall, rebound prospects still distant. (Banking & Finance: Special Report - To Deal or Not to Deal).


Local merger and acquisition activity fell 10 percent in the fourth quarter of 2002 compared with a year earlier, capping off an abysmal a·bys·mal  
adj.
1. Resembling an abyss in depth; unfathomable.

2. Very profound; limitless: abysmal misery.

3. Very bad: an abysmal performance.
 year in which deal volume fell each quarter.

Though investment bankers Investment Banker

A person representing a financial institution that is in the business of raising capital for corporations and municipalities.

Notes:
An investment banker may not accept deposits or make commercial loans.
 don't don't  

1. Contraction of do not.

2. Nonstandard Contraction of does not.

n.
A statement of what should not be done: a list of the dos and don'ts.
 expect a strong turnaround Turnaround

A situation where a company that has had poor performance for an extended period of time experiences a positive reversal.

Notes:
A speculator may profit from a turnaround if he or she accurately anticipates the improvement of a poorly performing company.
 anytime soon, many believe that M&A activity is finally at rock bottom.

There were 90 deals announced in the last three months of the year that involved an L.A. County-based buyer or seller, down from 99 in the fourth quarter of 2001, according to according to
prep.
1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians.

2. In keeping with: according to instructions.

3.
 Mergerstat.com.

All told, 402 local deals were announced in 2002, down 16 percent from 477 in 2001. Of those 402, prices were disclosed for 156, for an aggregate value of $29 billion. That's down from $35.9 billion in 2001.

"I don't see a big pickup Pickup

A gain in yield made by selling one bond and buying another. Also referred to as "yield pickup."

Notes:
When the present yield is relatively low compared to the longer-term yields, pickups will be done by investors trying to increase the yield and duration of their
 in activity coming soon," said James Freedman James Freedman may refer to:
  • James Freedman (magician), British entertainer
  • James O. Freedman, late president of Dartmouth College
, a managing director at Barrington Barrington, town (1990 pop. 15,849), Bristol co., E R.I., on the Barrington River; settled c.1670, included in Massachusetts until 1746, inc. 1770. It is a residential and resort area. Barrington College is there.  Associates, an investment banking firm in Los Angeles Los Angeles (lôs ăn`jələs, lŏs, ăn`jəlēz'), city (1990 pop. 3,485,398), seat of Los Angeles co., S Calif.; inc. 1850. . "But there needs to be a certain amount of deals. Some people have to sell their business, so I can't imagine it's it's  

1. Contraction of it is.

2. Contraction of it has. See Usage Note at its.


it's it is or it has
it's be ~have
 going to get much worse."

There is no shortage of explanations for the dearth of investment banking activity. For more than a year, bankers have pointed to the ailing economy, stingy stin·gy  
adj. stin·gi·er, stin·gi·est
1. Giving or spending reluctantly.

2. Scanty or meager: a stingy meal; stingy with details about the past.
 lending institutions Noun 1. lending institution - a financial institution that makes loans
financial institution, financial organisation, financial organization - an institution (public or private) that collects funds (from the public or other institutions) and invests them in
 and lagging Lagging

Strategy used by a firm to stall payments, normally in response to exchange rate projections.
 stock market as deal killers. Now, the threat of war with Iraq Iraq or Irak (both: ēräk`, ĭrăk`), officially Republic of Iraq, republic (2005 est. pop. 26,075,000), 167,924 sq mi (434,924 sq km), SW Asia.  makes the economic climate that more difficult.

"Until we get a better sense of what's going on What's Going On is a record by American soul singer Marvin Gaye. Released on May 21, 1971 (see 1971 in music), What's Going On reflected the beginning of a new trend in soul music.  with this war, the market will be apprehensive," said Jeff McKenzie, managing director at Los Angeles investment bank Houlihan Lokey Howard Howard, English noble family. Landowners in Norfolk from the 13th cent., the Howards obtained the duchy of Norfolk through the marriage of Sir Robert Howard to Margaret Mowbray, daughter of Thomas Mowbray, 1st duke of Norfolk.  & Zukin.

The local falloff fall·off  
n.
A reduction or decrease: a falloff in car sales.

Noun 1. falloff - a noticeable deterioration in performance or quality; "the team went into a slump"; "a gradual slack in
 mirrors a national trend.

There were 7,411 domestic and cross-border deals announced in 2002, according to Mergerstat, down 13 percent from 8,545 in 2001. Aggregate value for the deals in which price was announced was $441.6 billion, down from $683 billion in 2001.

The Mergerstat data covers publicly announced mergers and acquisitions involving businesses with deals of $1 million or more, and 10 percent or more equity sought. The figures reflect only the base equity price of the transactions and not the liabilities, and they exclude the exchange of business assets, private placements, spin-offs and open market transactions.

Dodging the bullet

Despite a falloff in both the number and value of local deals, investment bankers said Los Angeles has weathered the storm better than other regions, in part because of its healthy supply of private companies.

"At private companies you generally have entrepreneurs who own a very large percentage of the business, so they tend to sell when they want to retire, more so than they think it's the ultimate time," McKenzie said. "Public companies feel they need to sell somewhere near a historical high."

Of the 402 L.A. deals in 2002, only four were worth north of $1 billion. The two biggest involved defense giant Northrop Grumman Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE: NOC) is an aerospace and defense conglomerate that is the result of the 1994 purchase of Grumman by Northrop. The company is the third largest defense contractor for the U.S.  Corp.'s pursuit of TRW TRW The Real World (TV reality show)
TRW The Right Way
TRW Tactical Reconnaissance Wing
TRW The Retriever Weekly (University of Maryland, Baltimore, MD)
TRW Thompson Ramo Wooldridge Inc
 Inc.

Northrop's $6.7 billion acquisition of TRW closed in early December December: see month. , and was preceded by Northrop's announced $4.7 billion sale of TRW's automotive unit to Blackstone Group Blackstone Group L.P. (NYSE: BX) is a prominent private equity and investment management firm founded in 1985 by Peter G. Peterson and Stephen A. Schwarzman. The company is based in New York City, in River House on Park Avenue at Fifty-first Street, with offices in Atlanta, . That deal has not yet closed. (While the two deals involve the same business unit, they are counted as two deals since both are commissionable transactions for investment bankers.)

The TRW deals accounted for 40 percent of the year's total deal value.

The next biggest deal was Los Angeles Spanish-language broadcaster Univision This article or section needs copy editing for grammar, style, cohesion, tone and/or spelling.
You can assist by [ editing it] now.
 Communications' $3 billion purchase of Hispanic Hispanic Multiculture A person of Mexican, Puerto Rican, Cuban, Central or South American, or other Spanish culture or origin, regardless of race Social medicine Any of 17 major Latino subcultures, concentrated in California, Texas, Chicago, Miam, NY, and elsewhere  Broadcasting Corp., based in Dallas Dallas, city (1990 pop. 1,006,877), seat of Dallas co., N Tex., on the Trinity River near the junction of its three forks; inc. 1871. The second largest Texas city, after Houston, and the eighth largest U.S. . That deal is expected to close, but it faced significant regulatory hurdles in its early stages. The only other billion-dollar deal was Dole dole, distribution to the poor, usually of food or money. In medieval times doles were usually from bequests of money or land, and the income was given to charity or distributed to the local poor at funerals.  Food Co. Chairman David Murdock's $1.4 billion offer to take Dole private, which has been approved by shareholders but has not yet closed.

Currency declines

As the fall off in stock prices takes many public companies off the block for the time being, it also has hindered public companies' acquisition efforts. That's because public companies often issue some stock when making acquisitions, and with many companies trading at or near historical lows, a stock-driven deal could further dilute di·lute
v.
To reduce a solution or mixture in concentration, quality, strength, or purity, as by adding water.

adj.
Thinned or weakened by diluting.
 share values.

And with the steady decline in share values over the last couple of years, target companies are seen as skittish skit·tish  
adj.
1. Moving quickly and lightly; lively.

2. Restlessly active or nervous; restive.

3. Undependably variable; mercurial or fickle.

4. Shy; bashful.
 about taking those shares.

"When the market is down, everyone feels less comfortable using stock as currency," McKenzie said.

Investment bankers said larger deals are becoming a rarity not only because of the falling stock market, but because a generally weak economy has cut into most companies' returns. Now, bankers are sorting deals into two piles piles: see hemorrhoids. : strategic buyers, such as a rival companies, and financial buyers, such as private equity funds.

"On the strategic side, a lot of buyers have had problems and so they've retrenched until they get their own house in order," Freedman freed·man  
n.
A man who has been freed from slavery.


freedman
Noun

pl -men History a man freed from slavery

Noun 1.
 said. "On the financial side, we're getting calls every day."

Regardless of buyer, even an average deal can be more difficult these days. Banks are more stringent about how much they will lend, and as profit margins slip many bankers are second-guessing deals once they have been initiated.

"Let's say you're going to buy somebody's business and the guy says I'm going to make $100 million this year. But then as you watch every month, it becomes evident he's going to make $60 million. That makes you start to rethink re·think  
tr. & intr.v. re·thought , re·think·ing, re·thinks
To reconsider (something) or to involve oneself in reconsideration.



re
 the metrics metrics Managed care A popular term for standards by which the quality of a product, service, or outcome of a particular form of Pt management is evaluated. See TQM. , or even if you want to do the deal at all," said Peter Nolan, a managing partner at Los Angeles private firm investor Leonard Green & Partners.
Local M&A Activity

Top 50 mergers and acquisitions announced in 2002 involving L.A.
companies, based on deal size.

                       Deal Size (base)
Announced   Closed    (equity millions)  Buyer

22-Feb-02  11-Dec-02       6705.01       Northrop Grumman

19-Nov-02                  4725.00       Blackstone Group

12-Jun-02                  2961.04       Univision Communications

22-Sep-02                  1438.80       Private Group Led By
                                         David H. Murdock
03-Jun-02  17-Jan-03        754.76       USA Interactive

31-May-02  29-Jul-02        742.00       Macerich

14-Jun-02  02-Jan-03        729.40       Cardinal Health

02-Apr-02                   691.58       Quest Diagnostics

11-Apr-02  31-Aug-02        635.25       Golden Gate Capital/
                                         Whitney & Co.
13-Dec-02                   620.33       Computer Sciences
13-Dec-02                   537.27       SAVIA SA de CV/
                                         Fox Paine & Co.

31-Jan-02  22-Aug-02        484.84       Lyondell Chemical


09-Jul-02                   385.00       Staples


20-Aug-02  31-Oct-02        365.68       Unocal

27-Nov-02  23-Jan-03        350.00       Evercore Partners


02-Jan-02  02-Jan-02        282.50       First Data

04-Nov-02  09-Dec-02        250.00       General Electric


19-Jul-02  02-Aug-02        250.00       First Data


06-Nov-02  31-Jan-03        215.76       Pan Pacific Retail
                                         Properties
01-May-02  01-May-02        160.07       Hilton Hotels

16-Sep-02                   157.45       Goldman Sachs Group

28-Mar-02  19-Apr-02        146.30       On Assignment

24-Dec-02                   139.02       Entravision
                                         Communications
14-Feb-02  26-Jul-02        133.55       Private Group Led By
                                         Haimovitz./Capital Comm.

12-Sep-02  28-Oct-02        130.00       L-3 Communications



19-Mar-02                   130.00       GUS PLC


11-Mar-02  23-May-02        121.41       ValueClick

18-Oct-02  18-Oct-02        100.00       Leonard Green & Partners

25-Oct-02  25-Oct-02        100.00       ITLA Capital



18-Mar-02  18-Mar-02         81.00       International Rectifier


06-Sep-02  06-Sep-02         78.00       Walt Disney


16-Dec-02                    75.84       K2

20-May-02  20-Jun-02         72.50       Pactiv

20-Mar-02  23-Aug-02         72.27       Hawthorne Financial

06-Aug-02  01-Nov-02         66.33       UnionBanCal

16-Jul-02  03-Sep-02         59.80       Catapult Communications


02-Aug-02  02-Aug-02         59.30       Group 1 Automotive

22-Oct-02  06-Dec-02         58.50       BAE Systems


18-Jan-02  27-Mar-02         57.42       Converge Global

26-Aug-02  26-Aug-02         57.20       Riverdeep Group


11-Jul-02  11-Jul-02         57.00       Nationwide Health
                                         Properties


09-Feb-02  28-Oct-02         55.42       JAKKS Pacific

28-Jan-02  28-Feb-02         53.84       Curative Health Services

15-Apr-02                    50.10       International Rectifier



28-May-02  21-Jun-02         49.00       ARAMARK



03-Jan-02  28-Jan-02         47.63       Digital Insight


13-Feb-02                    47.50       Entravision
                                         Communications

07-Oct-02  07-Oct-02         46.00       John Wood Group


11-Oct-02                    46.00       Elementis


19-Jun-02  03-Jul-02         45.56       Globe International



Announced         Buyer City         Seller

22-Feb-02        Los Angeles         TRW Inc.

19-Nov-02          New York          Northrop Grumman Corp.

12-Jun-02        Los Angeles         Hispanic Broadcasting
                                     Corp.
22-Sep-02                            Dole Food Co.

03-Jun-02          New York          Ticketmaster

31-May-02        Santa Monica        Westcor Realty

14-Jun-02        Dublin, Ohio        Syncor International

02-Apr-02      Teterboro, N.J.       Unilab

11-Apr-02       San Francisco        Herbalife International

13-Dec-02         El Segundo         DynCorp.
13-Dec-02         San Pedro          Seminis
             Garza Garcia, Mexico

31-Jan-02          Houston           Occidental Petroleum
                                     (Equistar Chemicals)

09-Jul-02     Framingham, Mass.      Freeman Spogli
                                     (Medical Arts Press)

20-Aug-02         El Segundo         Pure Resources

27-Nov-02          New York          Weider Health & Fitness
                                     (Weider Publications)

02-Jan-02  Greenwood Village, Colo.  Cardservice International

04-Nov-02      Fairfield, Conn.      Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer
                                     (Bravo)

19-Jul-02  Greenwood Village, Colo.  PayPoint Electronic
                                     Payment Systems

06-Nov-02           Vista            Center Trust

01-May-02       Beverly Hills        Hilton Waikoloa Village

16-Sep-02          New York          National Golf Properties

28-Mar-02         Calabases          Health Personnel Options

24-Dec-02        Santa Monica        Big City Radio
                                     (KSYY-FM/KLUU/FM/KVYY-FM)
14-Feb-02                            Clark (Dick) Productions.


12-Sep-02          New York          Northrop Grumman
                                     (displays/electronic
                                     devices)

19-Mar-02    Manchester, England     Homestore Inc.
                                     (ConsumerInfo.com)

11-Mar-02      Westlake Village      Be Free

18-Oct-02        Los Angeles         Phoenix Scientific

25-Oct-02          La Jolla          Imperial Credit
                                     Industries
                                     (Lewis Horwitz)

18-Mar-02         El Segundo         European Semiconductor
                                     Manufacturing

06-Sep-02          Burbank           Forward Broadcasting
                                     (WEVD-AM)

16-Dec-02        Los Angeles         Rawlings Sporting Goods

20-May-02        Lake Forest         Winkler Forming

20-Mar-02         El Segundo         First Fidelity Bancorp.

06-Aug-02       San Francisco        Valencia Bank & Trust

16-Jul-02       Mountain View        Tekelec (Network
                                     Diagnostics)

02-Aug-02          Houston           Miller Automotive Group

22-Oct-02           London           Condor Pacific
                                     Industries

18-Jan-02        Santa Monica        TeleWrx

26-Aug-02      Dublin, Ireland       Gores Technology
                                     (Broderbund)

11-Jul-02       Newport Beach        American Retirement
                                     (5 assisted living
                                     centers)

09-Feb-02           Malibu           Toymax International

28-Jan-02      Hauppauge, N.J.       Apex Therapeutic Care

15-Apr-02         El Segundo         Koninklijke Philips
                                     Electronics
                                     (TechnoFusion)

28-May-02        Philadelphia        Hilton Hotels
                                     (Harrison Conference
                                     Centers)

03-Jan-02         Calabases          Virtual Financial
                                     Services

13-Feb-02        Santa Monica        Emmis Communications
                                     (KXPK, Denever)

07-Oct-02     Aberdeen, Scotland     Bender Machine/Thomason
                                     Mechanical

11-Oct-02      Staines, England      Occidental Petroleum
                                     (Chromium Chemicals)

19-Jun-02      Port Melbourne,       Kubic Marketing
                  Australia

Source: Mergerstat.com


[GRAPH OMITTED]

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Title Annotation:mergers and acquisition activity continues to decline
Author:Dougherty, Conor
Publication:Los Angeles Business Journal
Geographic Code:1USA
Date:Feb 17, 2003
Words:1547
Previous Article:Aggressive acquisitions yield vastly different fortunes. (Banking & Finance: Special Report - To Deal or Not to Deal).(Company Profile)
Next Article:Some industries more willing than others to merge. (Banking & Finance: Special Report - To Deal or Not to Deal).(anticipated merger and acquisition...
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