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Daily Commentary from SIR Highlights the Following Stocks: Microsoft, ChevronTexaco, CIGNA, American Power Conversion, CV Therapeutics.


Business Editors

CINCINNATI--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Oct. 31, 2003

This daily report contains a brief commentary on the day's most notable activity and a table listing the most active calls and puts for the day. The Midday Options Update is published every day at SchaeffersResearch.com. For additional information about this report or to have it delivered to you via email everyday click on the following link: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/addinfo.

Today's Daily Commentary focuses on: Microsoft (NASDAQ NASDAQ
 in full National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations

U.S. market for over-the-counter securities. Established in 1971 by the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD), NASDAQ is an automated quotation system that reports on
:MSFT), ChevronTexaco (NYSE NYSE

See: New York Stock Exchange
:CVX), CIGNA (NYSE:CI), American Power Conversion American Power Conversion, (formerly NASDAQ: APCC) based in West Kingston, Rhode Island, is a maker of AC and DC-based back-up power products and services. APC is best known for their manufacture of uninterruptible power supplies, mostly used as a backup power system for  (NASDAQ:APCC APCC anti-inhibitor coagulant complex. ), CV Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CVTX).

Investors have been lucky as they have received more treats than tricks this Halloween session. The Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index came in at 55 for the month of October compared to September's reading of 51.2 and the Street estimate 55.6. This report is a reassuring sight as all readings above 50 indicate expansion among businesses. Consumer sentiment is also growing more optimistic, with October's University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is a consumer confidence index published monthly by the University of Michigan. The index is normalized to have a value of 100 in December of 1964.  coming in at 89.6 versus last month's report of 87.7 and October's preliminary report of 89.4.

Turning to corporate news, Internet search engine Google has reportedly rebuffed overtures from Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) to be acquired by the software behemoth. Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. (Hebrew: טבע תעשיות פרמצבטיות בע"מ), NASDAQ: TEVA is an international pharmaceutical company headquartered in  has been a little more successful, as it announced today plans to buy Sicor in a stock and cash deal valued at $3.4 billion.

In earnings news, ChevronTexaco (NYSE:CVX) saw third-quarter revenue soar to $30 billion, resulting in a net income of $2.02 per share. These results pounded the company's loss of 85 cents per share Cents per share

The amount of a mutual fund's dividend or capital gains distributions that a shareholder will receive for each share owned.
 for the same period a year ago and the Street estimate of $1.62 per share. The shares are currently up almost three percent on the positive news. Health insurer CIGNA (NYSE: CI) posted a profit of $1.45 cents per share, outpacing the consensus estimate by 28 cents per share. The shares were also upgraded this morning from a "hold" to a "buy."

Speaking of analyst ratings, American Power Conversion (NASDAQ:APCC) was raised from "market perform" to "buy" while SBC Communications was upgraded from "underperform" to "sector perform." Alcoa was also boosted from "reduce" to "neutral" on the belief that demand could be stronger than expected due to the impressive Gross Domestic Product released yesterday.

At 1:12 p.m. eastern time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average Dow Jones Industrial Average

The best known U.S. index of stocks. A price-weighted average of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks, primarily industrials including stocks that trade on the New York Stock Exchange.
 (DJIA DJIA

See Dow Jones Industrial Averager (DJIA).
 - 9813.0) is up 0.27 percent and the S&P 500 Index (SPX (Sequenced Packet EXchange) The transport layer protocol in the NetWare operating system. Similar to the TCP layer in TCP/IP, it ensures that the entire message arrives intact. SPX uses NetWare's IPX as its delivery mechanism.  - 1050.98) is higher by 0.39 percent. The Nasdaq Composite (COMP - 1932.7) is flat. At 1:14 p.m. in the options pits, 1,349,396 calls and 955,677 puts traded for a composite put/call ratio across all five exchanges of 0.70. The CBOE CBOE

See: Chicago Board Options Exchange


CBOE

See Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE).
 put/call ratio for equity options weighed in at 0.81.

CV Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CVTX) is attempting to dominate call activity this afternoon. The security has seen more than 8,600 contracts cross the tape at its December 25 call, 12,600 contracts changed hands at its December 20 call, and another 6,500 transacted at its December 27.50 call. This is an interesting development considering the fact that the shares gapped significantly lower this morning on heavy trading volume. The company announced that it received an approvable letter from the FDA FDA
abbr.
Food and Drug Administration


FDA,
n.pr See Food and Drug Administration.

FDA,
n.pr the abbreviation for the Food and Drug Administration.
 regarding its angina treatment, Ranexa. While the letter indicates that the group believes the drug works, it also stated that it would still wait to hear a recommendation from its advisors in December before giving final approval. The Street was discouraged by this news, as two brokerage firm downgraded the shares.

Overall, sentiment toward the shares is mixed. The equity's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio stands at 0.55, which is lower than 81 percent of those taken over the past year. However, short interest is still more than five times its average daily trading volume, raising the potential for a covering rally if the stock can move higher once again.

From a technical perspective, the stock has been exactly blowing the doors out or anything. While the shares are attempting to rebound from this morning's sharp drop, CVTX continues to be capped by staunch resistance at its 10-week moving average. In addition, call contracts have accumulated heavily at the 22.50 and 25 strikes in the November series, adding another layer of potential resistance. The shares have a rough road ahead of them may find themselves lacking fuel as optimism has already begun to build and the short sellers see with little reason to cover their bearish positions.

Click the following link to see the Weekly Chart of CVTX since July 2003: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/wire?ID=8781.
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Publication:Business Wire
Geographic Code:1USA
Date:Oct 31, 2003
Words:787
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