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DOW'S WORST WEEK ENDS.


Byline: Eileen Glanton Associated Press Associated Press: see news agency.
Associated Press (AP)

Cooperative news agency, the oldest and largest in the U.S. and long the largest in the world.
 

The last thing Wall Street needed was one of Alan Greenspan's periodic warnings that the stock market's great rally might abruptly end. And it certainly didn't need news that inflation is gaining momentum.

But that double dose of unpleasantness was waiting for investors Friday when the stock market opened, and prices plunged in response, briefly sending the Dow Jones Dow Jones

the best known of several U.S. indexes of movements in price on Wall Street. [Am. Hist.: Payton, 202]

See : Finance
 industrials beneath 10,000 for the first time since April 7.

The Dow dropped 266.90 points to close at 10,019.71, having recovered slightly from its low for the session of 9,998.18. The Dow had its worst weekly point drop in history, plummeting 630.05, or 5.9 percent.

Friday's drop exacerbated weeks of declines that saw the Dow give up more than 1,300 points after reaching a closing high of 11,326.04 on Aug. 25. Fears of inflation and higher interest rates have undermined the market's optimism and prompted many investors to pull their money out.

``The bull market is based on the assumption that inflation is declining, interest rates are declining, and earnings are rising,'' said Michael Metz Michael Metz (born June 16, 1964) is a former field hockey player from Germany, who won the silver medal at the 1988 Summer Olympics in Seoul, South Korea for West Germany. , portfolio manager at CIBC CIBC Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce
CIBC Centres Interinstitutionnels de Bilan de Compétences
CIBC Commonwealth Institute of Biological Control (Trinidad)
CIBC Commercial International Brokerage Company
 Oppenheimer in New York New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
. ``This week, we got question marks on all three.''

The market's focus of late has been on the Federal Reserve and whether it will raise interest rates for a third time to forestall inflation.

Greenspan, the Fed's influential chairman, did his part to unsettle investors in a speech Thursday night. Greenspan, who has often suggested stocks are overvalued Overvalued

A stock whose current price is not justified by the earnings outlook or price/earnings (P/E) ratio and thus, expected to drop in price. Overvaluation may result from an emotional buying spurt, which inflates the market price of the stock or from a deterioration in a
, told a group of risk managers that investors may be underestimating the risks inherent in U.S. equities.

The chairman's concerns were a far cry from his notorious 1996 worries over the market's ``irrational exuberance'' and perhaps should not have rattled investors, analysts said.

``Greenspan gave a very balanced speech, but it came at a time when the market was nervous anyway,'' Metz said. ``When people are in the mood to sell, they'll sell.''

Friday morning, the market got another reason to sell when the Labor Department The Department of Labor (DOL) administers federal labor laws for the Executive Branch of the federal government. Its mission is "to foster, promote, and develop the welfare of the wage earners of the United States, to improve their working  reported that the Producer Price Index surged 1.1 percent in September, the biggest increase in nine years.

The higher-than-expected reading convinced many investors that the Fed will raise rates when its policy-making pol·i·cy·mak·ing or pol·i·cy-mak·ing  
n.
High-level development of policy, especially official government policy.

adj.
Of, relating to, or involving the making of high-level policy:
 Open Market Committee meets Nov. 16.

The market's decline surprised analysts who expected stocks to rise as corporate earnings season began in earnest. Most companies are expected to post robust profits, reaping rewards from the continued U.S. economic growth and recovery overseas.

But this past week, Intel, which makes the chips that run most personal computers, did what has become unthinkable in an age of soaring expectations: It missed Wall Street analysts' earnings estimates. Its shares tumbled and helped depress the broader technology sector.

Stock prices slashed

Intel wasn't the only major company to miss estimates. Defense contractor Noun 1. defense contractor - a contractor concerned with the development and manufacture of systems of defense
armed forces, armed services, military, military machine, war machine - the military forces of a nation; "their military is the largest in the region";
 Raytheon and computer company Unisys saw their stock prices slashed after releasing bad news about profits.

But in their rush to sell the earnings laggards, investors virtually ignored strong profit reports from companies like Apple and Boeing. Despite their robust results, investors remained resolutely pessimistic about the broader market.

``The companies that had earnings disappointments have been punished absolutely mercilessly,'' Metz said. ``Wall Street won't brook any disappointment.''

That's because rising interest rates had left the market in a fragile state A fragile state is a state significantly susceptible to crisis in one or more of its sub-systems. (It is a state that is particularly vulnerable to internal and external shocks and domestic and international conflicts). , said Jim Weiss Jim Weiss is a children's' storyteller who has released many audio cassettes and CDs. Examples of his retellings of stories include various works of Shakespeare, The Three Musketeers, and Sherlock Holmes. Most of his work was released by Greathall Productions. , deputy chief investment officer for equities at State Street Research and Management Co. in Boston.

``The market was standing on a foundation of sand rather than stone,'' he said. ``When a couple of companies disappointed, there wasn't any solid ground for the market to lean on.''

As trading wound down Friday afternoon, few analysts were proclaiming the end of the 10-year bull market. Some expected a round of bargain-hunting in the coming week, and many held out hope that a continuing stream of corporate earnings reports will lift the market.

Rally expected

The market's dip below 10,000 will undoubtedly scare off some investors, analysts said. But it may also end a persistent sense that stocks are too expensive and bound for a fall.

``We may have finally reached an oversold Oversold

In technical analysis, it is a market in which the volume of selling that has occurred is greater than the fundamentals justify.

Notes:
It is the opposite of overbought.
 condition,'' said Eugene E. Peroni Jr., director of equity research at John Nuveen & Co. ``And that could set the stage for a better, more sustainable rally in the months to come.''

The Dow industrials ended the week with not only their biggest point drop ever, but their steepest percentage loss in 10 years.

The Standard & Poor's 500 fell 88.61 on the week after losing 36.01 Friday to 1,247.41.

The Nasdaq composite lost 154.74 during the week to 2,731.83, after tumbling 75.01 on Friday.

The Russell 2000 index Russell 2000 Index

An index measuring the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000 Index, which is made up of 3,000 of the biggest U.S. stocks. The Russell 2000 serves as a benchmark for small-cap stocks in the United States.
, which reflects the performance of smaller companies, fell 13.01 on the week, closing at 414.70. The index fell 4.61 on Friday.

The Wilshire Associates Equity Index, which represents the combined market value of all NYSE NYSE

See: New York Stock Exchange
, American and Nasdaq issues, ended the week at $11.45 trillion, off $732.80 billion from last week. A year ago, the index was $9.54 trillion.
COPYRIGHT 1999 Daily News
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 1999, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Daily News (Los Angeles, CA)
Article Type:Statistical Data Included
Date:Oct 16, 1999
Words:850
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