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D&B Manufacturing Survey Shows Slight Decline in Optimism from Near-Record Levels of Prior Three Months.


Business Editors

MURRAY HILL Murray Hill may refer to one of the following places:
  • Murray Hill, Kentucky
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, N.J.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--June 7, 2000

Inflationary in·fla·tion·ar·y  
adj.
Of, associated with, or tending to cause inflation: inflationary prices; inflationary policies.

Adj. 1.
 Pressures Easing, as Expectations for

Prices and Costs Show the Most Significant Declines

Expectations among U.S. manufacturers for the coming three months remained strong in May, slipping only slightly from the near-record levels of the prior three surveys, according to according to
prep.
1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians.

2. In keeping with: according to instructions.

3.
 the latest Dun & Bradstreet Brad·street   , Anne Dudley 1612-1672.

English-born colonial poet who wrote several collections of verse, including The Tenth Muse Lately Sprung Up in America (1650).
 Manufacturing Survey.

Expectations for increased production and new orders remained strong, but the overall Industrial Sentiment Index sentiment index

A numerical guide to investor feeling toward the securities markets that is constructed to determine whether certain segments of the investment community are bullish or bearish.
 fell one point, as the index for unfilled orders declined modestly.

"Overall manufacturing expectations remain robust and the good news is that inflationary pressures appear to be easing, with fewer executives expecting to increase prices in the next three months as cost growth moderates," said William William, crown prince of Germany
William or Frederick William, 1882–1951, crown prince of Germany, son of William II. In World War I he commanded (1914) an army on the Western Front and was nominal commander in the German attack
 F. Doescher, senior vice president for D&B. "As intended by the Federal Reserve, domestic consumers have recently curtailed spending. But the trend has yet to put a damper damp·er  
n.
1. One that deadens, restrains, or depresses: Rain put a damper on our picnic plans.

2. An adjustable plate, as in the flue of a furnace or stove, for controlling the draft.
 on production schedules, as industry executives instead appear to be increasing their finished-goods inventories."

The Dun & Bradstreet Corporation's Manufacturing Survey is conducted monthly, with 1,000 manufacturing executives queried nationwide.

Expectations for Production Up Slightly; New Orders Index Holds Steady

Results from the D&B Manufacturing Survey conducted in May portend por·tend  
tr.v. por·tend·ed, por·tend·ing, por·tends
1. To serve as an omen or a warning of; presage: black clouds that portend a storm.

2.
 continued strength in the manufacturing sector in the coming three months. The May Industrial Sentiment Index (ISI ISI International Sensitivity Index, see there ) fell one point to 24, after holding at 25 in the preceding four months. Production expectations strengthened by a point to 51, while the outlook for new orders held steady at 54. Export expectations were unchanged at 30. Expectations for unfilled orders slipped two points to 10, and the outlook for finished goods inventories was down one point to 9, a positive indication.

Among the supplemental indexes, expectations for selling prices slipped three points to 15, accompanied by a four-point decline in the Total Unit Costs Index to 18. Employment expectations edged downward a point to 28, while the Production Capacity Index held at 39.

Recent Conditions Off Slightly

D&B's May ISI, which measures overall manufacturing conditions for the past three months, decreased by one point to 9. The New Orders Index fell three points to 21, while the Production Index held firm at 16. The Unfilled Orders Index gained one point to 4, and the Finished Goods Index went up three points to 2, indicating that unfilled orders are rising again. The Exports Index was down by one point at 7.

Among the supplementary indexes, the Employment Index was down a point to 0, indicating that the percentage of executives expecting increased employment matched the percentage of executives expected employment reductions. The Production Capacity Index edged up one point to 6. The indexes for selling prices and total unit costs were unchanged, at 7 and 33, respectively.

The Dun & Bradstreet Corporation

The Dun & Bradstreet Corporation (NYSE NYSE

See: New York Stock Exchange
:DNB DNB Dictionary of National Biography
DNB Drum N Bass (music)
DNB De Nederlandsche Bank
DNB Dun & Bradstreet (stock symbol)
DNB Den Norske Bank
DNB David Nelson Band
), based in Murray Hill, New Jersey
For other places with the same name, see Murray Hill.
Murray Hill is an unincorporated area within portions of both Berkeley Heights and New Providence, located in Union County in north-central New Jersey.
, consists of the Dun & Bradstreet operating company operating company

A business that engages in transactions with outsiders.
 and Moody's Investors Service Moody's Investors Service

A leading global credit rating, research and risk analysis firm.


Moody's Investors Service

A leading firm engaged in credit rating, risk analysis, and research of fixed-income securities and their issuers.
. Dun & Bradstreet is the global source for instant, reliable business information that powers electronic commerce. Companies of all sizes use D&B data to evaluate business opportunities with confidence and execute transactions at the speed of e-business. Moody's is the leading global provider of credit ratings, research, and analysis covering debt instruments and securities in the global capital markets. The Dun & Bradstreet Corporation operates in nearly 40 countries and generated 1999 revenue of $1.97 billion. More information is available at dnbcorp.com.



               THE DUN & BRADSTREET MANUFACTURING SURVEY

                                   1999       2000       2000     2000
                                    May      March      April      May

Three-Month Expectation Indexes

    Production                     43         57         50        51
    New Orders                     44         58         54        54
    Unfilled Orders                15          9         12        10
    Finished Goods Inventories     11         12         10         9
    Exports                        13         24         30        30

Industrial Sentiment Index         20         25         25        24


Past Three Months Indexes

    Production                     13         11        16         16
    New Orders                     14         18        24         21
    Unfilled Orders                -1          4         3          4
    Finished Goods Inventories      4         -1        -1          2
    Exports                        -2         -3         8          7

Industrial Sentiment Index          4          7        10          9


Supplementary Indexes

Three-Month Expectation Indexes

    Selling Prices                 11         21        18         15
    Employment Levels              19         27        29         28
    Total Unit Costs               10         22        22         18
    Production Capacity            25         40        39         39

Past Three Months Indexes

    Selling Prices                  2          6         7          7
    Employment Levels              -1          0         1          0
    Total Unit Costs               19         33        33         33
    Production Capacity             7          8         5          6


The indexes are calculated by subtracting the percentage of respondents In the context of marketing research, a representative sample drawn from a larger population of people from whom information is collected and used to develop or confirm marketing strategy.  expecting/experiencing a decrease in production, orders, etc. from the percentage expecting/experiencing an increase.

Source: Economic Analysis Department The Dun & Bradstreet

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Jun 7, 2000
Words:750
Previous Article:Three-Month Outlook for Order Books and Employment Strengthens, Despite Evidence of Weakness in May, According to Latest D&B Construction Survey.
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