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Correct: Fitch Removes Grupo Mexico from Watch Neg & Takes Action on Subs.


Business Editors

CHICAGO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--March 8, 2004

(In a press release issued earlier, Minera Mexico's foreign currency rating should be senior secured. The amended release follows.)

Fitch Ratings-Chicago-March 8, 2004: Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings

An international rating agency for financial institutions, insurance companies, and corporate, sovereign, and municipal debt. Fitch Ratings has headquarters in New York and London and is wholly owned by FIMALAC of Paris.
 affirms the 'B-' local and foreign currency ratings assigned to Grupo Mexico S Mexico, city, Mexico
Mexico or Mexico City, Span. Ciudad de México (Méjico), city (1990 pop. 8,236,960; 1991 met. area est. 20,899,000), central Mexico, capital and largest city of Mexico.
.A. de C.V. (Grupo Mexico) and removes the ratings from Rating Watch Negative. The Rating Outlook is now Stable. In addition, Fitch affirms the following ratings for Grupo Mexico's subsidiaries:

Minera Mexico S.A. de C.V. (Minera Mexico)

-- Senior secured local currency, 'B';

-- Senior secured foreign currency, 'B'.

Southern Peru Copper Corporation (SPCC SPCC
abbr.
Society for the Prevention of Cruelty to Children

SPCC (US) n abbr (= Society for the Prevention of Cruelty to Children) → Kinderschutzbund m 
)

-- Senior unsecured foreign currency, 'BB-'.

Asarco Inc. (Asarco)

-- Senior unsecured rating, 'CCC'.

Grupo Ferroviario Mexicano, S.A. de C.V. (GFM GFM Government-Furnished Material
GfM Gesellschaft Für Musikforschung
GFM Global Freight Management
GFM Gruyere Fribourg Morat (Swiss / Fribourg Railways-Bus Organisation)
GFM Global Force Management
GFM Gram Formula Mass
)

-- Senior unsecured local currency, 'BBB-';

-- Senior unsecured foreign currency, 'BBB-'.

In conjunction with these rating actions, Fitch has assigned a 'B' senior unsecured rating to Americas Mining Corporation (AMC (Advanced Mezzanine Card) See AdvancedTCA. ), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Grupo Mexico that is the direct parent company of Minera Mexico, Asarco, and Southern Peru Copper Corporation (SPCC).

Grupo Mexico's 'B-' rating reflects the company's high leverage. As of Dec. 31, 2003, Grupo Mexico's consolidated debt totaled about $3.1 billion while total EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) A metric used to show a company's profitability, but not its cash flow. EBITDA became popular in the 1980s to show the potential profitability of leveraged buyouts, but has become  was $690 million. In 2003, the company's ratio of total debt-to-EBITDA was 3.5 times(x) while interest coverage, as measured by EBITDA/interest expense, was 4.4x. On a non-consolidated basis, Grupo Mexico has about $80 million of bank debt due in 2004-2005. This holding company debt is serviced primarily by the dividends Grupo Mexico receives from its railway subsidiary, Grupo Ferroviario Mexicano, S.A. de C.V. (GFM), which accounted for about 30% of GM's consolidated EBITDA in 2003.

GFM's 'BBB-' local and foreign currency ratings are supported by the company's solid competitive position, strong cash flows and modest leverage. As a result of the recent financings, GFM's ratio of total debt-to-EBITDA increased to 2.3x at Dec. 31, 2003, from 1.7x at year-end 2002, and EBITDA to interest expense decreased to 6x at Dec. 31, 2003, from 27x in 2002. The level of total debt of about $480 million is not expected to increase significantly in the future, as both GM and Union Pacific Railroad Union Pacific Railroad, transportation company chartered (1862) by Congress to build part of the nation's first transcontinental railroad line. Under terms of the Pacific Railroads Act, the Union Pacific was authorized to build a line westward from Omaha, Nebr.  (Union Pacific), a minority shareholder, believe the company is appropriately capitalized Capitalized

Recorded in asset accounts and then depreciated or amortized, as is appropriate for expenditures for items with useful lives longer than one year.
. Union Pacific has indicated to Fitch that it will not approve further debt increases. It has the ability to control through a very restrictive shareholders agreement.

Fitch's 'B' rating of AMC, a direct subsidiary of Grupo Mexico, reflects its high leverage as measured by the ratio of total consolidated debt-to-EBITDA of about 5.2x. This company's debt obligations are met primarily with dividends from SPCC. SPCC is the financially strongest and lowest-cost mining asset held by AMC due to its low leverage and very competitive cost structure. This enables SPCC to support AMC's debt obligations with dividends during troughs in the price cycle for copper. AMC is rated one notch notch (noch) incisure; an indentation on the edge of a bone or other organ.

aortic notch  dicrotic n.

cardiac notch 
1.
 higher than its parent, Grupo Mexico, since AMC's largest debt obligation is secured by its 54% stake in SPCC. As of Dec. 31, 2003, AMC's total consolidated debt, including that of its mining subsidiaries, totaled approximately $2.6 billion while consolidated EBITDA totaled approximately $500 million. Debt at the AMC level only, totaled approximately $502 million.

During 2003, a year in which copper prices averaged 82 cents per pound, SPCC generated $290 million of EBITDA. The company ended 2003 with $295 million of cash and marketable securities Marketable Securities

Very liquid securities that can be converted into cash quickly at a reasonable price.

Notes:
Marketable securities are very liquid as they tend to have maturities less than one year, and the rate at which these securities can be bought or sold has
 and $350 million of total debt. SPCC's ratio of total debt-to-EBITDA was 1.2x at Dec. 31, 2003 and the ratio of EBITDA-to-interest expense was 16.5x. SPCC should continue to generate healthy cash flows in 2004, especially under the current environment of high prices, as every one-cent rise in copper generates about $8 million in additional EBITDA for the company. Fitch rates SPCC's foreign currency debt 'BB-'. This rating is constrained con·strain  
tr.v. con·strained, con·strain·ing, con·strains
1. To compel by physical, moral, or circumstantial force; oblige: felt constrained to object. See Synonyms at force.

2.
 by the 'BB-' foreign currency rating of Peru.

Fitch's 'B' rating of Minera Mexico's obligations continue to reflect the company's high leverage post its debt restructuring Debt Restructuring

A method used by companies with outstanding debt obligations to alter the terms of the debt agreements in order to achieve some advantage.

Notes:
 in April 2003. At year-end 2003, the company's total debt was approximately $1.3 billion. Minera Mexico's EBITDA improved to $190 million in 2003 from $106 million in 2002. As a result, its ratio of total debt-to-EBITDA decreased to 7.3x from 13x in 2002, while interest coverage, as measured by EBITDA/interest expense increased to 1.8x from 1x in 2002. On average, it is expected that Minera Mexico's EBITDA will increase by about $7 million for every one-cent increase in average copper prices vis-?-vis 2003.

On Feb. 3, 2004, Grupo Mexico announced that it had presented a proposal to SPCC shareholders to sell all of its interest in Minera Mexico to SPCC in return for additional shares in SPCC. The proposal is pending discussion and approval by SPCC shareholders and is expected to be a cashless stock-for-stock transaction.

The possible acquisition of Minera Mexico by SPCC holds the potential to improve the credit profile of Minera Mexico by facilitating the refinancing Refinancing

An extension and/or increase in amount of existing debt.
 of Minera Mexico's currently restrictive debt agreements that were the result of the restructuring restructuring - The transformation from one representation form to another at the same relative abstraction level, while preserving the subject system's external behaviour (functionality and semantics).  completed early last year. Refinancing of this debt, given the current high copper price environment, would provide Minera Mexico with increased financial flexibility and allow it to both reduce its debt and to invest in projects that enhance free cash flow. If the proposed merger transaction were not cashless, and Minera Mexico's debt were rebalanced between it and SPCC, SPCC's underlying credit quality would be weakened weak·en  
tr. & intr.v. weak·ened, weak·en·ing, weak·ens
To make or become weak or weaker.



weaken·er n.
 considerably. It is not expected that it would be weakened enough, however, to result in a downgrade Downgrade

A negative change in the rating of a security.

Notes:
For example, an analyst may downgrade a stock from strong buy to buy, or a bond rating agency may downgrade a bond from AAA to AA.
 of the company's foreign currency rating.

Fitch's 'CCC' rating of Asarco's debt obligations reflects the substantial uncertainty regarding the company's potential environmental lawsuits, as well as its inability to generate significant cash flow due to its high cash cost of production. In 2003, Asarco generated revenues and EBITDA of $360 million and $17 million, respectively. For each additional one-cent increase in copper prices, Asarco's EBITDA should increase by about $4 million.

Currently copper is above $1.30/lb. and has averaged about $1.17/lb. in the first two months of 2004, a dramatic increase over the 2003 average of $0.81/lb. and the 2002 average of just $0.71/lb.
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Publication:Business Wire
Geographic Code:1USA
Date:Mar 8, 2004
Words:1047
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