Correct: Fitch Downgrades Tribune to 'CCC'; Outlook Negative.CHICAGO -- (This is an amended version of a press release originally issued on Aug. 22. Both the senior guaranteed revolving credit Revolving Credit A line of credit where the customer pays a commitment fee and is then allowed to use the funds when they are needed. It is usually used for operating purposes, fluctuating each month depending on the customers current cash flow needs. facility and the senior guaranteed term loan are downgraded to 'CCC+/RR3', not 'CCC/RR4'. Recovery ratings of RR3 indicate that 51-70% recovery is reasonable) Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings An international rating agency for financial institutions, insurance companies, and corporate, sovereign, and municipal debt. Fitch Ratings has headquarters in New York and London and is wholly owned by FIMALAC of Paris. has downgraded the following ratings on Tribune Company The Tribune Company (NYSE: TRB) is a large American multimedia corporation based in Chicago, Illinois. It is the nation's second-largest newspaper publisher, responsible for the Chicago Tribune, Los Angeles Times, Newsday, Hartford Courant (TRB TRB Transportation Research Board TRB Technical Review Board TRB Teacher Registration Board TRB Test Review Board TRB Total Relationship Balance TRB Tap-Rack-Bang (shooting procedure) TRB Theodore Roosevelt Building ): --Issuer Default Rating (IDR IDR In currencies, this is the abbreviation for the Indonesian Rupiah. Notes: The currency market, also known as the Foreign Exchange market, is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average volume of over US $1 trillion. ) to 'CCC' from 'B-'; --Senior guaranteed revolving credit facility to 'CCC+/RR3' from 'B/RR3'; --Senior guaranteed term loan to 'CCC+/RR3' from 'B/RR3'; --Senior unsecured bridge loan to 'CC/RR6' from 'CCC/RR6'; --Senior unsecured notes to 'CC/RR6' from 'CCC/RR6'; --Subordinated exchangeable debentures due 2029 to 'CC/RR6' from 'CCC-/RR6'. Approximately $13.4 billion of debt is affected by this action. The Rating Outlook is Negative. The downgrade Downgrade A negative change in the rating of a security. Notes: For example, an analyst may downgrade a stock from strong buy to buy, or a bond rating agency may downgrade a bond from AAA to AA. and Negative Outlook reflect the following considerations: --Given the acceleration of declines in newspaper advertising revenue and cash flow at Tribune and no evidence from any participants in the industry regarding the prospects for current pressure relenting, Fitch believes Tribune's credit profile is consistent with a 'CCC' rating. For issuers in the 'CCC' rating category, default is a real possibility and the capacity to meet financial commitments is vulnerable to deterioration de·te·ri·o·ra·tion n. The process or condition of becoming worse. in business and economic conditions. Fitch notes business and economic conditions have been rapidly deteriorating de·te·ri·o·rate v. de·te·ri·o·rat·ed, de·te·ri·o·rat·ing, de·te·ri·o·rates v.tr. To diminish or impair in quality, character, or value: for newspaper companies over the past 12 months. --On August 13, TRB announced continued weak operating and financial results. On a comparable basis, in the second quarter of 2008, publishing revenue was down 11%, costs were down 4% and operating EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) A metric used to show a company's profitability, but not its cash flow. EBITDA became popular in the 1980s to show the potential profitability of leveraged buyouts, but has become was off 38%, reflecting the significant operating leverage Operating Leverage A measurement of the degree to which a firm or project relies on fixed rather than variable costs. Notes: The higher the degree of operating leverage, the greater the potential danger from forecasting risk. in the business as cost cuts have not been able to compensate for the revenue deterioration. Advertising revenue has been under pressure across advertising categories with classifieds continuing to post double-digit declines (over 40% for real estate classifieds). Interactive revenue was also down 4%. On the broadcasting side, revenue has been up modestly while costs were also up (7.5%) and operating EBITDA decreased 3%. --Fitch is aware that there is limited visibility regarding the likelihood, timeframe and magnitude of a potential reversal of these negative trends. --Over the longer term Fitch continues to anticipate that the company will be challenged to generate meaningful and consistent revenue growth, and remains cautious regarding newspaper companies' prospects for capturing and monetizing the significant volume of advertising dollars that are migrating toward the internet. While the second half of 2008 should be favorable fa·vor·a·ble adj. 1. Advantageous; helpful: favorable winds. 2. Encouraging; propitious: a favorable diagnosis. 3. for the broadcasting division, Fitch expects 2009 to be a weak year for TV broadcasting stations Noun 1. broadcasting station - a station equipped to broadcast radio or television programs broadcast station radio station - station for the production and transmission of AM or FM radio broadcasts , particularly those affiliated with lower rated networks (e.g. The CW Network). --Cost cuts announced and implemented in the first half of 2008 should help in the intermediate term, but Fitch notes that even more action may be necessary to offset the rapid erosion of advertising dollars. Newsprint newsprint low grade paper used for newspapers. Old newspapers are fed to cattle as an alternative roughage and may occasionally be ingested by dogs. Significant amounts of lead are accumulated in tissues; no cases of poisoning have been recorded in cattle, though it has been prices have been escalating but have largely been offset by reduced consumption through web width reductions, fewer pages (lower advertising, less editorial, and actions such as elimination of stock charts) and discontinuation dis·con·tin·u·a·tion n. A cessation; a discontinuance. Noun 1. discontinuation - the act of discontinuing or breaking off; an interruption (temporary or permanent) discontinuance of low-value circulation. --Fitch expects TRB to continue to pursue asset sales (namely the sale of the Chicago Cubs franchise and the company's 25% stake in Comcast SportsNet Chicago) to enable it to address principal amortization ($593 million) on the tranche Tranche One of several related securities offered at the same time. Tranches from the same offering usually have different risk, reward, and/or maturity characteristics. tranche A class of bonds. X of its term loan facility in June of 2009. However, further asset monetization may be necessary. In the long run, Fitch is concerned about the company's ability to generate cash to meet its interest payments, principal amortization and maturities under its debt obligations in a timely manner. In the near term, Fitch believes the company can meet its obligations for several quarters, but has grown more concerned regarding the room the company has around its covenants given the pressured EBITDA generation. --TRB has limited flexibility around its 9 times (x) guaranteed leverage covenant. Fitch calculates the ratio to be in the low-to-mid 8x range at June 30, 2008. If the company were to experience similar declines in the second half of the year as experienced in the first half, and sells the Cubs and SportsNet stakes before year-end for net proceeds Net Proceeds The amount received after all costs are deducted from the sale of a piece of property or security. Notes: In the case of an investor selling a security, net proceeds represent the proceeds from the sale minus any trading costs (i.e. commissions). of more than $675 million (which appears realistic), it could be under the 9x leverage covenant. However, if negative trends accelerate or if the Cubs/SportsNet deal is not completed the company could be at risk of breaching the threshold. Also, Fitch recognizes that even with the Cubs sale, the company faces a material risk of breaching the covenant threshold when it steps down in first-quarter 2009 to 8.75x. While the company could receive an amendment or waiver from the banks if it breaches a covenant, in this credit environment Fitch is uncertain and cautious regarding the terms of such a potential negotiation for such a highly leveraged entity with deteriorating prospects. In this scenario, the receipt of a waiver or amendment without an upturn in business prospects is not likely to have a positive impact on the rating. However, failure to receive covenant relief could result in a restructuring (not necessarily bankruptcy) that would likely further pressure ratings. --Tribune management has met or exceeded Fitch's expectations on the elements of its business over which it has more explicit control: expense containment, asset sales and exclusive dedication of cash flow toward debt repayment. Fitch believes TRB management has distinguished itself from other newspaper management teams by taking aggressive actions across various areas of the company to attempt to preserve the longer term health of the company: bringing in new leadership from outside the industry, communicating directly with staff about the challenges facing the industry, reducing headcount, re-tooling incentive compensation for sales teams, redesigning the product, exploring asset monetization/utilization opportunities, and experimenting with new revenue streams. While these actions appear prudent in the intermediate- to long-term, they are less quantifiable in the near term and they may not produce results that address the company's currently strained financial flexibility. The downgrade primarily reflects weakness stemming from elements of the business that the company has less control over, namely areas that Fitch understood were highly volatile, such as classified advertising. --The 'CCC+/RR3' rating for Tribune's secured bank credit facility and term loans B and X reflects Fitch's belief that 51%-70% recovery is reasonable in distress given that it benefits from a first-priority guarantee from direct and indirectly owned U.S. subsidiaries (providing it priority over other claims under a default scenario). The 'CC/RR6' Recovery Rating on the bridge loan ($1.6 billion), the unsecured notes and the subordinated exchangeable debentures (PHONES) reflects Fitch's estimate that 0% recovery is realistic in a distress scenario. (Although not reflected in notching due to the expectation of 0% recovery, Fitch notes there are differences in priority among the 'CC/RR6' rated securities.) Fitch's ratings reflect TRB's significant debt burden, as well as the decline in its revenue and cash flow. Fitch believes newspapers and broadcast affiliates (particularly in large markets where there is more competition for advertising dollars) face meaningful secular headwinds that could lead to more cash flow pressure in the future. In addition, the ratings continue to reflect volatile newsprint prices and the threat of emerging technologies on the economics of the pure-play broadcasting affiliate business. TRB's businesses face the risk of margin compression as revenue pressures are coupled with cost structures that are fixed or contain elements that are largely outside of management's control. The margin of safety to endure these threats in a cyclical cyclical Of or relating to a variable, such as housing starts, car sales, or the price of a certain stock, that is subject to regular or irregular up-and-down movements. downturn has largely been exhausted. These concerns are balanced somewhat by the geographic diversity of the company's assets as well as the success of several of the company's on-line investments. Also, TRB owns some valuable assets (L.A. Times, Chicago Cubs, Food Network stake, CareerBuilder stake, etc.) that are separable sep·a·ra·ble adj. Possible to separate: separable sheets of paper. sep from the company. Fitch estimates that cash proceeds from core divestitures would not likely de-leverage the company but could provide some capacity to enhance liquidity (non-core asset sales would be deleveraging, particularly the Cubs). Liquidity is supported by availability under its $750 million revolving bank credit facility which is fully available (with the exception of $95 million in letters of credit) and $75 million available under a $300 million Trade Receivable Securitization Securitization The process of creating a financial instrument by combining other financial assets and then marketing them to investors. Notes: Mortgage backed securities are a perfect example of securitization. May also be spelled as "securitisation. Facility (entered into on July 1, 2008). In addition, the company has available a delayed draw on the Term Loan B facility which should permit the company to fund the $238 million medium-term note Medium-term note (MTN) A corporate debt instrument that is continuously offered to investors over a period of time by an agent of the issuer. Investors can select from maturity bands of: 9 months to 1 year, more than 1 year to 18 months, more than 18 months to 2 years, etc. coming due in October 2008 (which will slightly increase the numerator numerator the upper part of a fraction. numerator relationship see additive genetic relationship. numerator Epidemiology The upper part of a fraction of the guaranteed leverage test). Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use Terms of Use are rules set up by the owner of an intellectual property or service to govern how they may be legally used. In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide. of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. |
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