Contrarian investor: William Thomason bargain hunts for undervalued stocks.William Thomason is always on the hunt for fundamentally sound stocks with a positive growth track record but that suddenly suffer a fall in stock price. By buying stocks that are undervalued Undervalued A stock or other security that is trading below its true value. Notes: The difficulty is knowing what the "true" value actually is. Analysts will usually recommend an undervalued stock with a strong buy rating. relative to the market or to other stocks in their industry, and selling them when they reach an attractive selling price based on his target. Thomason is a true contrarian. Managing partner and chief investment officer of Thomason Capital Management L.L.C., Thomason constantly adds to and subtracts from his his universe of 250 stocks as be scouts for these conditions. "Once the price is down, I look for 12- to 18-month turnaround catalysts, like a new CEO (1) (Chief Executive Officer) The highest individual in command of an organization. Typically the president of the company, the CEO reports to the Chairman of the Board. , a change in a market trend, new product development, or the elimination of a product that was a drain on earnings," says Thomason, who also is the author of Make Money Work for You--Instead of You Working for It (John Wiley John Wiley may refer to:
Oshkosh Truck Oshkosh Truck NYSE: OSK, is a manufacturer of specialty trucks and truck bodies for defense, industrial and fire emergency applications. It is based in Oshkosh, Wisconsin and employs about 7,000 people worldwide in five countries. Corp. (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange : OSK OSK On Screen Keyboard OSK Osaka Shosen Kaisha (Japanese shipping line) OSK One Shot Kill (gaming clan) OSK Oslo Seilflyklubb (Norwegian: Oslo Gliding Club) ), designer and manufacturer of specialty commercial, fire and emergency, and military tracks, is a debt-free company well placed to benefit from the continued demand for military trucks. "The U.S. Department of Defense is a major customer, and Oshkosh also sells to commercial customers, municipalities, and other government agencies, including airports," says Thomason. Thomason also likes IAC/InterActiveCorp (NASDAQ NASDAQ in full National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations U.S. market for over-the-counter securities. Established in 1971 by the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD), NASDAQ is an automated quotation system that reports on : IACI IACI Idaho Association of Commerce & Industry IACI International Association for Craniofacial Identification IACI Iran Aircraft Industries ), which operates leading and diversified businesses in sectors being transformed by the Internet. One of its most recognizable business divisions is the Home Shopping Network “HSN” redirects here. For other uses, see HSN (disambiguation). The Home Shopping Network (HSN) is a mostly 24-hour shopping network that is seen on cable, satellite, and some terrestrial channels in the United States. Run by legendary Hollywood dealmaker deal·mak·er n. One that makes deals, as in business, finance, or politics. deal mak Barry Diller,
IAC/InterActiveCorp trades at a considerably lower multiple, in revenue
and earnings, than other Internet giants, such as Google, Amazon, and
eBay. Yet this year the firm is projected to generate more revenue than
Google. "Crunch the numbers and IAC/InterActiveCorp looks like a
bargain," Thomason says.Another undervalued stock by Thomason's calculations is Apollo Group Inc. (NASDAQ: APOL APOL Asia Pacific Online APOL Alternate Person on Line ), which provides higher education to working adults. The company operates through its subsidiaries, The University of Phoenix Inc., Institute for Professional Development, The College for Financial Planning Financial planning Evaluating the investing and financing options available to a firm. Planning includes attempting to make optimal decisions, projecting the consequences of these decisions for the firm in the form of a financial plan, and then comparing future performance against Institutes Corp., and Western International University. "In 18 months the stock went down almost 40% while earnings per share went up almost 50%. That's a pretty good combination," he says. In the technology sector, Thomason likes Micron Technology Inc. (NYSE: MU), a provider of advanced semiconductor solutions that he says used to be strictly a DRAM (computer memory) commodity but in recent years has moved into image sensors using CMOS (Complementary Metal Oxide Semiconductor) Pronounced "c-moss." The most widely used integrated circuit design. It is found in almost every electronic product from handheld devices to mainframes. (semi-conductor) chips. Because Micron manufactures and markets DRAMs and Flash memory, Thomason believes one of the catalysts for the company will be Microsoft's new operating system, Vista. "Whenever you have a new operating system, it's a memory hog. Micron's core business might see some better growth next year because of Vista," he says. Mueller Water Products Inc. (NYSE: MWA Digispeak for "a kiss" (the sound "mwa" makes!). See digispeak. ), a manufacturer of water infrastructure and flow control products, stands to increase its revenues by taking advantage of the nation's new infrastructure needs and repairs to the aging water infrastructure. "A lot of repairs are coming down the pipeline. MWA has a large installed base and an excellent distribution network and is a low-cost provider," Thomason says.
12-to 18- P/E on
Company Month Projected
Exchange: Symbol Price * Price Target 2006 Earnings
Oshkosh Truck Corp. $43.27 $60.00 13.05
(NYSE: OSK)
IAC/InterActiveCorp. $24.21 $35.00 18.00
(NASDAQ: IACI)
Apollo Group Inc. $47.25 $60.00 17.00
(NASDAQ: APOL)
Micron Technology Inc. $15.82 $22.00 40.00
(NYSE: MU)
Mueller Water Products Inc. $15.55 $24.00 29.00
(NYSE: MWA)
Company Annual EPS
Exchange: Symbol Growth Rate Why Stock Will Outperform
Oshkosh Truck Corp. 24% Defense Department has
(NYSE: OSK) increased demand for
trucks
IAC/InterActiveCorp. 14% The company's business is
(NASDAQ: IACI) growing, along with its
revenues
Apollo Group Inc. 42% The stock price has fallen,
(NASDAQ: APOL) while the company's
earnings have increased
Micron Technology Inc. 20% The company has
(NYSE: MU) diversified, and its core
memory business will
get a boost from
Microsoft's new operating
system
Mueller Water Products Inc. 15% The company will benefit
(NYSE: MWA) from an increase in repair
work to the country's
aging water infrastructure
* AS OF JULY 28, 2006. SOURCE. YAHOO! FINANCE AND WILLIAM THOMASON
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