Consumers Must Have Plan During Post-Disaster Period.SHOCKED investors did almost nothing with their money in the week following the terrorist attack, as stock markets collapsed and the economic outlook worsened. Before the World Trade Center disaster, it seemed plausible that the country might skirt a recession. Now, however, a recession - a mild one, at least-is in the cards. Too much business stopped after the terrorist attack. Unemployment will be somewhat higher than would otherwise have been the case. Consumers will hunker down Hun´ker down v. 1. to crouch or squat; to sit on one's haunches. 2. to settle in at a location for an extended period; - also (figuratively) to maintain a position and resist yielding to some pressure, as of public opinion. 3. - saving more and spending less. Business profits won't recover as fast as investors had hoped. That's one of the reasons the markets plunged. Instead of bottoming out around yearend, the economic downturn might not be over until spring or even summer of 2002. Stocks still selling at high valuations are being taken out and shot. So are the stocks caught in the backwash of the terrorist attacks: casualty insurers, entertainment companies, financial firms, high-tech firms dependent on renewed economic growth. Some stocks could prosper from the disaster - debris-removal companies, construction firms, defense contractors. But Wall Street was playing with a new rulebook last week. First, investors have to assess the probable success of President Bush's call to arms ! a summons to war or battle. See also: Arms against terrorists. Then we have to see how long it takes for consumers to gain confidence again. The sooner the country feels satisfied and reassured, the milder the recession will be, said economist Mark Zandi of Economy.com. Both fiscal policy and monetary policy are riding to the rescue of business and stocks. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates and is pouring extra money into the banking system, to avert the risk of a systems breakdown or massive loss of confidence. Congress is preparing spending bills, starting with $40 billion for such projects as rebuilding the Pentagon and New York New York, state, United States New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of , and perhaps $15 billion to rescue the endangered airlines. This massive stimulus should work. Consumer strategies Until then, what should consumers do? Pay off debt! This is no time to add to the amount you're borrowing. Debt is your enemy when workers are losing jobs. For investors, stocks in general looked like screaming buys at the end of the first week of trading after the attack, as long as you're ii the market for the long term. You never know about what might happen to the stock of any individual company. But the market as a whole looked cheap. The best way to buy "the market" is by owning index mutual funds. No one can tell in advance how low any bear market will fall. By the time you read this, prices might have climbed. The week after that, they might fall again. Because you don't know Don't know (DK, DKed) "Don't know the trade." A Street expression used whenever one party lacks knowledge of a trade or receives conflicting instructions from the other party. , the wisest way to buy stocks is to "average" into the market. If you have cash you want to invest, consider investing one-sixth of it every month, for the next six months. If you're in a 40 1(k) or 403(b) plan, keep making your regular monthly investments. In fact, invest more if you're not putting in the maximum the plan allows. Adding more money when stocks are low helps you grow a larger nest egg Nest Egg A special sum of money saved or invested for one specific future purpose. Notes: Examples of the purposes for which nest eggs are usually intended include retirement, education, and even entertainment (vacations and cruises). when they rise again. Maintain the split between stocks and bonds that's good for your age and circumstances. Dealing with disputes If you've worked with a stockbroker who did you wrong, and brought an arbitration case, call your lawyer to see if your case is going to be delayed. A number of firms, including Morgan Stanley
The National Association of Securities Dealers National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD) Nonprofit organization formed under the joint sponsorship of the investment bankers' conference and the SEC to comply with the Maloney Act, which provides for the regulation of the OTC market. , which handles most industry arbitrations, has granted all parties an extra two weeks to get paperwork in. Most cases involving selected firms (so far, Morgan, Merrill Lynch Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc. (NYSE: MER TYO: 8675 ), through its subsidiaries and affiliates, provides capital markets services, investment banking and advisory services, wealth management, asset management, insurance, banking and related products and services on a global basis. and Smith Barney Smith Barney is a division of Citigroup Global Capital Markets Inc., a global, full-service financial firm, that provides brokerage, investment banking and asset management services to corporations, governments and individuals around the world. ) have been delayed until Dec. 3, said Linda Fineberg, head of NASD's Dispute Resolution Program. Syndicated columnist Inc.com defines a syndicated columnist as, "[A] person hired by publications or broadcast organizations to produce written or spoken commentary about specific feature subjects. Jane Bryant Quinn Jane Bryant Quinn (born February 5, 1939) is an American journalist. She was born in Niagara Falls, New York, and she graduated magna cum laude from Middlebury College in Vermont. She is a contributing editor for Newsweek and has a weekly article in Newsweek. can be reached in care of the Washington Port Writers Group, 1150 15th St., Washington D.C. 20071 -9200. Bank Blacklisting Can Ruin Customers Will no one stop the banking industry from ruining customers who make small mistakes with their checking accounts? For a $2 error, you can be put on a banking blacklist (1) A list of e-mail addresses of known spammers. See spam, spam filter, Blacklist of Internet Advertisers, greylisting and blackholing. Contrast with white list. (2) A list of Web sites that are considered off limits or dangerous. . Once that happens, you usually won't be able to get a new checking account for. the next five years! That doesn't happen to the rich who bring big deposits to the bank. It's only the little guy - the average American- who gets slammed. Fixing the error doesn't help. The blacklist has made no distinction between a small mistake (which the banks call "account abuse") and deliberate fraud. The Minneapolis-based blacklist, called ChexSystems, is owned by eFunds, a unit of the check-printing company, Deluxe Corp. As many as 90 percent of the bank branchin the United States United States, officially United States of America, republic (2005 est. pop. 295,734,000), 3,539,227 sq mi (9,166,598 sq km), North America. The United States is the world's third largest country in population and the fourth largest country in area. consult ChexSystems, whose database contains more than. 7 million names. Credit unions use it, too. Banks report you to ChexSystems if they close your account for cause - say, because you bounce checks or overdraw TO OVERDRAW. To draw bills or cheeks upon an individual, bank or other corporation, for a greater amount of funds than the party who draws is entitled to. 2. your account and don't repay instantly. If you have two banks, the second one might throw you out merely because the first one did. Most ChexSystems reports don't show how much money was owed. It could be $4 or $40,000. Nor does it routinely show whether the overdraft was repaid. What's more, most banks don't even bother to ask what ChexSystems' record shows. If you're listed, for any reason, you're dead. How can banks be allowed to get away with that? It's one thing to exchange information about fraudsters who use 12 Social Security numbers. But it's a sin to punish small mistakes, by little guys, so brutally. (But then, they may not want little-guy accounts.) Some California banks announced more lenient treatment for small overdrafts and a shorter blacklist period after a Wall Street Journal story exposed these practices last year. JANE BRYANT QUINN |
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