Consumer confidence and buying plans.
Consumer Confidence and Buying Plans
Based on surveys conducted by NFO Research, Inc.
Percentage of households = 100%
Business Employment Income Inflation Stock Prices
2002 2003
All series seasonally adjusted Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb.
Composite Series: Index
Numbers, 1985=100
Consumer Confidence Index 84.9 80.7 78.8 64.8
Present Situation 78.3 69.6 75.3 63.5
Expectations 89.3 88.1 81.1 65.7
Appraisal of Present
Situation: Percent
Business Conditions
Good 16.1 14.5 15.0 13.6
Bad 25.7 25.9 26.7 29.6
Normal 58.2 59.6 58.3 56.8
Employment
Jobs plentiful 14.2 12.3 14.5 11.4
Jobs not so plentiful 58.5 58.0 56.6 58.6
Jobs hard to get 27.3 29.7 28.9 30.0
Expectations for Six
Months Hence: Percent
Business Conditions
Better 20.3 21.1 17.7 14.9
Worse 11.3 11.0 14.0 19.1
Same 68.4 67.9 68.3 66.0
Employment
More jobs 15.4 15.4 14.2 12.4
Fewer jobs 18.8 20.2 21.2 28.5
Same 65.8 64.4 64.6 59.1
Income
Increase 19.4 19.6 18.4 16.0
Decrease 9.9 10.7 10.2 12.2
Same 70.7 69.7 71.4 71.8
Plans to Buy Within
Six Months: Percent
Automobile
Yes 6.8 7.7 6.8 6.9
New 2.8 3.3 3.0 2.8
Used 2.4 3.4 3.0 3.0
Uncertain 1.6 1.0 0.8 1.1
Home
Yes 3.1 3.2 3.6 3.8
New 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.0
Lived in 1.5 1.4 1.7 1.7
Uncertain 0.8 0.8 0.7 1.1
Major appliances
Total plans 28.6 28.4 28.2 27.5
Refrigerator 3.9 4.5 5.8 4.1
Washing machine 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.9
TV Set 6.7 7.5 6.3 6.1
Vacuum Cleaner 5.4 4.8 4.3 5.3
Range 3.0 3.0 3.3 2.7
Clothes dryer 3.4 3.4 3.1 3.5
Air conditioner 2.8 1.7 2.0 1.9
Carpet 5.2 5.2 5.6 5.0
Vacation Intended
Within Six Months:
Percent
Vacation Intended 43.3 42.7
Destination
U.S. 34.7 35.5
Foreign country 9.1 8.7
Means of Travel
Automobile 23.7 23.8
Airplane 16.0 17.5
Other 4.3 3.6
Not Seasonally
Adjusted
Expectations for Twelve
Months Hence: Percent
Inflation Rate
Average 4.1 4.4 4.4 4.8
Interest Rates
Higher 42.1 43.5 43.7 41.7
Same 35.8 38.9 39.9 38.4
Lower 22.1 17.6 16.4 19.9
Stock Prices
Increase 34.4 33.3 31.3 25.2
Same 35.3 34.9 34.6 32.6
Decrease 30.3 31.8 34.1 42.2
2003
All series seasonally adjusted Mar. Apr. May
Composite Series: Index
Numbers, 1985=100
Consumer Confidence Index 61.4 81.0 83.6
Present Situation 61.4 75.2 67.3
Expectations 61.4 84.8 94.5
Appraisal of Present
Situation: Percent
Business Conditions
Good 13.6 16.2 16.1
Bad 30.0 23.9 28.4
Normal 56.4 59.9 55.5
Employment
Jobs plentiful 11.4 13.0 12.3
Jobs not so plentiful 56.3 57.6 54.8
Jobs hard to get 32.3 29.4 32.9
Expectations for Six
Months Hence: Percent
Business Conditions
Better 13.0 18.9 22.8
Worse 20.0 12.3 9.6
Same 67.0 68.8 67.6
Employment
More jobs 10.8 16.4 17.9
Fewer jobs 26.5 20.9 17.8
Same 62.7 62.7 64.3
Income
Increase 15.8 17.2 17.1
Decrease 13.4 10.7 9.7
Same 70.8 72.1 73.2
Plans to Buy Within
Six Months: Percent
Automobile
Yes 6.6 6.0 7.7
New 3.0 2.8 3.7
Used 2.8 2.1 2.5
Uncertain 0.8 1.1 1.5
Home
Yes 3.2 3.4 3.8
New 0.9 1.3 1.1
Lived in 1.3 1.4 1.7
Uncertain 1.0 0.7 1.0
Major appliances
Total plans 28.2 29.7 31.6
Refrigerator 5.3 4.7 5.9
Washing machine 3.0 3.7 3.9
TV Set 6.7 7.0 7.3
Vacuum Cleaner 5.1 4.9 5.1
Range 3.1 3.1 3.8
Clothes dryer 3.2 4.1 3.6
Air conditioner 1.8 2.2 2.0
Carpet 6.1 5.6 5.5
Vacation Intended
Within Six Months:
Percent
Vacation Intended 42.4
Destination
U.S. 37.0
Foreign country 7.1
Means of Travel
Automobile 24.7
Airplane 17.3
Other 3.3
Not Seasonally
Adjusted
Expectations for Twelve
Months Hence: Percent
Inflation Rate
Average 5.0 4.5 4.1
Interest Rates
Higher 39.9 45.4 44.5
Same 38.0 35.9 40.8
Lower 22.1 18.7 14.7
Stock Prices
Increase 22.9 35.1 36.1
Same 30.5 32.7 38.7
Decrease 46.6 32.2 25.2
2003
All series seasonally adjusted June July Aug. Sept.
Composite Series: Index
Numbers, 1985=100
Consumer Confidence Index 83.5 77.0 81.7 77.0
Present Situation 64.2 63.0 62.0 59.7
Expectations 96.4 86.3 94.9 88.5
Appraisal of Present
Situation: Percent
Business Conditions
Good 14.9 16.5 15.9 16.2
Bad 28.1 30.2 31.0 29.5
Normal 57.0 53.3 53.1 54.3
Employment
Jobs plentiful 11.2 10.7 11.3 9.9
Jobs not so plentiful 56.9 56.6 54.6 55.0
Jobs hard to get 31.9 32.7 34.1 35.1
Expectations for Six
Months Hence: Percent
Business Conditions
Better 23.5 20.0 22.6 21.3
Worse 9.2 11.4 10.6 11.9
Same 67.3 68.6 66.8 66.8
Employment
More jobs 18.9 16.6 18.0 16.6
Fewer jobs 16.9 19.6 18.6 21.1
Same 64.2 63.8 63.4 62.3
Income
Increase 17.1 15.9 20.7 19.0
Decrease 10.4 11.3 9.5 9.7
Same 72.5 72.8 69.8 71.3
Plans to Buy Within
Six Months: Percent
Automobile
Yes 5.9 8.7 6.6 5.4
New 2.7 3.4 2.7 2.1
Used 2.3 4.0 3.2 2.2
Uncertain 0.9 1.3 0.7 1.1
Home
Yes 3.0 3.5 4.1 3.1
New 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.2
Lived in 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.2
Uncertain 0.6 0.9 1.3 0.7
Major appliances
Total plans 27.8 29.3 32.5 26.6
Refrigerator 3.8 4.0 4.9 5.0
Washing machine 3.3 4.1 4.7 3.1
TV Set 7.2 6.8 7.4 6.3
Vacuum Cleaner 4.4 5.5 5.6 5.0
Range 3.4 3.1 3.5 2.5
Clothes dryer 3.7 3.3 3.8 2.8
Air conditioner 2.0 2.5 2.6 1.9
Carpet 4.9 6.3 5.6 4.8
Vacation Intended
Within Six Months:
Percent
Vacation Intended 41.8 43.4
Destination
U.S. 36.2 36.3
Foreign country 7.2 8.6
Means of Travel
Automobile 24.9 23.9
Airplane 16.8 17.0
Other 3.2 4.2
Not Seasonally
Adjusted
Expectations for Twelve
Months Hence: Percent
Inflation Rate
Average 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.5
Interest Rates
Higher 42.1 39.9 57.7 60.0
Same 39.0 40.6 30.2 28.9
Lower 18.9 19.5 12.1 11.1
Stock Prices
Increase 43.2 39.3 39.7 42.1
Same 34.8 35.6 36.8 36.7
Decrease 22.0 25.1 23.5 21.2
2003
All series seasonally adjusted Oct.(r) Nov.(p)
Composite Series: Index
Numbers, 1985=100
Consumer Confidence Index 81.7 91.7
Present Situation 67.0 80.1
Expectations 91.5 99.4
Appraisal of Present
Situation: Percent
Business Conditions
Good 17.1 19.9
Bad 28.1 24.0
Normal 54.8 56.1
Employment
Jobs plentiful 11.8 13.2
Jobs not so plentiful 54.5 57.3
Jobs hard to get 33.7 29.5
Expectations for Six
Months Hence: Percent
Business Conditions
Better 23.5 24.1
Worse 11.0 7.1
Same 65.5 68.8
Employment
More jobs 19.6 18.2
Fewer jobs 20.4 17.6
Same 60.0 64.2
Income
Increase 16.9 19.0
Decrease 10.8 9.7
Same 72.3 71.3
Plans to Buy Within
Six Months: Percent
Automobile
Yes 6.6 5.6
New 3.0 2.1
Used 2.7 2.8
Uncertain 0.9 0.7
Home
Yes 3.2 2.9
New 1.0 0.5
Lived in 1.2 1.9
Uncertain 1.0 0.5
Major appliances
Total plans 26.7 27.7
Refrigerator 4.4 4.2
Washing machine 3.2 3.5
TV Set 7.0 7.0
Vacuum Cleaner 4.6 4.5
Range 3.1 3.5
Clothes dryer 3.0 3.2
Air conditioner 1.4 1.8
Carpet 5.0 4.9
Vacation Intended
Within Six Months:
Percent
Vacation Intended 46.3
Destination
U.S. 38.3
Foreign country 8.9
Means of Travel
Automobile 25.8
Airplane 17.3
Other 4.0
Not Seasonally
Adjusted
Expectations for Twelve
Months Hence: Percent
Inflation Rate
Average 4.5 4.3
Interest Rates
Higher 54.5 54.8
Same 34.3 35.8
Lower 11.2 9.4
Stock Prices
Increase 42.2 44.9
Same 37.5 38.0
Decrease 20.3 17.1
2002 2003
All series seasonally adjusted Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb.
Consumer Confidence
Index, 1985 = 100
Age of Household Head
Under 35 90.5 98.3 89.5 78.5
35-54 85.2 80.1 81.3 65.1
55 and over 80.8 73.9 70.7 57.2
Household Income
Under $15,000 65.1 58.7 57.9 45.4
$15,000-24,999 72.3 62.1 60.8 57.7
$25,000-34,999 77.9 79.6 68.2 66.1
$35,000-49,999 87.3 85.2 83.4 60.9
$50,000 and over 96.1 93.2 92.0 74.7
2003
All series seasonally adjusted Mar. Apr. May
Consumer Confidence
Index, 1985 = 100
Age of Household Head
Under 35 68.6 89.7 90.5
35-54 62.0 80.3 85.6
55 and over 55.9 75.6 75.8
Household Income
Under $15,000 41.9 61.2 69.4
$15,000-24,999 52.5 68.0 68.0
$25,000-34,999 55.8 81.8 85.0
$35,000-49,999 65.0 78.2 82.3
$50,000 and over 71.5 91.3 92.7
2003
All series seasonally adjusted June July Aug. Sept.
Consumer Confidence
Index, 1985 = 100
Age of Household Head
Under 35 95.3 90.4 88.8 84.8
35-54 83.3 77.2 83.8 76.1
55 and over 77.3 69.8 74.5 73.6
Household Income
Under $15,000 59.9 52.0 52.7 51.8
$15,000-24,999 62.9 59.0 69.0 59.4
$25,000-34,999 83.5 72.4 75.5 76.2
$35,000-49,999 85.2 76.1 77.2 74.9
$50,000 and over 96.3 92.0 98.0 92.2
2003 3 mos.
Percent
All series seasonally adjusted Oct.(r) Nov.(p) Change (*)
Consumer Confidence Index,
1985 = 100
Age of Household Head
Under 35 88.8 96.7 -1.5
35-54 84.6 90.7 2.9
55 and over 74.6 89.0 7.1
Household Income
Under $15,000 61.7 65.1 8.5
$15,000-24,999 60.9 67.4 -1.7
$25,000-34,999 76.3 81.8 1.3
$35,000-49,999 87.7 98.2 9.4
$50,000 and over 93.1 107.3 2.2
(p)-preliminary (r)-revised (*) Percent Change: Average of last three months shown as compared with preceding three months Age and Income data have been adjusted far seasonal variations. |
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