Consumer Confidence and Buying Plans.
Consumer Confidence and Buying Plans
Based on surveys conducted by NFO Research, Inc.
Percentage of household = 100%
2001
All series seasonally adjusted July Aug. Sept.
Composite Series: Index Numbers
1985=100
Consumer Confidence Index 116.3 114.0 97.0
Present Situation 151.3 144.5 125.4
Expectations 92.9 93.7 78.1
Appraisal of Present Situation:
Percent
Business Conditions
Good 28.5 27.7 22.3
Bad 14.6 15.5 18.3
Normal 56.9 56.8 59.4
Employment
Jobs plentiful 35.6 33.6 27.1
Jobs not so plentiful 50.3 50.4 54.1
Jobs hard to get 14.1 16.0 18.8
Expectations for Six Months Hence:
Percent
Business Conditions
Better 17.2 19.1 15.7
Worse 11.2 10.7 15.8
Same 71.6 70.2 68.5
Employment
More jobs 15.0 15.7 12.9
Fewer jobs 16.4 17.7 22.5
Same 68.6 66.6 64.6
Income
Increase 22.1 23.2 21.1
Decrease 7.5 8.3 9.3
Same 70.4 68.5 69.6
Plans to Buy Within Six Months:
Percent
Automobile
Yes 9.4 8.1 7.3
New 4.3 3.8 2.8
Used 3.9 3.5 2.8
Uncertain 1.5 0.8 1.7
Home
Yes 3.8 3.9 3.6
New 1.0 1.1 1.1
Lived in 1.7 1.7 1.4
Uncertain 1.1 1.1 1.1
Major appliances
Total plans 31.3 31.5 29.4
Refrigerator 4.2 4.7 4.7
Washing machine 4.4 3.8 3.9
TV Set 7.5 7.3 7.5
Vacuum Cleaner 5.5 6.1 5.7
Range 3.6 3.2 2.8
Clothes dryer 4.0 3.9 2.8
Air conditioner 2.1 2.5 2.0
Carpet 5.8 5.3 5.3
Vacation Intended Within Six
Months: Percent
Vacation Intended Destination 46.0
U.S. 38.6
Foreign country 8.8
Means of Travel
Autombile 25.1
Airplane 19.8
Other 4.1
2001
All series seasonally adjusted Oct. Nov. Dec.
Composite Series: Index Numbers
1985=100
Consumer Confidence Index 85.3 84.9 94.6
Present Situation 107.2 96.2 97.8
Expectations 70.7 77.3 92.4
Appraisal of Present Situation:
Percent
Business Conditions
Good 18.6 16.8 17.3
Bad 20.7 20.7 21.7
Normal 60.7 62.5 61.0
Employment
Jobs plentiful 20.9 17.5 17.9
Jobs not so plentiful 58.5 59.8 60.2
Jobs hard to get 20.6 22.7 21.9
Expectations for Six Months Hence:
Percent
Business Conditions
Better 17.6 17.7 22.2
Worse 20.3 16.9 11.6
Same 62.1 65.4 66.2
Employment
More jobs 13.9 14.4 16.5
Fewer jobs 29.0 26.3 19.3
Same 57.1 59.3 64.2
Income
Increase 18.0 22.0 21.5
Decrease 10.9 10.3 9.1
Same 71.1 67.7 69.4
Plans to Buy Within Six Months:
Percent
Automobile
Yes 8.8 7.1 8.0
New 4.5 3.3 3.6
Used 2.9 2.6 3.5
Uncertain 1.4 1.2 0.9
Home
Yes 3.5 3.3 4.1
New 1.2 1.3 1.0
Lived in 1.3 1.3 2.2
Uncertain 1.0 0.7 0.9
Major appliances
Total plans 26.8 29.4 26.9
Refrigerator 4.1 4.1 4.2
Washing machine 4.0 3.7 3.5
TV Set 6.8 7.7 6.7
Vacuum Cleaner 3.9 5.5 5.3
Range 3.3 2.8 3.2
Clothes dryer 3.3 3.4 2.8
Air conditioner 1.4 2.2 1.2
Carpet 5.7 4.5 5.3
Vacation Intended Within Six
Months: Percent
Vacation Intended Destination 48.0 43.6
U.S. 47.7 35.6
Foreign country 8.6 8.6
Means of Travel
Autombile 26.0 24.0
Airplane 18.4 16.4
Other 4.5 4.2
Business
2002
All series seasonally adjusted Jan. Feb. Mar.
Composite Series: Index Numbers
1985=100
Consumer Confidence Index 97.8 95.0 110.7
Present Situation 98.1 96.4 111.5
Expectations 97.6 94.0 110.2
Appraisal of Present Situation:
Percent
Business Conditions
Good 18.2 17.6 21.0
Bad 22.4 22.8 18.3
Normal 59.4 59.6 60.7
Employment
Jobs plentiful 18.4 18.2 20.6
Jobs not so plentiful 59.1 59.2 58.3
Jobs hard to get 22.5 22.6 21.1
Expectations for Six Months Hence:
Percent
Business Conditions
Better 24.9 22.3 25.4
Worse 9.8 11.1 6.2
Same 65.3 66.6 68.4
Employment
More jobs 18.9 18.3 20.7
Fewer jobs 18.0 19.5 13.5
Same 63.1 62.2 65.8
Income
Increase 20.1 20.5 22.7
Decrease 9.6 9.2 8.6
Same 70.3 70.3 68.7
Plans to Buy Within Six Months:
Percent
Automobile
Yes 7.6 8.1 7.0
New 3.0 3.2 2.6
Used 3.4 3.4 3.2
Uncertain 1.2 1.5 1.2
Home
Yes 4.0 3.9 3.5
New 1.0 1.1 1.0
Lived in 1.6 1.8 1.3
Uncertain 1.4 1.0 1.2
Major appliances
Total plans 27.7 28.5 29.9
Refrigerator 5.2 4.8 4.8
Washing machine 3.0 4.3 3.9
TV Set 7.4 6.8 6.3
Vacuum Cleaner 4.5 5.0 5.4
Range 3.2 2.7 3.6
Clothes dryer 2.8 3.3 4.1
Air conditioner 1.6 1.6 1.8
Carpet 6.2 4.5 6.9
Vacation Intended Within Six
Months: Percent
Vacation Intended Destination 44.7
U.S. 38.1
Foreign country 8.7
Means of Travel
Autombile 25.8
Airplane 17.5
Other 4.0
Employment Income
2002
All series seasonally adjusted Apr. May June(r)
Composite Series: Index Numbers
1985=100
Consumer Confidence Index 108.5 110.3 106.3
Present Situation 106.8 111.2 104.9
Expectations 109.6 109.7 107.2
Appraisal of Present Situation:
Percent
Business Conditions
Good 19.7 21.2 19.9
Bad 19.4 18.5 19.5
Normal 60.9 60.3 60.6
Employment
Jobs plentiful 20.9 21.2 20.1
Jobs not so plentiful 56.4 57.0 56.7
Jobs hard to get 22.7 21.8 23.2
Expectations for Six Months Hence:
Percent
Business Conditions
Better 26.0 24.9 23.7
Worse 6.4 6.8 7.1
Same 67.6 68.3 69.2
Employment
More jobs 22.2 21.2 20.4
Fewer jobs 14.8 13.6 14.3
Same 63.0 65.2 65.3
Income
Increase 21.1 21.1 20.9
Decrease 8.1 7.8 8.0
Same 70.8 71.1 71.1
Plans to Buy Within Six Months:
Percent
Automobile
Yes 7.8 7.9 7.8
New 4.3 3.8 3.9
Used 2.5 2.7 3.0
Uncertain 1.0 1.4 0.9
Home
Yes 3.9 3.6 3.4
New 1.4 1.1 0.8
Lived in 1.8 1.5 1.5
Uncertain 0.7 1.0 1.1
Major appliances
Total plans 31.3 27.6 29.6
Refrigerator 5.2 4.7 4.4
Washing machine 4.0 3.3 3.8
TV Set 7.2 6.6 7.7
Vacuum Cleaner 5.6 4.7 4.8
Range 3.2 3.1 3.1
Clothes dryer 3.6 3.0 3.8
Air conditioner 2.5 2.2 2.0
Carpet 6.4 5.7 5.8
Vacation Intended Within Six
Months: Percent
Vacation Intended Destination 44.7 44.5
U.S. 38.7 38.7
Foreign country 7.8 7.3
Means of Travel
Autombile 25.6 24.9
Airplane 18.3 19.6
Other 3.7 3.4
Income
2002
All series seasonally adjusted July(p)
Composite Series: Index Numbers
1985=100
Consumer Confidence Index 97.1
Present Situation 99.2
Expectations 95.7
Appraisal of Present Situation:
Percent
Business Conditions
Good 20.1
Bad 22.1
Normal 57.8
Employment
Jobs plentiful 18.8
Jobs not so plentiful 57.2
Jobs hard to get 24.0
Expectations for Six Months Hence:
Percent
Business Conditions
Better 20.9
Worse 9.2
Same 69.9
Employment
More jobs 17.3
Fewer jobs 17.1
Same 65.6
Income
Increase 19.5
Decrease 9.6
Same 70.9
Plans to Buy Within Six Months:
Percent
Automobile
Yes 8.0
New 3.2
Used 3.8
Uncertain 1.0
Home
Yes 3.6
New 0.8
Lived in 1.9
Uncertain 0.9
Major appliances
Total plans 27.9
Refrigerator 3.8
Washing machine 3.4
TV Set 7.3
Vacuum Cleaner 4.2
Range 3.3
Clothes dryer 3.0
Air conditioner 2.9
Carpet 5.5
Vacation Intended Within Six
Months: Percent
Vacation Intended Destination
U.S.
Foreign country
Means of Travel
Autombile
Airplane
Other
(p) - preliminary
(r) - revised
A monthly report from
The Consumer Research Center
Copyright (C) 2002 by The Conference Board, inc.
All right reserved. ISSN 1046-1876
The Conference Board, 845 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10022-6679 / 215
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Conference Board, Inc.
Inflation
Interest Rates
Stock Prices
Expectations for Twelve Months Hence: Percent
Not Seasonally 2001
Adjusted July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov.
Inflation Rate
Average 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.5 4.2
Interest Rates
Higher 30.8 32.5 32.7 23.4 26.4
Same 38.8 35.8 36.0 30.9 32.6
Lower 30.4 31.7 31.3 45.7 41.0
Stock Prices
Increase 32.6 31.1 26.8 34.1 33.5
Same 39.4 37.4 35.2 29.5 34.5
Decrease 28.0 31.5 38.0 36.4 32.0
Not Seasonally 2001 2002
Adjusted Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr.
Inflation Rate
Average 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.5
Interest Rates
Higher 36.4 43.7 46.1 54.0 62.1
Same 34.6 36.9 37.0 34.6 28.0
Lower 29.0 19.4 16.9 11.4 9.9
Stock Prices
Increase 36.7 41.3 37.6 46.3 42.6
Same 33.4 34.5 34.2 35.1 37.0
Decrease 29.9 24.2 28.2 18.6 20.4
Not Seasonally 2002
Adjusted May June(r) July(p)
Inflation Rate
Average 4.2 4.2 4.2
Interest Rates
Higher 54.6 51.4 45.3
Same 34.6 35.6 39.6
Lower 10.8 13.0 15.1
Stock Prices
Increase 37.1 32.4 26.6
Same 40.3 38.6 35.7
Decrease 22.6 29.0 37.7
Consumer Confidence Index, 1985 = 100
2001
All series seanonally adjusted July Aug. Sept. Oct.
Age of Household Head
Under 35 122.2 122.8 105.3 91.9
35-54 117.8 111.6 98.2 84.5
55 and over 109.6 111.1 90.5 82.1
Household Income
Under $15,000 90.9 90.1 71.1 71.0
$15,000-24,999 106.0 105.7 80.9 74.7
$25,000-34,999 112.0 111.9 89.9 83.4
$35,000-49,999 120.6 104.0 99.8 85.1
$50,000 and over 127.6 128.5 111.0 93.8
2001 2002
All series seanonally adjusted Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb.
Age of Household Head
Under 35 100.2 106.2 109.1 104.1
35-54 86.5 96.0 96.6 94.6
55 and over 75.4 87.2 92.5 89.1
Household Income
Under $15,000 57.1 71.8 65.1 74.2
$15,000-24,999 79.4 83.1 85.5 78.0
$25,000-34,999 76.3 89.7 91.8 85.5
$35,000-49,999 83.1 93.8 101.0 95.3
$50,000 and over 99.3 107.6 114.2 110.1
2002
All series seanonally adjusted Mar. Apr. May June(r)
Age of Household Head
Under 35 112.1 112.5 112.9 116.6
35-54 110.9 106.9 110.5 104.6
55 and over 107.2 105.9 106.6 101.9
Household Income
Under $15,000 76.8 72.1 74.8 77.3
$15,000-24,999 93.7 99.2 89.6 95.7
$25,000-34,999 112.1 106.7 108.1 102.7
$35,000-49,999 112.2 108.1 111.2 105.7
$50,000 and over 124.4 122.2 127.8 118.4
3 mos.
2002 Percent
All series seanonally adjusted July(p) Change *
Age of Household Head
Under 35 107.8 2.6
35-54 98.1 0.3
55 and over 89.9 -1.3
Household Income
Under $15,000 72.5 0.7
$15,000-24,999 76.2 -3.5
$25,000-34,999 85.1 -2.8
$35,000-49,999 106.0 2.3
$50,000 and over 111.2 0.2
[GRAPH graph, figure that shows relationships between quantities. The graph of a function y=f (x) is the set of points with coordinates [x, f (x)] in the xy-plane, when x and y are numbers. OMITTED]
COPYRIGHT 2002 Conference Board, Inc.
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2002, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.
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