Competition would spur growth.North Africa has clearly been the second most important banking centre on the African continent after South Africa for several years. After South Africa's big five, North African banks filled four of the top 10 rankings in last year's survey but they are not so dominant this year because of the rise of Nigerian financial institutions. This is a function of two factors: the overhaul of the financial services industry in Africa's most populous country and the lack of cross-border competition within North Africa. While Nigeria's GDP per head is lower than that of all five North African countries, its market of 140m people, strengthened banking regulations and oil revenues have allowed its largest banks to pull level with Morocco's biggest financial institutions. Although Attijariwafabank occupies seventh position in the continental table, four Nigerian banks are more substantial than anything Egypt has to offer and are likely to over-take the Moroccan bank in the near future. Nevertheless, the threshold required to secure a place in the North African top 20 has increased from $208m to $266m in just 12 months, so the region's banking sector as a whole is clearly making strong progress. However, competition between Moroccan financial institutions has maintained the Maghreb country's position at the top of our table of North Africa's Top Banks. Attijariwafabank's capital of $l,900m, up from $l,538m last year, has allowed it to overtake Groupe Banques Populaire, which suffered a small fall in capital, although the latter remains the most profitable financial institution in Africa. Perhaps surprisingly, Attijariwafabank's profits actually fell from $363m in our 2007 survey to $275m this year, so the struggle to be Morocco's leading bank is far from clear cut. Another development this year has been the emergence of Algerian banks. BEA, Credit Populaire d'Algerie and CNEP all figure in the top 10. Credit Populaire moves up from 10th to seventh on the back of an increase in capital from $400m to $556m. While the Algerian banking sector remains constrained by the lack of progress on economic reform, the influx of higher oil and particularly gas revenues is buoying the economy and maintaining strong growth levels. Little cross-border competition Although Egypt in particular is coming towards the end of a sustained period of banking sector deregulation, it is a pity that there has not been more opening up of domestic markets across the region. Many of North Africa's banks are of a similar size and so competition for both corporate and retail banking could be fierce. Analysts in the region have blamed the division between the francophone Maghreb and Egypt for this lack of cross-border competition, but there the banks of Morocco, Algeria and Tunisia still fail to challenge each other because of entrenched protection in the financial services sector. This year, as in 2007, National Bank of Egypt continues to head the Egyptian banking industry, with capital up a steady $89m on the year, but still significantly behind the two Moroccan banks. Egypt's oldest commercial bank now has 423 branches and is in the process of carrying out a strategic reassessment with the support of consultants McKinsey & Co. covering the full range of its operations, with particular emphasis on risk management and private equity. Despite the progress that has been made at divesting government banking interests, there is still some way to go before the realignment of the Egyptian banking sector is complete. A report on the sector by Prime Holding, an Egyptian investment bank, concluded "Numerous domestic events have led to bearish performance of the banking stocks since the start of the year." These include the cancellation of the merger talks between Commercial International Bank and Arab African International Bank, the postponement of a 67% stake sale in Banque du Caire and a recently issued report by the Moody's rating agency revising the country's bank deposit ratings in view of the rising inflation and interest rate conditions. As elsewhere in Africa, Egypt is not immune from current global economic problems, so this is a difficult time to sell bank stocks. However, the report adds: "Local banks are currently well capitalised on their excess liquidity while maintaining better credit quality standards." Tunisian banks continue to figure strongly in our table. The country's banking sector is led by Societe Tunisienne de Banque (STB), which holds on to 11th place with a rise of $39m in capital to $377m. However, the gap between STB and Banque Internationale Arabe de Tunisie, Banque National Agricole and Banque de Tunisie is narrowing, with even the fourth biggest Tunisian bank only $65m behind STB in terms of capital and actually performing much better at present in terms of profitability. Such close figures indicate a very competitive market and it will be interesting to see if STB can stay ahead of the field next year.
North African
Regional Date of Country Capital Assets
Ranking Rank Bank results ($m) ($m)
1 7 Attijariwafabank Dec-07 Morocco 1,900 21,662
2 10 Groupe Banques Dec-07 Morocco 1,589 20,668
Populaire
3 13 Libyan Arab Dec-06 Libya 1,299 16,820
Foreign Bank
4 14 National Bank of Jun-07 Egypt 1,268 37,403
Egypt
5 18 Banque Marocaine Dec-07 Morocco 749 13,892
du Comm.
Exterieur
6 20 BEA Dec-05 Algeria 561 16,858
7 21 Credit Populaire Dec-06 Algeria 556 6,856
d'Algerie
8 22 Commercial Dec-07 Egypt 514 8,706
International
Bank
9 24 Banque du Caire Jun-06 Egypt 510 7,943
10 25 CNEP Dec-06 Algeria 487 11,306
11 28 Soc. Tunisie. de Dec-07 Tunisia 377 4,182
Banque (STB)
Bank
12 29 Societe Generale Dec-06 Morocco 367 5,126
Marocaine de
Banques
13 29 30 Arab African Dec-07 Egypt 356 8,015
International
Bank
14 31 National Societe Dec-07 Egypt 347 8,618
Generale Bank
15 33 Banque Dec-07 Tunisia 330 3,961
Internationale
Arabe de Tunisie
16 34 Banque Nationale Dec-07 Tunisia 317 4,140
Agricole
17 35 Banque de Dec-07 Tunisia 312 1,983
Tunisie
18 37 HSBC Bank Egypt Dec-07 Egypt 297 5,002
19 38 Bank of Jun-07 Egypt 293 6,612
Alexandria
20 43 Credit du Maroc Dec-07 Morocco 266 4,224
21 46 Credit Agricole Dec-07 Egypt 253 3,918
Egypt Bank
22 48 BNA Dec-06 Algeria 240 11,792
23 52 Amen Bank Dec-07 Tunisia 224 2,266
24 56 Wahda Bank Dec-06 Libya 177 2,253
25 60 Gumhouria Bank Dec-06 Libya 146 3,845
Regional CAR Profits ROE ROA
Ranking Rank Bank (%) ($M) (%) (%)
1 7 Attijariwafabank 8.8 275 14.5 1.2
2 10 Groupe Banques 7.6 474 29.8 2.3
Populaire
3 13 Libyan Arab Foreign 7.7 151 11.6 0.9
Bank
4 14 National Bank of Egypt 3.4 67 5.3 0.2
5 18 Banque Marocaine du 5.4 278 37.1 2.0
Comm. Exterieur
6 20 BEA 3.3 20 3.6 3.6
7 21 Credit Populaire 8.1 150 26.9 2.2
d'Algerie
8 22 Commercial International 5.9 266 51.7 3.1
Bank
9 24 Banque du Caire 6.4 22 4.3 0.3
10 25 CNEP 4.3 N/A N/A N/A
11 28 Soc. Tunisie. de Banque 9.0 26 6.8 6.8
(STB) Bank
12 29 Societe Generale 7.1 95 25.9 1.8
Marocaine de Banques
13 29 30 Arab African 4.4 131 36.8 1.6
International Bank
14 31 National Societe 4.0 182 52.4 2.1
Generale Bank
15 33 Banque Internationale 8.3 24 7.3 0.6
Arabe de Tunisie
16 34 Banque Nationale 7.7 23 7.3 7.3
Agricole
17 35 Banque de Tunisie 15.7 58 18.5 18.5
18 37 HSBC Bank Egypt 5.9 172 57.9 3.4
19 38 Bank of Alexandria 4.4 na na na
20 43 Credit du Maroc 6.3 72 27.0 1.7
21 46 Credit Agricole Egypt 6.4 95 37.5 2.4
Bank
22 48 BNA 2.0 132 54.8 54.8
23 52 Amen Bank 9.9 24 10.7 10.7
24 56 Wahda Bank 7.8 18 10.2 0.8
25 60 Gumhouria Bank 3.8 9 6.1 0.2
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