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China shows financial muscle by boosting property market: analysts


China's aggressive moves to boost its ailing real estate market provide a glimpse of its unrivalled position in coping with the global financial turmoil, analysts said Thursday.

The government announced measures to head off a property market crash late Wednesday after figures released this week showed third quarter domestic product growth slowed to nine percent, the lowest since mid-2003.

"This is big news and the actions came sooner than expected probably because the third-quarter growth was worse than expected and the slowdown has proven sharper than the government expected," JP Morgan economist Frank Gong said.

With high liquidity, 1.9 trillion-dollar foreign exchange reserves Foreign exchange reserves (also called Forex reserves) in a strict sense are only the foreign currency deposits held by central banks and monetary authorities.  and a stable currency, China "has the most flexibility in the world to fend off the impact of the global financial crisis", Gong wrote in a research note.

Propping up the property market, which accounts for 10 percent of China's gross domestic product, was crucial, analysts agreed.

"The direction of the residential property market will determine the direction of the Chinese economy over the next 18 months," Credit Suisse The Credit Suisse Group (SWX:CSGN, NYSE: CS) is a financial services company, headquartered in Zürich, Switzerland. It is the second-largest Swiss bank, behind UBS AG.  analyst Dong Tao wrote in a note.

"The new measures reflect the rising anxiety about growth risks," Dong said.

Those measures include lifting the stamp tax stamp tax, method of collecting duties on certain transactions by means of a validating stamp attached to the taxable instrument, which may be a judicial act, a commercial document, a transfer of property, or law proceedings.  on property purchases and value-added tax value-added tax (VAT), levy imposed on business at all levels of the manufacture and production of a good or service and based on the increase in price, or value, provided by each level.  of land on property sales as of November, the finance ministry said.

The People's Bank of China The People's Bank of China (PBC or PBOC) (Simplified Chinese: 中国人民银行; Traditional Chinese:  said minimum deposits and mortgage rates for first-time home buyers would be also slashed starting next week.

The "unambiguous all-out support from both central and local level" governments was surprising in "both timing and magnitude", Nicole Wong, a Hong Kong-based property analyst with CLSA CLSA Canon Law Society of America
CLSA California Land Surveyors Association
CLSA Contact Lens Society of America
CLSA Credit Lyonnaise Securities
CLSA Canadian Laboratory Suppliers Association
CLSA Cornell Law Student Association
 Research, said.

This week's economic data provided the most powerful indication yet that even China's so-far invincible economy was not insulated in·su·late  
tr.v. in·su·lat·ed, in·su·lat·ing, in·su·lates
1. To cause to be in a detached or isolated position. See Synonyms at isolate.

2.
 from the global downturn, especially as fears of recession grow in the United States United States, officially United States of America, republic (2005 est. pop. 295,734,000), 3,539,227 sq mi (9,166,598 sq km), North America. The United States is the world's third largest country in population and the fourth largest country in area.  and Europe -- key markets for Chinese manufactured goods manufactured goods nplmanufacturas fpl; bienes mpl manufacturados

manufactured goods nplproduits manufacturés 
.

Since the figures were released, China has wasted no time in responding to protect housing and exports, key components of its economy that appeared vulnerable.

The property policy decision was announced a day after Beijing said it would increase export tariff rebates on more than 3,000 items, or a quarter of taxable goods, to shore up its exports.

China had already taken other stimulus steps, including cutting its benchmark one-year lending rate by 27 basis points to 6.93 percent two weeks ago.

Real estate prices in 70 major Chinese cities fell 0.1 percent in August from July, the first month-on-month price decline since China began releasing the data in July 2005.

Housing prices have more than doubled in the decade since China replaced its government housing allocation system with the market system, Standard Chartered said in a research note.

They began falling for the first time since 1998 during the first quarter, the bank said, citing official data.
Copyright 2008 AFP Asian Edition
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
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Author:AFP
Publication:AFP Asian Edition
Date:Oct 23, 2008
Words:467
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