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Californians' appetite for bonds will serve new governor well.


There's good news for California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger Arnold Alois Schwarzenegger (German pronunciation (IPA): [ˈaɐ̯nɔlt ˈaloɪ̯s ˈʃvaɐ̯ʦənˌʔɛɡɐ] : More municipal bond investors live in his state than in any other in the nation.

Of the 4,536,236 taxpayers who said they received tax-exempt interest Tax-Exempt Interest

Interest income that is exempt from federal income tax. Although it is not directly taxed, this income may still be required to determine other tax calculations such as social security benefits.
 in 2001 (that's right, only 4.5 million people), 554,649 were from California, according to the latest edition of the Internal Revenue Service's Statistics of Income Bulletin. And they said they got $8.4 billion in tax-exempt interest.

New Yorkers came in second place, with 419,012 claiming $7 billion, followed by Florida, with 307,050 claiming $6 billion. No other states came close. A total of $58 billion in tax-exempt interest was paid out.

Schwarzenegger will need every last one of those investors as he asks voters to approve $15 billion in bonds this March to help cure the state's budget deficit. Two-thirds of the legislature must approve the measure by Dec. 5 in order to place the bond issue on the March ballot.

That 554,649 figure probably increased in 2002, because, while stocks went down in 2001, pundits only talked of "capitulation CAPITULATION, war. The treaty which determines the conditions under which a fortified place is abandoned to the commanding officer of the army which besieges it.
     2.
"--the point at which investors throw in the towel--during the summer of 2002. Wall Street reported record demand from individuals for municipal bonds, the investment of choice for those interested in preservation of capital Preservation of Capital

An investment strategy whose primary goal is to prevent the loss of an investment's total value.

Notes:
For investors using the capital preservation strategy to achieve their goal, they must ensure their portfolio is producing a return that is at
, that summer. California's $15 billion municipal bond issue would be the biggest one ever. The proceeds would be used to repay $14 billion in short-term debt Short-term debt

Debt obligations, recorded as current liabilities, requiring payment within the year.
 coming due in June, and make a dent in the $14 billion deficit the state faces this year.

That $15 billion borrowing sounds almost unseemly when you consider that the entire market--the 15,000 or so municipal issuers that sell bonds every year--has sold an average of $241 billion annually over the last decade.

The state can afford it. California is the world's sixth--largest economy, in terms of gross domestic product, after the U.S., Japan, Germany, the United Kingdom and France. In terms of net, tax-supported debt per capita [Latin, By the heads or polls.] A term used in the Descent and Distribution of the estate of one who dies without a will. It means to share and share alike according to the number of individuals. , California ranks 19th among all the states, well behind Connecticut, Massachusetts and Hawaii, which are the top three, according to Moody's Investors Service's latest State Debt Medians survey. The Golden State has sold more bonds since Moody's did its original calculations, but it probably didn't move up in the rankings very much. For all 50 states, median net tax-supported debt as a percentage of personal income is 2.2 percent. California's is 2.5 percent; New York's is 5.9 percent.

"They can handle the debt, there's no question of that," said David Hitchcock, an analyst at Standard & Poor's in New York New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
, which rates California BBB BBB

A medium grade assigned to a debt obligation by a rating agency to indicate an adequate ability to pay interest and repay principal. However, adverse developments are more likely to impair this ability than would be the case for bonds rated A and above.
. "The question is the trend. You want to see them wean wean (wen) to discontinue breast feeding and substitute other feeding habits.

wean
v.
1. To deprive permanently of breast milk and begin to nourish with other food.

2.
 themselves away from the addiction of borrowing to cover operating deficits, and whittle down Verb 1. whittle down - cut away in small pieces
wear away, whittle away

damage - inflict damage upon; "The snow damaged the roof"; "She damaged the car when she hit the tree"
 that structural deficit."

That California is going to sell lots and lots of bonds isn't news. When the state Assembly finally passed what it called a budget back in July, it included $10.7 billion in bonds to help cover the state's deficit, $2.2 billion in pension obligation bonds and $1.5 billion in bonds backed by the state's share of the tobacco settlement.

The budget also included a built-in deficit for the next fiscal year of $8 billion, which climbed to $10 billion, and then to $14 billion after the new governor made good on his campaign promise to roll back the car registration tax increase, according to Legislative analyst Elizabeth Hill.

Both the deficit and pension bonds are being challenged in court. Schwarzenegger wants to bring his case for deficit bonds right to the people. The people, it will be remembered, gave him a mandate before.

In his inauguration address, the new governor said, "I will not rest until our fiscal house is in order." There will be a lot of sleepless nights in Sacramento.
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Title Annotation:Up Front; to cure the states budget deficit
Comment:Californians' appetite for bonds will serve new governor well.(Up Front)(to cure the states budget deficit)
Author:Mysak, Joe
Publication:Los Angeles Business Journal
Geographic Code:1U9CA
Date:Nov 24, 2003
Words:640
Previous Article:March ballot will be first test for Schwarzenegger's agenda.(Politics)
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