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CEO Economic Confidence Remains Positive, but Pace Slows; Major Concern is Staffing, Not Energy or Immigration.


SAN DIEGO San Diego (săn dēā`gō), city (1990 pop. 1,110,549), seat of San Diego co., S Calif., on San Diego Bay; inc. 1850. San Diego includes the unincorporated communities of La Jolla and Spring Valley. Coronado is across the bay.  -- Chief executives of small and mid-sized businesses say the overall U.S. economy continues to improve, but its torrid pace of growth will slow during the second half of 2006, according to according to
prep.
1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians.

2. In keeping with: according to instructions.

3.
 the Vistage quarterly CEO (1) (Chief Executive Officer) The highest individual in command of an organization. Typically the president of the company, the CEO reports to the Chairman of the Board.  survey, the Vistage Confidence Index. With this positive economic outlook, CEOs still find hiring and retaining good people a more immediate concern than addressing rising energy costs or proposed immigration reform Immigration reform is the common term used in political discussions regarding changes to immigration policy. In a certain sense, reform can be general enough to include promoted, expanded, or open immigration, but in reality discussions of reform often deal with the aspect of .

The Vistage Confidence Index fell to 97.8 in Q2, 2006, down nearly seven points from the vigorous 104.2 established in Q1. More than 1,800 CEO members of Vistage International, the world's largest CEO membership organization, responded to the Q2 survey.

"Firms anticipate the economy is slowing from its robust pace, but it will continue to remain positive," said Richard Curtin, Ph.D., a consultant for the Vistage Confidence Index and director of consumer surveys at the University of Michigan (body, education) University of Michigan - A large cosmopolitan university in the Midwest USA. Over 50000 students are enrolled at the University of Michigan's three campuses. The students come from 50 states and over 100 foreign countries. . "Overall, firms point to a continued economic expansion amid tight labor markets labor market A place where labor is exchanged for wages; an LM is defined by geography, education and technical expertise, occupation, licensure or certification requirements, and job experience  and heightened cost pressures."

"A nearly equal number of firms expect conditions to improve as to worsen wors·en  
tr. & intr.v. wors·ened, wors·en·ing, wors·ens
To make or become worse.


worsen
Verb

to make or become worse

worsening adjn
 in the next 12 months, in sharp contrast to a year ago when three times as many firms expected a faster, rather than a slower rate of economic growth," said Dan Barnett, Chief Operating Officer Chief Operating Officer (COO)

The officer of a firm responsible for day-to-day management, usually the president or an executive vice-president.
 of Vistage International.

Staffing Remains #1 Concern for CEOs

The hiring and retaining of qualified, trained employees continues to be the most pressing concern for American CEOs. Although nearly six out of ten CEOs expect to hire additional employees in the next twelve months, on pace with the Index results from last year, a tighter labor market is causing CEOs to worry more about staffing than rising energy and capital costs.

Growth, Revenue and Profits

Although firms are less confident about the economy than one year ago, they remain positive about the growth of their business and 78 percent expect revenues to grow. According to Barnett, "Business growth is driven by more than the strength of the U.S. economy. Seventy percent of firms say they are conducting business outside the U.S., one reason why companies see healthy growth ahead."

Energy

Rising energy prices are not the most significant issue among CEO's, with only nine percent listing it as such. Thirty percent of businesses are absorbing the growing energy costs and another 27 percent are increasing prices to customers as a result of increased energy costs.

Avian Flu avian flu: see influenza.  Fears

Concerns about an avian flu pandemic pandemic /pan·dem·ic/ (pan-dem´ik)
1. a widespread epidemic of a disease.

2. widely epidemic.


pan·dem·ic
adj.
Epidemic over a wide geographic area.

n.
 continue to be a concern for CEOs, but the business implications have yet to affect economic confidence. Seventy-three percent of CEOs are taking no action in response to the growing international concern.

Pending Legislation on Immigration immigration, entrance of a person (an alien) into a new country for the purpose of establishing permanent residence. Motives for immigration, like those for migration generally, are often economic, although religious or political factors may be very important.  Not an Issue

Despite the new emphasis on immigration reform in Congress, only eight percent of CEOs expected the reforms to have a major impact on their business.
Vistage Confidence Index Components
----------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Q1 2005  Q2 2005  Q3 2005  Q4 2005  Q1 2006  Q2 2006
----------------- -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------
Current Economic
 Conditions         158      136      124      115      134      125
----------------- -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------
Expected Economic
 Conditions         144      126       91      108      122      101
----------------- -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------
Expected Change
 in Employment      158      153      154      156      159      152
----------------- -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------
Planned Fixed
 Investment         145      142      139      139      144      141
----------------- -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------
Expected Revenue
 Growth             179      173      172      177      178      171
----------------- -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------
Expected Profit
 Growth             161      158      154      159      160      152
----------------------------------------------------------------------


About the Vistage Confidence Index

U.S. small and mid-sized businesses represent the most vital component of the nation's economy. This sector creates 75 percent of all new jobs and generates 50 percent of all national revenue. The opinions of these business leaders provide a clear snapshot (1) A saved copy of memory including the contents of all memory bytes, hardware registers and status indicators. It is periodically taken in order to restore the system in the event of failure.

(2) A saved copy of a file before it is updated.
 of current economic, market, and industry trends and demonstrate their plans for growth over the next 12 months. These insights provide a leading indicator Leading Indicator

A measurable economic factor that changes before the economy starts to follow a particular pattern or trend. Leading indicators are used to predict changes in the economy, but are not always accurate.
 for employment, capital expenditure, sales and revenue trends.

The Q2 2006 Vistage Confidence Index is a compilation of responses from 1,836 CEOs of small- to mid-sized companies, surveyed May 15-24, with a margin of error of 1.9 percentage points. The Vistage Confidence Index is the only comprehensive report of their opinions and projections.

About Vistage International

Vistage International and its affiliates have more than 12,000 members in 15 countries representing the world's largest CEO membership organization based on revenue. Vistage members generate nearly $300 billion in annual revenue and have more than 2.1 million employees around the world. Vistage is dedicated to increasing the effectiveness and enhancing the lives of chief executives. Member companies are better run and grow their revenues, on average, at twice the percentage growth rate after joining Vistage.

Vistage affiliates include TEC, The Executive Committee and The Executive Connection in the following areas: Florida, Michigan, Wisconsin, Argentina, Australia, Canada, Brazil, Chile, Germany, Mexico, Malaysia, New Zealand New Zealand (zē`lənd), island country (2005 est. pop. 4,035,000), 104,454 sq mi (270,534 sq km), in the S Pacific Ocean, over 1,000 mi (1,600 km) SE of Australia. The capital is Wellington; the largest city and leading port is Auckland. , Singapore and South Africa South Africa, Afrikaans Suid-Afrika, officially Republic of South Africa, republic (2005 est. pop. 44,344,000), 471,442 sq mi (1,221,037 sq km), S Africa. .
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Publication:Business Wire
Date:May 31, 2006
Words:785
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