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Bond measure textbook case.


No razzle-dazzle.

Bipartisan support.

Personal appearances at rallies.

An advertising campaign you couldn't get away from.

That's how Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger Arnold Alois Schwarzenegger (German pronunciation (IPA): [ˈaɐ̯nɔlt ˈaloɪ̯s ˈʃvaɐ̯ʦənˌʔɛɡɐ]  persuaded California voters to approve measures to cap spending and sell $15 billion in bonds to refinance Refinance

1. When a business or person revises their payment schedule for repaying debt.

2. Replacing an older loan with a new loan offering better terms.

Notes:
When a business refinances they typically extend the maturity date.
 the state's past budget deficits.

Politicians who want to learn how to get voters to approve bond issues will have to study how Arnold did it. This bond election campaign, which cost $10 million, sets the standard. The governor's propositions didn't just pass. They did it by 2-to-1 margins, impressive in anyone's book, and especially for a subject not many people get excited about. People care about public finance--how things get paid for--a little, but municipal bonds, not at all.

"The governor's ability to turn the sentiment around on this issue is nothing short of remarkable," says Richard P. Larkin of J.B. Hanauer in Parsippany, N.J. "That kind of referendum approval is extraordinary for any type of bond authorization, let alone the largest deficit financing deficit financing

In government, the practice of spending more money than is received as revenue, the difference being made up by borrowing or minting new funds. The term usually refers to a conscious attempt to stimulate the economy by lowering tax rates or increasing
 to fund state consumption overspending in history."

Larkin has been watching municipal bond elections and analyzing municipal credit for three decades, including 21 years at Standard & Poor's and five at Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings

An international rating agency for financial institutions, insurance companies, and corporate, sovereign, and municipal debt. Fitch Ratings has headquarters in New York and London and is wholly owned by FIMALAC of Paris.
.

The measure's passage gives the state new flexibility. Schwarzenegger should "use this bond issue to begin impressing fiscal management on a state that runs out of control every time there is a slowdown," says Larkin.

After the bonds are paid off, he adds, Schwarzenegger should propose that the state use money earmarked for debt service to build up reserves, as well as set up a pay-as-you-go capital-spending program.

Just a few weeks ago, nobody thought that the next word attached to the state's battered bat·ter 1  
v. bat·tered, bat·ter·ing, bat·ters

v.tr.
1. To hit heavily and repeatedly with violent blows.

2. To subject to repeated beatings or physical abuse.

3.
 general obligation bond rating might be "upgrade" instead of "downgrade Downgrade

A negative change in the rating of a security.

Notes:
For example, an analyst may downgrade a stock from strong buy to buy, or a bond rating agency may downgrade a bond from AAA to AA.
." Yet that's precisely what David Hitchcock, an analyst at Standard & Poor's, held out the day after the bond referendum.

"Standard & Poor's GO debt rating on California will improve to the extent the state uses the time provided by the new bond proceeds to reduce its structural deficit," said Hitchcock. S&P rates California BBB BBB

A medium grade assigned to a debt obligation by a rating agency to indicate an adequate ability to pay interest and repay principal. However, adverse developments are more likely to impair this ability than would be the case for bonds rated A and above.
, the lowest of any state.

Students of the municipal market know that most people tend to vote against bond issues, especially big bond issues, unless they are championed very aggressively. The ads, when they finally started to run, weren't exactly inspiring. They were as plain as oatmeal. There wasn't any razzle-dazzle to them, beyond Schwarzenegger's own considerable star-power and seemingly seem·ing  
adj.
Apparent; ostensible.

n.
Outward appearance; semblance.



seeming·ly adv.
 inexhaustible sincerity. "Join us," said Schwarzenegger and Controller Steve Westly Steven Paul Westly (born August 27, 1957, in Arcadia, California) is an American businessman and politician. He was the State Controller of California from 2003 to 2007 and was one of the top two candidates in the Democratic primary for Governor of California in the 2006 election. , a Democrat, in one of the TV ads. "So that we never get into this mess again."

What the ads may have lacked in excitement, they made up in number. They were inescapable.

Yet even all of this--Arnold, the bipartisan nature of the campaign, the lack of any kind of serious opposition, the 'round-the-clock advertising bombardment in the final weeks--may have not saved the day.

Let us conclude with a bit of Hollywood. Perhaps, just perhaps, what swung voters behind the bonds was, to borrow from the title of a 1958 Orson Welles movie, "A Touch of Evil."

Californians, enough of them, were afraid of the consequences of not approving the bonds. "A failure is no option here," Schwarzenegger said on "Meet the Press" in February. The alternative to the bond issue was just too horrible to contemplate: grass growing in the streets.

Graduate students looking for Looking for

In the context of general equities, this describing a buy interest in which a dealer is asked to offer stock, often involving a capital commitment. Antithesis of in touch with.
 a thesis topic need look no further than the California bond election of 2004.

Joe Mysak is a columnist with Bloomberg News. Mark Lacter writes about the travails of Michael Eisner Michael Dammann Eisner (born March 7, 1942) was CEO of The Walt Disney Company from September 22, 1984 to September 30, 2005. Early life
Michael Eisner was born to a wealthy family in Mt. Kisco, New York, and raised on Park Avenue in Manhattan.
 this week, beginning on page 1.
COPYRIGHT 2004 CBJ, L.P.
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2004, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Article Details
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Title Annotation:Commentary; Arnold Schwarzenegger election
Author:Mysak, Joe
Publication:Los Angeles Business Journal
Geographic Code:1U9CA
Date:Mar 8, 2004
Words:599
Previous Article:State bond investors place bet on governor's budget moves.
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