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Better dull than dismal.


THE collective sigh of relief you're hearing these days comes from those millions of American stockholders who are at last able to open their broker statements each month without thoughts of kicking in their wide-screen TVs or gunning their SUVs into the Pacific.

The bear market is dead. Last year the long-beleaguered Nasdaq jumped 50 percent, and at one point last week the Dow had reached the 10,700 level before slipping back on worrisome news about a possible interest rate hike down the road. Whatever the day-to-day gyrations, this is a presidential election year and the smart money is still on a solid, steady 2004--light years from 24 or 36 months ago when there seemed no end to the bad news.

So why are so many investors still hiding behind rocks? Why aren't you seeing more analysts grandstanding on CNBC CNBC Center for the Neural Basis of Cognition (artificial intelligence)
CNBC Consumer News and Business Channel
CNBC Congress of National Black Churches, Inc.
 or more book peddlers predicting a 100,000 Dow within two years?

Why has Wall Street's turnaround gotten such scant attention?

You know why. Because we all got burned so fast and so furiously that recuperation recuperation /re·cu·per·a·tion/ (-koo?per-a´shun) recovery of health and strength.
recuperation,
n the process of recovering health, strength, and mental and emotional vigor.
 is more appropriate than celebration. Because the value of our portfolios is well below where they were in March 2000 (not counting the lost investment returns over the past four years). Because many of us steadfastly held onto telecom and tech stocks rather than dump them at a huge loss--and that while those issues are edging upward, they're still worlds away from their former glories.

And since so much of investing is a head game, I might as well suggest another explanation for the current stupor stupor /stu·por/ (stoo´per) [L.]
1. a lowered level of consciousness.

2. in psychiatry, a disorder marked by reduced responsiveness.stu´porous


stu·por
n.
: Wall Street just isn't much fun.

The Martha Stewart <noinclude></noinclude>

Martha Stewart (born Martha Helen Kostyra on August 3, 1941) is an American business magnate, author, editor and homemaking advocate. She is also a former stockbroker and fashion model.
 trial is a sad spectacle on so many fronts, but mostly because it reprises REPRISES. The deductions and payments out of lands, annuities, and the like, are called reprises, because they are taken back; when we speak of the clear yearly value of an estate, we say it is worth so much a year ultra reprises, besides all reprises.
     2.
 a sordid time when lots of otherwise smart, sensible people did lots of dumb things and in the process corrupted themselves in the name of a few more bucks. I'm not just talking about the folks in handcuffs hand·cuff  
n.
A restraining device consisting of a pair of strong, connected hoops that can be tightened and locked about the wrists and used on one or both arms of a prisoner in custody; a manacle. Often used in the plural.

tr.v.
. I'm talking I'm Talking was a 1980s Australian funk-pop rock band, noted for launching vocalist Kate Ceberano. History
After the break-up of the Melbourne-based experimental funk band Essendon Airport in 1983, members Robert Goodge (guitar), Ian Cox (saxophone) and Barbara Hogarth
 about you and me.

Yes, it's true we were only following the advice of experts by holding onto stocks that were trading at nonsensical levels--and that some of those experts were later discovered to be crooks. But by 1999 and early 2000, there were plenty of warning signs. Even after the Nasdaq began falling that year, you could have gotten out relatively unscathed. Instead, most of us became convinced that bailing out on dips was a sucker's bet and that somehow, someway some·way   also some·ways
adv.
In some way or another; somehow.


someway
Adverb

in some unspecified manner

Adv. 1.
, the numbers would turn around. And then we watched our money burn.

So now it's a bull world once again, except it just doesn't feel the same. For one thing, there's really no one to trust anymore--not CEOs nor stock analysts nor those screamers on cable TV. The eminence of Wall Street schmoozing, Louis Rukeyser, kept assuring us during the downdraft down·draft  
n.
1. A strong downward current of air.

2. A downward trend; downturn: The business hit a downdraft.
 that things weren't as bad as they seemed. So how can you possibly watch him these days and take him seriously?

And even should our trust be regained, there's no telling whether it will reap any rewards. This is a far more complicated world than in the late 1990s (the most robust economic time we might see in our lifetimes), and companies are mired mire  
n.
1. An area of wet, soggy, muddy ground; a bog.

2. Deep slimy soil or mud.

3. A disadvantageous or difficult condition or situation: the mire of poverty.

v.
 in a kind of post-scandal tentativeness, where pressures from shareholders, regulators, customers and competitors make them look a bit uninspired and dull.

Dull is no way to make big money, to be sure. And yet, as you ready to open January's broker statements, maybe it's not the worst place to be either.

Mark Lacter is editor of the Business Journal.
COPYRIGHT 2004 CBJ, L.P.
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2004, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Title Annotation:Comment
Author:Lacter, Mark
Publication:Los Angeles Business Journal
Article Type:Editorial
Date:Feb 2, 2004
Words:593
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