BRAVE NEW (MEDICAL) WORLD\Technology expected to revolutionize health care.Byline: Lini S. Kadaba Knight-Ridder Tribune News Wire While some will predict this year's crazy ins and outs ins and outs pl.n. 1. The intricate details of a situation, decision, or process. 2. The windings of a road or path. or who's lusting after whom on the star front, another type of crystal-ball gazer will speculate on trends in medicine. These futurists couldn't care less about Di and Charles or Clinton's chance at re-election or the hot new color. They focus instead on the year 2000 and beyond. By assessing innovations that are near, these researchers and consultants try to forecast far-off trends. Some samples: The information age will pale next to the nano age, where tiny, tiny machines will revolutionize fields such as health care, says futurist Arthur B. Shostak, professor of sociology at Drexel University Drexel University, at Philadelphia, Pa.; coeducational; founded 1891 by Anthony J. Drexel, opened 1892, chartered 1894 as Drexel Institute of Art, Science, and Industry. It was renamed Drexel Institute of Technology in 1936 and gained university status in 1970. . Everything will be custom-tailored, from color to our bodies and moods to prosthetic pros·thet·ic adj. 1. Serving as or relating to a prosthesis. 2. Of or relating to prosthetics. prosthetic serving as a substitute; pertaining to prostheses or to prosthetics. body parts and drugs. Here's a look at some of the intriguing, even fanciful, forecasts for the fields of health and science. Genetic engineering. As the Human Genome The human genome is the genome of Homo sapiens, which is composed of 24 distinct pairs of chromosomes (22 autosomal + X + Y) with a total of approximately 3 billion DNA base pairs containing an estimated 20,000–25,000 genes. Project continues to unravel the genetic code that determines each person's individual makeup - everything from eye color to diseases, gene therapies to fix what's wrong will become more commonplace. (The project's goal is to map all 23 pairs of chromosomes by 2005.) "It sort of turns the whole emphasis of health care on its head. Instead of trying to fix things once they occur, we can use this custom technology to fix things before they occur," said Andy Hines, staff futurist for the consulting group Coates & Jarrett in Washington, D.C. But as we become more facile (language) Facile - A concurrent extension of ML from ECRC. http://ecrc.de/facile/facile_home.html. ["Facile: A Symmetric Integration of Concurrent and Functional Programming", A. Giacalone et al, Intl J Parallel Prog 18(2):121-160, Apr 1989]. at turning genetic switches off and on, even more ethical questions surely will arise. "I think we'll be able to re-engineer humans," said Clem Bezold Clem Bezold is one of the founders of the Institute for Alternative Futures as well as its for-profit subsidiary Alternative Futures Associates, and is the current Chairman of the Board. , executive director of the Institute for Alternative Futures Institute for Alternative Futures (IAF) is a non-profit futures research and education organization. Its mission states: "IAF leads in the discovery and creation of preferred futures". . "The more we talk about it as a society, (the more) it will make abortion look tame." Robots. More and more, these gizmos will take care of tasks mundane, messy and dangerous. Already, Robodoc, a device under development by Integrated Surgical Systems, can assist in hip replacement surgery. The surgeon uses a computer workstation to view 3-D images of the patient's femur femur (fē`mər): see leg. , select an appropriate prosthesis prosthesis (prŏs`thĭsĭs): see artificial limb. prosthesis Artificial substitute for a missing part of the body, usually an arm or leg. and position the image of the prosthesis in the femur. This data is saved and read by the robot's control computer. Then Robodoc executes the plan under supervision of a surgeon. The nano age. Nanomedicine will use very small mechanisms to target problem spots in our bodies. For example, a tiny bulldozer of sorts would clear out cholesterol, like so much rubble, from arteries, making angioplasty obsolete. "It is the hottest field in medical frontiers," Drexel's Shostak said. "Nano is the third great revolution - agriculture, industrial and nano." "Nano" is a word from the Greek that means dwarf. Nanotechnology holds the possibility of allowing us to assemble atoms to create whatever we want. Researchers envision an assembler Software that translates assembly language into machine language. Contrast with compiler, which is used to translate a high-level language, such as COBOL or C, into assembly language first and then into machine language. - a very small robotic device - that will be able to push atoms into place, making foods with better tastes, plastics with lighter weight and increased strength, and computer chips a million times faster than today's. It could also lead to machines able to repair specific human cells, researchers say. Spare body parts. The use of synthetic parts and devices will boom. Hines said one estimate predicts that, by 2020, a person older than 50 "without" a synthetic part or implant will be the exception. "We can see people becoming more and more synthetic, moving toward a cyborg, where there's some intelligence inside," he said. These replacement parts could also make use of nanotechnology. CAPTION(S): PHOTO Photo Robots left the "Twilight Zone twilight zone - [IRC] Notionally, the area of cyberspace where IRC operators live. An op is said to have a "connection to the twilight zone". " long ago - there's even one under development called Robodoc that will help perform hip-replacement operations - under a real doctor's supervision, of course. |
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