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AvalonBay Communities Adjusts 2006 EPS Outlook, Affirms 2006 FFO Outlook and Provides Initial 2007 Financial Outlook.


ALEXANDRIA, Va. -- AvalonBay Communities AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (NYSE: AVB) is an Alexandria, Virginia-based public real estate investment trust. The company specializes in acquiring, developing, redeveloping and managing high-quality apartment communities in high barrier-to-entry markets, such as the Northeast, , Inc. (NYSE NYSE

See: New York Stock Exchange
: AVB AVB Allgemeine Versicherungsbedingungen
AVB Armin Van Buuren (musician)
AVB Atrioventricular Block
AVB Association Vaincre le Bègaiement
AVB Acappella Vocal Band (men's Christian a cappella group) 
) announced today that it has adjusted its 2006 financial outlook and has announced its initial 2007 financial outlook. In the sections that follow, the Company provides information that slightly raises its outlook for full year 2006 EPS (Encapsulated PostScript) A PostScript file format used to transfer a graphic image between applications and platforms. EPS files contain PostScript code as well as an optional preview image in TIFF, WMF, PICT or EPSI, the latter being an ASCII-only format. , retains and affirms its previous full year 2006 outlook for FFO FFO

See: Funds from operations
 per share and provides initial financial outlook for 2007.

All references to both Earnings per Share ("EPS") and Funds from Operations Funds From Operations (FFO)

Used by real estate and other investment trusts to define the cash flow from trust operations; earnings with depreciation and amortization added back.
 ("FFO") per share reflect fully diluted di·lute  
tr.v. di·lut·ed, di·lut·ing, di·lutes
1. To make thinner or less concentrated by adding a liquid such as water.

2. To lessen the force, strength, purity, or brilliance of, especially by admixture.
 amounts. FFO is the primary supplemental measure used by the REIT REIT

See: Real Estate Investment Trust


REIT

See real estate investment trust (REIT).
 industry to measure performance. All percentage changes are calculated based on the mid-point of the outlook ranges provided. Attachment A provides summary financial data related to this release and Attachment B provides definitions of capitalized Capitalized

Recorded in asset accounts and then depreciated or amortized, as is appropriate for expenditures for items with useful lives longer than one year.
 terms and, where applicable, reconciliations of non-GAAP measures to comparable GAAP GAAP

See: Generally Accepted Accounting Principles


GAAP

See generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP).
 measures.

2006 Financial Outlook

On October 25, 2006, the Company provided its full year 2006 financial outlook. At that time, the Company estimated full year 2006 EPS would be within a range of $3.49 to $3.53. The Company now expects the range for EPS will be within a range of $3.54 to $3.58. Full year 2006 FFO per share was estimated to be within a range of $4.36 to $4.40 and the Company affirms that range at this time.

The full year financial outlook above includes non-routine items of $0.18 per share, principally gains on the sale of land, that occurred during the first nine months of the year and that were previously identified in the October 25, 2006 earnings release.

2007 Financial Outlook

The following outlook includes a planned issuance of up to four million shares of common stock in conjunction with the Company's anticipated inclusion in the S&P 500 Index, which is expected to occur at the close of the market on Tuesday, January 9, 2007. No assurance can be provided that this offering will be completed as planned or can be completed under the terms anticipated in this financial outlook.

Earnings Expectations for 2007

The Company expects 2007 EPS within a range of $3.66 to $3.90 and 2007 FFO per share within a range of $4.68 to $4.92.

Assumptions and Estimates

The Company's 2007 financial outlook is based on a number of assumptions and estimates, which are provided on Attachment A of this release and discussed more fully in the sections that follow.

Overall Market Environment

Positive job growth, limited new rental supply and declining home purchase activity contributed to strong apartment fundamentals in 2006. Management expects these trends to continue in 2007 but at a more moderate pace. Third party economic forecasts estimate job growth of approximately 1% during 2007.

Management expects low home affordability will persist in Verb 1. persist in - do something repeatedly and showing no intention to stop; "We continued our research into the cause of the illness"; "The landlord persists in asking us to move"
continue
 many of its markets in 2007, despite high levels of unsold for-sale home inventory. The percentage of net new rental supply relative to current inventory is expected to increase in the Company's markets from 2006 levels but remain below the national average.

Property Operations

The Company expects growth in Established Communities revenue of 5.0% to 6.5%. The Company amortizes concessions granted over the term of the lease, resulting in a difference between revenue growth reported in accordance Accordance is Bible Study Software for Macintosh developed by OakTree Software, Inc.[]

As well as a standalone program, it is the base software packaged by Zondervan in their Bible Study suites for Macintosh.
 with GAAP and revenue growth reported with concessions on a cash basis.

The Company expects growth in Established Communities operating expenses Operating expenses

The amount paid for asset maintenance or the cost of doing business, excluding depreciation. Earnings are distributed after operating expenses are deducted.
 of 3.5% to 5.0%, primarily attributable to property taxes, insurance, payroll and utilities.

The Company expects growth in Established Communities NOI NOI Net Operating Income
NOI Notice of Intent
NOI Nation of Islam
NOI Notice of Inquiry
NOI Neuro Orthopaedic Institute
NOI New Organizing Institute
NOI Notice of Interest
NOI No Offense Intended
NOI National Olympiad in Informatics
 within a range of 5.5% to 7.5%.

Development

The following table summarizes the Company's expectations for 2007 Development Starts and Cash Disbursements for Development. Cash Disbursements reflect disbursements planned for both 2007 starts and development under construction as of year-end 2006:
Development Activity            <


                                <               To


                                <               ($


Development starts              <               $1  to
$1,300

Cash disbursed for development  <               $8  to
$1,000


The Company expects to purchase land held for future development totaling $100 million. Development of these land parcels is not expected to begin during 2007.

The Company expects to finance planned Development Starts and land purchases with a combination of capital sources, which could include the issuance of new equity, new debt, disposition proceeds, and retained cash.

Dispositions

The Company expects reduced disposition levels in 2007 as compared to 2006. Planned sales total between $150 million to $200 million. Based on the Company's expectations for disposition cap rates and its cost of debt, FFO per share dilution from planned asset sales in 2007 is not expected to be material.

Acquisitions

The Company expects 2007 acquisition activity, which will be conducted principally through the AvalonBay Value Added Value Added

The enhancement a company gives its product or service before offering the product to customers.

Notes:
This can either increase the products price or value.
 Fund, L.P. (the "Fund"), to total approximately $300 million to $350 million. This will be funded through a combination of debt incurred by the Fund and equity capital contributions by investors in the Fund. The Company holds an equity interest of approximately 15% in the Fund. At year-end 2006, the Fund had approximately $450 million of assets under management Assets Under Management (AUM) is a term used by financial services companies in the mutual fund and money management or investment management business to gauge how much money they are managing.  and had another asset with a gross purchase price of approximately $80 million under contract, which is expected to close in early 2007.

Capital Markets

The Company expects that in addition to the issuance of common stock in connection with the Company's inclusion in the S&P 500 Index, it may issue up to $500 million of unsecured debt Unsecured debt

Debt that does not identify specific assets that the debtholder is entitled to in case of default.
 during 2007. An additional $100 million of tax-exempt bond Tax-exempt bond

A bond usually issued by municipal, county, or state governments whose interest payments are not subject to federal and, in some cases, state and local income tax.


tax-exempt bond

See municipal bond.
 financing may be issued for certain development activity. The Company also has $260 million of unsecured debt maturing in 2007 that will be repaid through either the newly issued unsecured debt discussed above or the Company's credit facility.

Conference Call Information

2007 Financial Outlook Conference Call

Management will host a conference call on Monday, January 8, 2007 at 11:00 AM EST EST electroshock therapy.

EST
abbr.
electroshock therapy
. The conference call will include prepared remarks and a question and answer session regarding the Company's outlook and related matters. To participate on the call, dial 1-800-633-8638 domestically and 1-609-450-1027 internationally, and use the pass code: 7575.

Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2006 Earnings

The Company will release its fourth quarter and full year 2006 earnings on January 31, 2007 after the market closes. The Company will hold a conference call on February 1, 2007 at 1:00 PM EST to review and answer questions about 2006 results, 2007 projections and other matters. To participate on the call, dial 1-877-510-2397 domestically and 1-706-634-5877 internationally.

Other Matters

Forward-Looking Statements forward-looking statement

A projected financial statement based on management expectations. A forward-looking statement involves risks with regard to the accuracy of assumptions underlying the projections.
 

This release, including its Attachments, contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended a·mend  
v. a·mend·ed, a·mend·ing, a·mends

v.tr.
1. To change for the better; improve: amended the earlier proposal so as to make it more comprehensive.

2.
, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. You can identify these forward-looking statements by the Company's use of words such as "expects," "plans," "estimates," "projects," "intends," "believes," "outlook" and similar expressions that do not relate to historical matters. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements as a result of risks and uncertainties, which include the following: changes in local employment conditions, demand for apartment homes, supply of competitive housing products, and other economic conditions may result in lower than expected occupancy and/or rental rates and adversely affect the profitability of our communities; increases in costs of materials, labor or other expenses may result in communities that we develop or redevelop re·de·vel·op  
v. re·de·vel·oped, re·de·vel·op·ing, re·de·vel·ops

v.tr.
1. To develop (something) again.

2.
 failing to achieve expected profitability; delays in completing development, redevelopment and/or lease-up may result in increased financing and construction costs, and may delay and/or reduce the profitability of a community; debt and/or equity financing Equity Financing

The act of raising money for company activities by selling common or preferred stock to individual or institutional investors. In return for the money paid, shareholders receive ownership interests in the corporation.
 for development, redevelopment or acquisitions of communities may not be available on favorable fa·vor·a·ble  
adj.
1. Advantageous; helpful: favorable winds.

2. Encouraging; propitious: a favorable diagnosis.

3.
 terms; we may be unable to obtain, or experience delays in obtaining, necessary governmental permits and authorizations; or we may abandon development or redevelopment opportunities for which we have already incurred costs.

Additional discussions of risks and uncertainties appear in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K Form 10-K

A report required by the SEC from exchange-listed companies that provides for annual disclosure of certain financial information.


Form 10-K

See 10-K.
 for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2005 under the headings "Risk Factors" and under the heading "Management's Discussion and Analysis Management's discussion and analysis (MD&A)

A report from management to shareholders that accompanies the firm's financial statements in the annual report. It explains the period's financial results and enables management to discuss topics that may not be apparent in the financial
 of Financial Condition and Results of Operations - Forward-Looking Statements", as well as the Company's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q Form 10-Q

See 10-Q.
 for subsequent quarters under the heading "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations - Forward-Looking Statements."

The Company does not undertake a duty to update forward-looking statements, including its expected operating results for full year 2007. The Company may, in its discretion, provide information in future public announcements regarding its outlook that may be of interest to the investment community. The format and extent of future outlooks may be different from the format and extent of the information contained in this release.

About AvalonBay Communities

As of December 31, 2006, AvalonBay Communities, Inc., headquartered in Alexandria, Virginia Alexandria is an independent city in the Commonwealth of Virginia. As of the 2000 census, the city had a total population of 128,284. Located along the Western bank of the Potomac River, Alexandria is approximately 6 miles (9.6 kilometers) south of downtown Washington, DC. , owned or held an ownership interest in 167 apartment communities containing 48,294 apartment homes in ten states and the District of Columbia District of Columbia, federal district (2000 pop. 572,059, a 5.7% decrease in population since the 1990 census), 69 sq mi (179 sq km), on the east bank of the Potomac River, coextensive with the city of Washington, D.C. (the capital of the United States). , of which 17 communities were under construction and six communities are under reconstruction. AvalonBay is in the business of developing, redeveloping, acquiring, and managing apartment communities in high barrier-to-entry markets of the United States United States, officially United States of America, republic (2005 est. pop. 295,734,000), 3,539,227 sq mi (9,166,598 sq km), North America. The United States is the world's third largest country in population and the fourth largest country in area. . More information on AvalonBay may be found on AvalonBay's Web site at http://www.avalonbay.com.

Copyright [c] 2007 AvalonBay Communities, Inc. All Rights Reserved
[TABLE OMITTED]


Attachment B

This release, including its attachment, contains certain non-GAAP financial measures and other terms. The definition and calculation of these non-GAAP financial measures and other terms may differ from the definitions and methodologies used by other REITs and, accordingly, may not be comparable. The non-GAAP financial measures referred to below should not be considered an alternative to net income as an indication of our performance. In addition, these non-GAAP financial measures do not represent cash generated from operating activities in accordance with GAAP and therefore should not be considered as an alternative measure of liquidity or as indicative of cash available to fund cash needs.

FFO is determined based on a definition adopted by the Board of Governors of the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts ("NAREIT NAREIT National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts "). FFO is calculated by the Company as net income or loss computed in accordance with GAAP, adjusted for gains or losses on sales of previously depreciated Depreciated may refer to:
  • Depreciation, in finance, a reference to the fact that assets with finite lives lose value over time
  • Depreciated is often confused or used as a stand-in for "deprecated"; see deprecation for the use of depreciation in computer software
 operating communities, extraordinary gains or losses (as defined by GAAP), cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle and depreciation of real estate assets, including adjustments for unconsolidated partnerships and joint ventures. Management generally considers FFO to be an appropriate supplemental measure of operating performance because, by excluding gains or losses related to dispositions of previously depreciated operating communities and excluding real estate depreciation (which can vary among owners of identical assets in similar condition based on historical cost accounting and useful life estimates), FFO can help one compare the operating performance of a company's real estate between periods or as compared to different companies. A projection for full year 2006 FFO has been provided as all accounts have not yet been reconciled. A reconciliation of the range provided for projected FFO per share (diluted) for the full year 2006 to the range provided for projected EPS (diluted) is as follows:
[TABLE OMITTED]


A reconciliation of the range provided for projected FFO per share (diluted) for the full year 2007 to the range provided for projected EPS (diluted) is as follows:
[TABLE OMITTED]


NOI is defined by the Company as total property revenue less direct property operating expenses (including property taxes), and excludes corporate-level income (including management, development and other fees), corporate-level property management and other indirect operating expenses, investments and investment management, net interest expense, general and administrative expense, joint venture income, minority interest expense, depreciation expense, gain on sale of real estate assets and income from discontinued operations Discontinued operations

Divisions of a business that have been sold or written off and that no longer are maintained by the business.
. The Company considers NOI to be an appropriate supplemental measure to net income of operating performance of a community or communities because it helps both investors and management to understand the core operations of a community or communities prior to the allocation of corporate-level property management overhead or general and administrative costs administrative costs,
n.pl the overhead expenses incurred in the operation of a dental benefits program, excluding costs of dental services provided.
. This is more reflective Refers to light hitting an opaque surface such as a printed page or mirror and bouncing back. See reflective media and reflective LCD.  of the operating performance of a community, and allows for an easier comparison of the operating performance of single assets or groups of assets. In addition, because prospective buyers of real estate have different overhead structures, with varying marginal impact to overhead by acquiring real estate, NOI is considered by many in the real estate industry to be a useful measure for determining the value of a real estate asset or groups of assets.

Total Capital Cost includes all capitalized costs projected to be or actually incurred to develop the respective Development or Redevelopment Community, or Development Right, including land acquisition costs, construction costs, real estate taxes, capitalized interest Capitalized interest

Interest that is not immediately expensed, but rather is considered as an asset and is then amortized through the income statement over time. In the context of project financing, interest that is paid by additional borrowing.
 and loan fees, permits, professional fees, allocated development overhead and other regulatory fees, all as determined in accordance with GAAP. For Redevelopment Communities, Total Capital Cost excludes costs incurred prior to the start of redevelopment when indicated. With respect to communities where development or redevelopment was completed in a prior or the current period, Total Capital Cost reflects the actual cost incurred, plus any contingency estimate made by management. Total Capital Cost for communities identified as having joint venture ownership, either during construction or upon construction completion, represents the total projected joint venture contribution amount. For joint ventures not in construction, Total Capital Cost is equal to gross real estate cost.

Established Communities are identified by the Company as communities where a comparison of operating results from the prior year to the current year is meaningful, as these communities were owned and had Stabilized sta·bi·lize  
v. sta·bi·lized, sta·bi·liz·ing, sta·bi·liz·es

v.tr.
1. To make stable or steadfast.

2.
 Operations, as defined below, as of the beginning of the prior year. Therefore, for 2007, Established Communities are consolidated communities that have Stabilized Operations as of January 1, 2006 and are not conducting or planning to conduct substantial redevelopment activities within the current year. Established Communities do not include communities that are currently held for sale or planned for disposition during the current year.

Stabilized/Restabilized Operations is defined as the earlier of (i) attainment of 95% physical occupancy or (ii) the one-year anniversary of completion of development or redevelopment.

Development Starts and Development Completions represent the Total Capital Cost, projected through construction completion, for those communities that start or complete development in the indicated period.

Cash Disbursed for Development represents the portion of the Total Capital Cost Incurred during the indicated period with respect to all development communities, regardless of their start of completion date.
COPYRIGHT 2007 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2007, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Jan 8, 2007
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