As Towers Increase Power, CDMA-800 and PCS-1900 Take Lead.

SCOTTSDALE, Ariz.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Aug. 14, 2000

The total worldwide count of 800 MHz and 900 MHz cellular, 1800 MHz and 1900 MHz PCS, PDC base stations will grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 30.4% through 2004, according to Cahners In-Stat Group (www.instat.com).

The high-tech market research firm finds that, during this same period, CDMA-800 and PCS-1900 will lead the growth with 48.9% and 35.3% respectively with TDMA-1900 expected to come in at a very close third.

This year, In-Stat estimates that the number of base stations in the United States will be up 17.5% from last year, and the country will garner the majority of the Americas deployment. The number of base stations in Canada will also be up, however, according to Ray Jodoin, Principal Analyst for In-stat's Global Wireless Service, "This number is not expected to change in the near future, since most of the high population centers now have reasonable geographic footprints. Additional deployment may be possible in early 2002, if the incumbents are allowed to add Universal Mobile Telephone Service (UMTS) coverage." Over the next four years, the South Americas' share of the Americas market will rise dramatically from 21.8% to 50.2% and in Europe, where GSM/DCS-1800 tends to dominate, share of market will decrease by 10%. Here, In-Stat observes a significant year-to-year decline of analog, to the point of virtual non-existence after 2001 with DCS-1800 growing at a faster rate than GSM-900.

In-Stat has also found that:

-- In 2000, Japan will have 8.6% of the total worldwide base stations,
decreasing to 3.7% in 2004.

-- Russia remains one of the few geographic areas to enjoy significant analog
growth, peaking early in 2004 and then beginning a moderate decline as digital
technology begins to take over, representing an opportunity for the "recycling"
of analog infrastructure and handsets.

-- Dynamic growth in ROW is anticipated through 2004, and beyond,

in order to meet the anticipated surge in new subscribers in

emerging third-world nations. This growth will remain unabated

for the foreseeable future. China is expected to contribute

heavily to this growth.

The report, Towers, Towers, Everywhere: 2000 Worldwide Base Station Forecast (No.GW0012IN), includes forecasts for cellular, PCS, PHS, and PDC macro tower sites in the Americas, Europe, Japan and ROW. To purchase this report, or for more information please visit http://www.instat.com/catalog/cat-cw.htm#gw0012in or call Courtney McEuen at 480/609-4533; [e-mail]. The report price is $3495 USD.

Cahners In-Stat Group (http://www.instat.com/) covers the full spectrum of digital communications research from vendor to end-user, providing the analysis and perspective that allows technology vendors and service providers worldwide to make more informed business decisions.