Around the world at home: Globalt's Bill Roach has a new way to play international markets.He lives in landlocked landlocked adj. referring to a parcel of real property which has no access or egress (entry or exit) to a public street and cannot be reached except by crossing another's property. Atlanta, and doesn't necessarily believe that things go better with Coke. Globalt principal Bill Roach, however, is looking far beyond the seas when he says he thinks the soft drink company has locked onto an important source of. earnings growth: international trade. "Eighty percent of the world's goods and services In economics, economic output is divided into physical goods and intangible services. Consumption of goods and services is assumed to produce utility (unless the "good" is a "bad"). It is often used when referring to a Goods and Services Tax. are sold outside of the U.S.," notes Roach, "and when you consider that 19 of every 20 consumers live abroad, you want to be in U.S. companies that have a strategy to tap into growth overseas." In fact, he won't invest in a stock unless 20% of a company's revenues come from beyond U.S. borders. Studies show that consumption of Coke climbs when the revenues in a given country grow and citizens have more discretionary income Discretionary Income The amount of an individual's income available for spending after the essentials have been taken care of. Notes: Essentials are things like food, clothing, and shelter. to spend. In the U.S., the average person gulps down 363 bottles of Coke a year, a number that hasn't grown much over the last 10 years. Look overseas, however, and Coke figures to be on an upward march: in Japan, the figure hovers around 144; in India, about three. As for China, the average person downs a mere five bottles a year; but with 1 billion thirsts to quench quench, v to cool a hot object rapidly by plunging it into water or oil. quench to put out, extinguish, or suppress; to cool (as hot metal) by immersing in water. , all indications are that figure should skyrocket. Foreign fortunes draw Roach to big multinational names that have spent years mining for revenues across the oceans. "We'll certainly buy into the big pretty companies like Procter & Gamble, Intel, Nike and Microsoft," he says, "and with the European economy starting to strengthen, we've been angling towards companies that stand to benefit from an upswing there." Globalt has posted an average annual gain of 18.77% since January 1, 1991, versus 17.37% for the S&P 500. The firm now manages over $900 million for 50 institutional clients. Roach also helps manage the Globalt Growth Fund (800-831-9922). The fund, which was launched a little over a year ago, has returned investors 19.09% as of March 31. Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO CSCO Cisco Systems Incorporated (stock symbol) CSCO Chief Supply Chain Officer ) leads Roach's list of long-term picks. "They are not only a leader in manufacturing the operating systems and infrastructure that help the Internet run, but they get approximately 40% of their revenues from overseas," he says. The company's earnings are projected to grow at 35% a year. A salesforce of more than 2 million representatives worldwide helps make Avon Products (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange : AVP AVP arginine vasopressin. ) a winner in Roach's eyes. "They operate in over 80 countries and have targeted developing regions like China, Russia and Latin America for growth," he says. "It's a strategy I like because as those economies prosper, people will spend more money to look good. And, Avon isn't just selling cosmetics, they're marketing jewelry as well." Citicorp (NYSE: CCI CCI Chambre de Commerce et d'Industrie (France) CCI CAM (Complementary and Alternative Medicine) Citation Index CCI Chamber of Commerce and Industry (Western Australia) ) is striving to conquer the world. "They're aiming to be the local bank in every spot they do business," Roach says. Citicorp, with 54% of revenues coming from overseas, has spread its reach near and wide, 14% of sales coming from Asia, 19% from Europe, 13% from Latin America, 4% from the Middle East and Africa, 2% from Japan and 2% from Canada. "That should keep their growth rate up around 15%, which is a bargain considering that their price-to-earnings ratio is just 13.8." A maker of cardiovascular devices, Guidant Corp. (NYSE: GDT GDT Global Descriptor Table GDT Geographic Data Technology Inc. GDT Gas Discharge Tube (energy, electrotechinical and electronics) GDT Getting Things Done GDT Geometric Dimensioning & Tolerancing GDT Ground Data Terminal ) now has operations in 60 countries, with 32% of its revenues coming from abroad. "Ever since Eli Lilly spun off the company, management has been working to increase sales overseas." His final pick, Pioneer Hi Bred (NYSE: PHB), is not only a leading U.S. seed producer but a major player in the development of microorganisms to help make staple crops such as corn, sorghum sorghum, tall, coarse annual (Sorghum vulgare) of the family Gramineae (grass family), somewhat similar in appearance to corn (but having the grain in a panicle rather than an ear) and used for much the same purposes. and sunflowers as well as livestock hardier. With 36% of Pioneer's revenues coming from overseas, Roach foresees earnings growth of 18% for the next five years. |
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