Aquamarine Capital Believes Buyout of Everlast at $26.50 is under-Priced - Fair Value in Excess of $50 Per Share.NEW YORK New York, state, United States New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of -- On Friday, June 1st, Everlast Worldwide Inc. (NasdaqNM, EVST EVST Environmental Studies EVST Ex-Vessel Storage Tank ) announced an agreement to be acquired by The Hidary Group for $26.50 per share. This represents a modest premium of 14% to the prior closing price and a total value of $146 million. While we commend management (in particular Seth Horowitz, CEO (1) (Chief Executive Officer) The highest individual in command of an organization. Typically the president of the company, the CEO reports to the Chairman of the Board. ) for an exceptional job of resurrecting Everlast over the past several years, we believe this offer significantly undervalues both the brand and the company. As current shareholders who have so far accumulated 2.3% of the company, we intend to vote against the takeover proposal. The Everlast brand is over 90-years old and is by far the dominant global brand in the sport of boxing. It has been worn by famous boxing personalities such as Muhammad Ali (Cassius Clay), Mike Tyson and Jack Dempsey. The brand has been worn in blockbuster films by famous award winning actors such as Sylvester Stallone in "Rocky" (1976), Russell Crowe in "Cinderella Man" (2005) and Hillary Swank in "Million Dollar Baby" (2004) as well as having been featured in the HBO Hyperbaric oxygen therapy (HBO) A form of oxygen therapy in which the patient breathes oxygen in a pressurized chamber. Mentioned in: Ozone Therapy television series "the Contender". With such a remarkable heritage and extensive media exposure, Everlast is perhaps the only company we know of that can successfully compete with global juggernauts such as Nike (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange , NKE NKE Nike, Inc. (stock symbol) NKE National Knowledge Exam (Canada) NKE NK2 Homeobox Factor-Binding Element NKE Northwest Kodály Educators NKE Network Kernel Extension ), Adidas (Deutsche Boerse, ADI,) and Puma (Deutsche Boerse, PUM PUM Peanut-reactive Urinary Mucin PUM Personal User Mobility PUM Potenziali di Unità Motoria (Italy) PUM Programmable User Mode PUM Power up Mode PUM Pop up Menu PUM Product Unit Manager PUM Projected Residential Space .) The $26.50 takeover price equates to less than 12x FY 2007 EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) A metric used to show a company's profitability, but not its cash flow. EBITDA became popular in the 1980s to show the potential profitability of leveraged buyouts, but has become guidance. Given management's recent history of conservative guidance, coupled with the buyer being closely associated with a current Everlast licensee, we believe that recent guidance will likely prove conservative, bringing the multiple closer to 10x if not lower. Other fast-growing athletic and performance oriented consumer brands with lesser brand recognition, are valued at multiples which are 2x-3x greater. Assuming $15mm in EBITDA generation by 2008 (an arguably conservative estimate), a $50 share price for Everlast would equate to 18x EBITDA. Furthermore, $50/share represents a 30%-40% discount to the current value of comparables companies like Under Armor (UA, NYSE, $47.68, 31x EV/EBIDA), and would come much closer to representing fair value for current shareholders, in our view. At this morning's annual meeting, Everlast disclosed a 30-day "go shop" period in which the board will evaluate competing bids for the company. We mention this because this information was not included in this morning's press release, which could lead current investors to conclude that the $26.50 offer is final. Given the disparity between the offer price and our view of fair value for this company, we would be surprised if superior bids do not arise. |
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