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Aon and Impact Forecasting Announce First Multi-Line Risk Analyses: Life, Accident, Property Terrorism and Earthquake Catastrophe.


Business Editors

CHICAGO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--March 11, 2003

Aon Corporation's (NYSE NYSE

See: New York Stock Exchange
:AOC AOC,
n an acronym for the Aromatherapy Organizations Council.
) subsidiary, Aon Re Inc., announced today that in conjunction with its catastrophe modeling
This article refers to the use of computers to estimate losses caused by disasters. For other meanings of the word catastrophe, including catastrophe theory in mathematics, see catastrophe (disambiguation).
 unit, Impact Forecasting, it has recently completed the first probabilistic (probability) probabilistic - Relating to, or governed by, probability. The behaviour of a probabilistic system cannot be predicted exactly but the probability of certain behaviours is known. Such systems may be simulated using pseudorandom numbers.  catastrophe risk analysis of a combined portfolio of life, accident, and property risks for a major insurer. The analysis also included an evaluation of the risk to property investments made by the insurer within its investment portfolio.

"The Impact Forecasting model helped our client evaluate the terrorism risk that exists on both sides of the balance sheet," said Roger Smith, managing director of Aon Re's Accident & Health Reinsurance The contract made between an insurance company and a third party to protect the insurance company from losses. The contract provides for the third party to pay for the loss sustained by the insurance company when the company makes a payment on the original contract.  Practice. "Many client companies are looking at their catastrophe exposures at a corporate level as well as a profit center level."

Smith added, "Since completing the first analysis of life and accident risk in the first quarter of 2002, we have worked with Impact Forecasting to customize its model to address the specific needs of life and accident insurers."

In the life, accident and health field, Aon Re and Impact Forecasting have completed studies of risk concentration from loss of life and injury as a result of natural perils and terrorism. "Being excluded to date from the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act The Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA) is a United States federal law signed into law by President George W. Bush on November 26, 2002. The Act created a federal "backstop" for insurance claims related to acts of terrorism.  leaves the life insurance community saddled with considerable potential exposure," Smith said. "Our clients have found our modeling capabilities invaluable in evaluating their respective exposures and driving risk management and reinsurance solutions."

Aon Re and Impact Forecasting have also completed over 60 studies of terrorism and earthquake risk on both workers compensation and property portfolios.

Aon Re views catastrophe modeling as an integral function within its consultative approach to reinsurance. Aon Re uses a multi-model approach, providing clients with a full range of outcomes from accepted market practitioners for each line of business where available.

About Aon

Aon Corporation is a holding company that is comprised of a family of insurance brokerage, consulting, and insurance underwriting subsidiaries.

Aon Re Inc. is part of Aon Re Worldwide and provides traditional, alternative risk transfer and capital markets based reinsurance advisory and execution services to insurers and reinsurers. Aon Re Worldwide's client advisory services advisory services

advisory services provided to the public, in their capacity as owners and managers of animals, are an important part of veterinary science. They may be provided by government bureaux, by commercial companies who deal in pharmaceuticals or animals or animal
 include, dynamic financial analysis, rating agency capital modeling assistance, capital allocation and optimization services, catastrophe modeling services, regulatory assistance, tax planning Tax planning

Devising strategies throughout the year in order to minimize tax liability, for example, by choosing a tax filing status that is most beneficial to the taxpayer.
 and capital markets structuring and placement services.

This press release may contain certain statements relating to relating to relate prepconcernant

relating to relate prepbezüglich +gen, mit Bezug auf +acc 
 future results, which are forward-looking statements forward-looking statement

A projected financial statement based on management expectations. A forward-looking statement involves risks with regard to the accuracy of assumptions underlying the projections.
 as that term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (PSLRA) implemented several significant substantive changes affecting certain cases brought under the federal securities laws, including changes related to pleading, discovery, liability, class representation and awards fees and  of 1995. These forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from either historical or anticipated results, depending on a variety of factors. Potential factors that could impact results include the general economic conditions in different countries around the world, fluctuations in global equity and fixed income markets, exchange rates, rating agency actions, pension funding, changes in commercial property and casualty markets and commercial premium rates, the competitive environment, the actual cost of resolution of contingent liabilities and other loss contingencies, the ultimate impact of the business transformation plan, and the timing and resolution of related insurance and reinsurance issues relating to the events of September 11, 2001. Further information concerning the Company and its business, including factors that potentially could materially affect the Company's financial results, are contained in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
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Copyright 2003, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Geographic Code:1USA
Date:Mar 11, 2003
Words:558
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