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Aon Study: Homeowners ROE Still Improving but at Slower Rate.


Business Editors

CHICAGO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Oct. 28, 2003

Aon (NYSE NYSE

See: New York Stock Exchange
:AOC AOC,
n an acronym for the Aromatherapy Organizations Council.
) announced today the results of Aon Re Worldwide's second follow-up study of return on capital in the U.S. Homeowners insurance marketplace. The results of the study reveal further improvement in expected return Expected Return

The average of a probability distribution of possible returns, calculated by using the following formula:
, although the rate of improvement has slowed. The Homeowners insurance line continues to produce a prospective return on equity (ROE) that is substantially less than its cost of capital.

The findings of the update indicate that the Homeowners insurance industry is estimated to have increased its rates by 4.8% in the first half of 2003, vs. 7.8% in the prior six months. The average increase for new rate filings in the last six months was 11.1%, vs. 12.5% in the prior six months. Based on filings through June/July 2003, the estimated prospective ROE for Homeowners lines is 6.3% compared to six months ago when the expected return was 5.9%. A year ago the expected return was 4.8%. This update for the first time includes rate filing information for the state of Texas, and takes into consideration rate reductions recently ordered in that state.

This study by Aon Re is the third in a series to provide an update on the economic status of the market given the history of inadequate or negative returns experienced by many Homeowners insurance providers, and the challenges faced by companies in order to continue to provide this coverage. The study provides a prospective look taking into consideration changes that have been filed, and is adaptable to assess prospective return on capital for individual companies. The study shows that the outlook for Homeowners insurers is improving, but further actions to improve underwriting results and management of capital are needed. Aon offers a suite of tools to help insurers cope with the complex operational and financial issues that are now associated with the Homeowners line.

The analysis involved with this comprehensive study includes the rate filings of the top five Homeowners insurers in each state for the states that represent 80% of the U.S. population. Aon plans to continue annual updates of the study hereafter In the future.

The term hereafter is always used to indicate a future time—to the exclusion of both the past and present—in legal documents, statutes, and other similar papers.
.

Aon Re Worldwide provides traditional, alternative risk transfer and capital markets based reinsurance The contract made between an insurance company and a third party to protect the insurance company from losses. The contract provides for the third party to pay for the loss sustained by the insurance company when the company makes a payment on the original contract.  advisory and execution services to insurers and reinsurers. Aon Re Worldwide's client advisory services advisory services

advisory services provided to the public, in their capacity as owners and managers of animals, are an important part of veterinary science. They may be provided by government bureaux, by commercial companies who deal in pharmaceuticals or animals or animal
 include dynamic financial analysis, rating agency capital modeling assistance, capital allocation and optimization services, catastrophe modeling
This article refers to the use of computers to estimate losses caused by disasters. For other meanings of the word catastrophe, including catastrophe theory in mathematics, see catastrophe (disambiguation).
 services, regulatory assistance, tax analysis and capital markets structuring, and placement services. Aon does not underwrite Homeowners insurance business.

Aon Corporation (www.aon.com) is a holding company that is comprised of a family of insurance brokerage, consulting and insurance underwriting subsidiaries.

This press release may contain certain statements relating to relating to relate prepconcernant

relating to relate prepbezüglich +gen, mit Bezug auf +acc 
 future results, which are forward-looking statements forward-looking statement

A projected financial statement based on management expectations. A forward-looking statement involves risks with regard to the accuracy of assumptions underlying the projections.
 as that term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (PSLRA) implemented several significant substantive changes affecting certain cases brought under the federal securities laws, including changes related to pleading, discovery, liability, class representation and awards fees and  of 1995. These forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from either historical or anticipated results, depending on a variety of factors. Potential factors that could impact results include the general economic conditions in different countries around the world, fluctuations in global equity and fixed income markets, exchange rates, rating agency actions, pension funding, changes in commercial property and casualty markets and commercial premium rates, the competitive environment, the actual cost of resolution of contingent liabilities Contingent Liability

1. The possibility of an obligation to pay certain sums dependent on future events.

2. Defined obligations by a company that must be met, but the probability of payment is minimal.

Notes:
1.
 and other loss contingencies, the ultimate impact of the business transformation plan, and the timing and resolution of related insurance and reinsurance issues relating to the events of September 11, 2001.

Further information concerning the Company and its business, including factors that potentially could materially affect the Company's financial results, are contained in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
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No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2003, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Oct 28, 2003
Words:621
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