Analysis the Prophet way. (TSM Notes).

Prophet is the U.S. Army's next generation, multispectrum, multi-discipline collection, jamming, processing, and reporting system. The Prophet system will be modular, scalable, deployable, and tailorable to address the full range of conflict required of the U.S. Army.

The initial version is the high-mobility multipurpose wheeled vehicle (HMMWV)-mounted Prophet system. Prophet also has a dismounted manpack capability, which is uniquely suitable for airborne insertion and early entry into the battlespace. Prophet's primary mission will be to provide around-the-clock, all weather, enhanced situational awareness and situational understanding to maneuver commanders in near-real time (NRT). It will do this through the detection, collection, and exploitation of radiofrequency (RF) emissions (Blocks I through V), as well as collected signatures and measurement data (Blocks IV and V). Prophet's secondary mission will be to provide an array of nonlethal technology (Blocks II, IV, and V), which will be able to interrupt, spoof, disrupt, or disable select target command and control (C2) nodes.

Prophet will consist of ground RF and measurement collection platforms that operate in direct support of the maneuver unit. The system will provide "niche" sensor coverage to support full-spectrum operations. Prophets "niche" coverage will provide reinforcing and NRT intelligence to tactical maneuver commanders under a variety of deployed configurations (division, brigade, regiment, task force, etc.). This intelligence will provide--

* Perceptive environmental surveys.

* Indications and warning.

* Location, tracking, and identification of hostile forces and equipment.

* Determination of enemy plans and intentions.

It will also serve to cross-cue other battlefield sensors (e.g., Tactical Unmanned Aerial Vehicle [TUAV], the Future Combat System of Systems [FCSS], and Firefinder radars), as well as to provide amplifying data to confirm indications and collection from other battlefield sensors.

Prophet disseminates intelligence information on the battlefield through a Prophet control (PC) element collocated with the brigade tactical operations center (TOC). PCs will perform emitter mapping and nodal analysis on Prophet-derived intelligence, and then forward timely and accurate targeting information, intelligence products, and predictions on probable enemy courses of action to the brigade commander. The Prophet control element will provide reports to higher echelons using standard, digital reporting formats and voice reporting functionality. Envisioned to operate at the Secret collateral level only, PC will provide [C.sup.2] and technical steerage to Prophet systems and receive situational updates and supplementary tasking from higher echelons. We will field each set of Prophets with a PC operated by four soldiers: two signals intelligence (SIGINT) Analysts (military occupational specialty [MOS] 98C) and two Communications Intercept/Locators (MOS 98H).

Since the Prophet program design is for a five-block, acquisition strategy program, PC will include follow-on block preplanned product improvements ([P.sup.3]Ls) over the next five years. The initial phase PC will only consist of automation and communications equipment. Two All-Source Analysis System-Light (ASAS-L) workstations will complement the PC. ASAS-L workstations connected through a local-area network (LAN) will provide a distributed processing environment for accessing and managing intelligence data and information. These workstations will host a core set of common applications, services, and tools that appropriate intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) sensor planning, management, and presentation software can augment or update. This software tool set will--

* Enable analysts to research and determine traffic densities and network structures.

* Locate emitters.

* Display historical trends in electronic order of battle (EOB).

* Produce tactical, multiple intelligence discipline ("multi-INT") reports.

These tools will also assist the operator in interrogation and the retrieval, processing, and correlation of intelligence information from multi-INT databases. Operators will use these workstations to receive and process Prophet's digital intelligence reports and to provide technical tasking.

As we add the [P.sup.3]L upgrades, PC will migrate into a multi-INT processing role and possess the capability to conduct operations mounted onboard a single vehicle. The PC vehicle will have a small but capable analysis, control, and technical steerage ability. This capability will permit system operators to receive large amounts of incoming data-- such as lines-of-bearing (LOBs) and measurement and signature data from seismic, acoustic, or infrared sensors--and efficiently fuse this data with non-Prophet sensor data, such as moving target indicator data from the Joint Surveillance Target Attack Radar System (Joint STARS). Prophet analysts will be able to convert the "blobology" of undefined data intersects into solid identifications, verified by fusing target matches in and across several databases.

The PC will have an on-the-move (OTM) capability that gives the tactical commander the flexibility to monitor new developments during highly fluid operations and while re-deploying a TOC. Objectively, the PC element will also serve as the exfiltration node for remoting selected voice-grade channels to higher echelons for further exploitation. Remoting is essential to extend collection baselines to maximize collection, exploitation, and lethality.

The PC element will be capable of digitally interfacing with the supported division well as the tactical warfighter "at the point of the spear." The Army will upgrade PC's workstations to be interoperable (information exchange) with the Army Battle Command System (ABCS) suite and the Global Command and Control System (GOCS) baselines. As the extended battlespace grows and the speed of operations increases, PC will be able to provide for the rapid processing, analysis, and throughput of ISR information. PC's primary interface will be the signals and signatures enclaves of the Division Common Ground Station-Army (DCGS-A). At the brigade level, PC will preprocess Prophet-derived intelligence for subsequent digital injection into the supported battle command system enroute to the applicable DCGS-A enclave. PC workstations will interface with automated [C.sup.2] and intelligence processing systems over various battlefield communications systems. These communications are vital to the exchange of information with ot her Prophet systems, brigade operational and intelligence elements, ISR integration cells, and applicable DCGS-A. We will accomplish all multi-sensor (SIGINT and measurement and signature intelligence [MASINT]) tasking, reporting, cross-correlation of databases, algorithm updates, and remoting of signals within this framework.

Additionally, [P.sup.3] I will include a PC element with the ability to receive collateral Integrated Broadcast System (IBS) data digitally, as well as the ability to inject Prophet-derived intelligence data and reports into lBS. Increasing the commander's ability to leverage and cross-cue available sensors, PC's ability to transmit reports enables the sharing of Prophet-derived data with other ISR assets operating in theater, thus enhancing the supported commander's overall operational effectiveness.

Maneuver commanders on the high-speed battlefield of today require the capability to respond rapidly to changing operational scenarios that PC and the Prophet suite of systems provide. PC will be the critical link between Prophet, its supported commander, and higher echelons. The PC element's ability to process, correlate, fuse, and display Prophet-derived intelligence data will meet these demands and will ensure the lethality and survivability of U.S. forces in the field.

Colonel Kevin Peterson is the U.S. Army Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC) System Manager-Prophet (TSM Prophet) at the U.S. Army Intelligence Center and Fort Huachuca (USAIC&FH). Readers may contact him via E-mail at kevin.peterson@ hua.army.mil and telephonically at [phone] or DSN 821-5579. You may also contact the Deputy TSM, Major Mark Oleksiak, at [e-mail].