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Amend: Fitch: PMI Facing Higher Losses & Less Liquidity; IFS Downgraded to 'BB'.


NEW YORK New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
 -- (This amends a press release published earlier today and contains details on the information Fitch used in coming to its rating conclusions in the last paragraph.)

Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings

An international rating agency for financial institutions, insurance companies, and corporate, sovereign, and municipal debt. Fitch Ratings has headquarters in New York and London and is wholly owned by FIMALAC of Paris.
 has downgraded and removed the ratings of The PMI Group The PMI Group (NYSE: PMI) is a provider of credit enhancement products that promote homeownership and the provision of services essential to the building of strong communities. , Inc. (TPG TPG Texas Pacific Group
TPG Tapping
TPG Transports Publics Genevois (Geneva, Switzerland public transportation)
TPG Test Pattern Generator
TPG TNT Post Group
TPG Trésorier Payeur Général
) and subsidiaries (collectively, PMI See Private Mortgage Insurance. ) from Rating Watch Negative. The Rating Outlook is Negative. A list of affected ratings follows the end of this press release.

Today's rating actions reflect the loss expectations and capital constraints facing PMI as an independent mortgage insurance (MI) company. PMI has extremely limited access to the capital markets and, as a result, will largely have to rely on current capital resources to satisfy ongoing MI claims. PMI's rating reflects the company's limited capital resources in comparison to Fitch's expectations of continued losses and the risk profile of PMI's insured exposures relative to its peers. Fitch is concerned that PMI's earnings profile may exhibit greater than industry average volatility given PMI's relatively larger exposure to stressed regions, such as California and Florida, and Alt-A mortgages on the 2007 and prior vintages, a significant portion of which has yet to experience its peak loss years based on historical mortgage collateral loss development patterns.

Recently, TPG announced it had secured a temporary amendment to its $250 million credit facility, effective March 15, 2009 and expiring April 15, 2009, during which time the Company is seeking to negotiate a more permanent amendment to its credit facility. During the temporary amendment period, the minimum adjusted consolidated net worth covenant has been reduced to $1.2 billion from $1.5 billion and the maximum risk to capital ratio covenant has been increased to 24:1 from 20:1. In addition, the financial strength ratings event of default has been suspended. At year-end 2008, the risk to capital ratio for PMI was 18.5:1 compared to 10.8:1 at the end of 2007, and it is likely the company was close to breaching this leverage covenant.

The current amount drawn under the credit facility is $200 million, compared with approximately $236 million of cash on hand. In the event that TPG is unable to successfully restructure the bank facility and is forced to repay the $200 million outstanding, it would be left with approximately $36 million with which to fund interest payments of approximately $29 million per annum Per annum

Yearly.
 on its outstanding senior and junior notes, as well as fund any operating expenses Operating expenses

The amount paid for asset maintenance or the cost of doing business, excluding depreciation. Earnings are distributed after operating expenses are deducted.
 (The approximated $36 million does not include the impact of a tax sharing arrangement TPG has with PMI US which may provide TPG with additional liquidity).

A default under the bank facility would lead to an acceleration of the outstanding $400 million of senior notes, causing them to become due and payable as well. In that event, the Company would not have sufficient liquidity to repay all of those obligations. In Fitch's opinion, a deferral deferral - Waiting for quiet on the Ethernet.  of interest on the junior notes, while not announced by the Company, is increasingly likely as the Company seeks to maintain liquidity and negotiate a more permanent amendment to its credit facility. Fitch notes that the interest savings of such a deferral would be minimal.

The MI industry faces continuing challenges, including rising unemployment, home price depreciation and limited access to refinancing Refinancing

An extension and/or increase in amount of existing debt.
 options for homeowners which in turn have contributed to rising delinquencies and losses within insured portfolios. Fitch expects that the MI industry will continue to face a challenging operating environment In computing, an operating environment is the environment in which users run programs, whether in a command line interface, such as in MS-DOS or the Unix shell, or in a graphical user interface, such as in the Macintosh operating system.  for the foreseeable future. Positively, Fitch recognizes the possibility of a stabilizing impact from the various initiatives by the U.S. government to reduce stresses in the U.S. housing market, however the timing and impact of any such initiatives remains uncertain.

For its current action, Fitch relied on public information on TPG and its subsidiaries as well as certain non-public information previously received from TPG regarding its mortgage insurance portfolio. However, Fitch no longer regularly meets with TPG management, nor does it receive non-public information from the company on an ongoing basis.

Fitch has downgraded the following ratings:

PMI Mortgage Insurance Co.

PMI Insurance Co.

PMI Mortgage Insurance Company Limited

--IFS to 'BB' from 'BBB+'.

The PMI Group Inc.

--Long-term issuer to 'CCC' from 'BB';

--$250 million 6% senior notes due Sept. 15, 2016 to 'CCC' from 'BB';

--$150 million 6.625% senior notes due Sept. 15, 2036 to 'CCC' from 'BB'.

PMI Capital I

--$51.593 million 8.309% junior subordinated debentures subordinated debenture

An unsecured bond with a claim to assets that is subordinate to all existing and future debt. Thus, in the event that the issuer encounters financial difficulties and must be liquidated, all other claims must be satisfied before
 due Feb. 1, 2027 to 'CC' from 'BB-'.

Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use Terms of Use are rules set up by the owner of an intellectual property or service to govern how they may be legally used.

In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide.
 of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental  are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site.
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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Mar 19, 2009
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