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All eyes on Latin America.


Though Latin America is reeling in the wake of the Mexican debt crisis, the political situation provides cause for optimism. In democratic elections, countries have voiced support for moderate leadership and opted to continue the economic remodeling remodeling /re·mod·el·ing/ (re-mod´el-ing) reorganization or renovation of an old structure.

bone remodeling
 begun in the 1980s. Radical populism and state-oriented military governments appear to be history. Confounding pessimists, the social costs of economic change have prompted neither a rejection of democracy nor the return of extremist politicians.

Overall, the direction is clear: In Mexico, Brazil, Colombia, Argentina, and Chile, liberalization lib·er·al·ize  
v. lib·er·al·ized, lib·er·al·iz·ing, lib·er·al·iz·es

v.tr.
To make liberal or more liberal: "Our standards of private conduct have been greatly liberalized . . .
 and privatization are combining to create attractive new business opportunities. Pragmatic decision makers continue to seek ways to attract new investment. Governments have spent heavily on social programs, leveraging them to offset the economic dislocation of reform. Except in laggard Venezuela, the approach is working to ensure stability.

In Colombia, the government of President Ernesto Samper will push for investment in housing, health, and primary education. Samper will be aided by the oil bonanza he inherits from the Cusiana oil field on the edge of the Eastern Cordillera cor·dil·le·ra  
n.
An extensive chain of mountains or mountain ranges, especially the principal mountain system of a continent.



[Spanish, from cordilla, diminutive of cuerda, cord
 hills. By 1998, Colombia's oil exports could be worth $4.5 billion a year - several times that of coffee.

Colombia is privatizing its seaports and six busiest airfields. It is negotiating contracts with private companies for the construction and operation of $3 billion in power plants and $1.5 billion in highways. Some of their toll roads will be built by Mexican, Spanish, Italian, and Brazilian companies.

Brazil's President Fernando Henrique Cardoso Fernando Henrique Cardoso, pron. IPA: [fex'nãdu ẽ'xiki kax'dozu], (born June 18, 1931) - also known by his initials FHC  seeks to distribute resources more effectively and streamline the delivery of services. He plans to unveil a four-year, $100 billion infrastructure program, half of which will be privately financed. He also hopes Brazil's Congress will approve a concessions bill, intended to speed foreign investment in electricity generation.

Brazil's steel industry, the biggest in Latin America, has doubled in productivity since 1990, attaining annual production per worker close to Japanese levels. At Caterpillar's subsidiary, a $300 million investment has cut the assembly time for a tractor to just three days. Mexico, the biggest market for U.S. goods south of the border, continues to attract attention. Despite the headlines created by the incident in Chiapas and the assassination Assassination
See also Murder.

assassins

Fanatical Moslem sect that smoked hashish and murdered Crusaders (11th—12th centuries). [Islamic Hist.: Brewer Note-Book, 52]

Brutus

conspirator and assassin of Julius Caesar. [Br.
 of the PRI's presidential candidate, political risk remains low. One reason: President Ernesto Zedillo supports social investment policies launched by former President Carlos Salinas de Gortari Salinas de Gortari can refer to:
  • Carlos Salinas de Gortari, former President of Mexico
  • Raúl Salinas de Gortari, his brother, a notorious businessman
. One of these, the Solidarity program, emphasizes grass-roots investment, empowering rural areas to participate in community planning. While the recent devaluation devaluation, decreasing the value of one nation's currency relative to gold or the currencies of other nations. It is usually undertaken as a means of correcting a deficit in the balance of payments.  of the peso sent shock waves through global financial markets and neighboring economies, the long-run benefits may offset the initial jolt if President Zedillo remains committed to fiscal austerity. Interestingly, the debt crisis may accelerate privatization in Mexico as the country's leaders seek strategies to attract additional investment. In a future issue, "Market Horizons" will focus exclusively on problems in the Mexican market.

Across the region, the roster of projects and investments continues to grow. Last August, the United States Overseas Private Investment Corp. announced it would provide Tenneco with $200 million in financing and $200 million in insurance for the construction of a gas pipeline between Argentina and Chile in 1995. As regional integration proceeds apace, Brahma S.A., Brazil's biggest brewer, has purchased large breweries in Argentina and Brazil to become the major player in those markets. GM plans to invest $500 million to build a third plant in Brazil.

In addition to all of their national efforts, many Latin American countries also have spurred economic growth by forging cross-border agreements. In 1991, Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay formed the free-trade bloc Mercosur; Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, and Venezuela banded together, signing the comparable Andean Pact Andean Pact

A regional trade pact that includes Venezuela, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, and Bolivia.
. The benefits to member countries have enhanced the optimism - surrounding and opportunities for - outside investment. Ultimately, these miniblocs may converge with other regional trading zones, such as that represented by NAFTA NAFTA
 in full North American Free Trade Agreement

Trade pact signed by Canada, the U.S., and Mexico in 1992, which took effect in 1994. Inspired by the success of the European Community in reducing trade barriers among its members, NAFTA created the world's
. In fact, NAFTA participants recently announced plans to expand the agreement to all countries in the hemisphere within the decade.

Democratic leaders continue to make tough economic decisions. Old models are discredited. Politicians are taking steps to ensure that the needs of the economically disadvantaged are being addressed. Taken as a whole, for both new and old investors, this is the best news to emerge from the region in decades.

Riordan Roett is the senior political analyst on international capital markets at Chase Manhattan Bank The Chase Manhattan Bank, now part of JPMorgan Chase, was formed by the merger of the Chase National Bank and the Bank of the Manhattan Company in 1955. The bank is headquartered in New York City.  in New York New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
 and director of the Latin American Studies Latin American Studies (sometimes abbreviated LAS) is an academic discipline which studies the history and experience of peoples and cultures in the Americas. Definition  Program at the School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University Johns Hopkins University, mainly at Baltimore, Md. Johns Hopkins in 1867 had a group of his associates incorporated as the trustees of a university and a hospital, endowing each with $3.5 million. Daniel C. , in Washington.
COPYRIGHT 1995 Chief Executive Publishing
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 1995, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Title Annotation:Market Horizons
Author:Roett, Riordan
Publication:Chief Executive (U.S.)
Date:Jan 1, 1995
Words:745
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