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Air force print news (Oct. 5, 2005): capability assessment helps af prepare for future.


WASHINGTON -- Air Force leaders use a future capabilities assessment to assist in planning for 2025 and beyond.

More than 100 participants from the Air Force's planning, operations research operations research

Application of scientific methods to management and administration of military, government, commercial, and industrial systems. It began during World War II in Britain when teams of scientists worked with the Royal Air Force to improve radar detection of
, and development communities gathered Oct. 4 in Herndon, Va., to play out scenarios that may threaten the United States United States, officially United States of America, republic (2005 est. pop. 295,734,000), 3,539,227 sq mi (9,166,598 sq km), North America. The United States is the world's third largest country in population and the fourth largest country in area.  in years to come.

Together, those leaders discussed how the Air Force of the future will defend America against threats with the tools it has now. They also discussed what new tools the Air Force will need to fight future threats, said Col. Gail Wojtowicz, division chief for future concepts and transformation of the Air Force plans and programs directorate.

"We are looking at the 2025 time frame and asking what does the Air Force look like 20 years from now," she said. "In the next 20 years, we don't know Don't know (DK, DKed)

"Don't know the trade." A Street expression used whenever one party lacks knowledge of a trade or receives conflicting instructions from the other party.
 exactly what it is we will be doing, but we know there are some challenges that we will have to focus on fixing."

This year, those gathered at the assessment focused on two key areas the Air Force believes it can improve: long-range strike capabilities and persistent intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance An activity that synchronizes and integrates the planning and operation of sensors, assets, and processing, exploitation, and dissemination systems in direct support of current and future operations. This is an integrated intelligence and operations function. Also called ISR. .

Long-range strike capability is the ability to reach out across the globe and hit a target. That could mean a gravity weapon used by today's aircraft, or it could mean use of a space weapon 25 years from now.

"Long-range strike is the key to everything for us," Wojtowicz said. "We don't do it as well as we'd like, but we do it better than everybody on the globe. If I want to do long-range strike against country X, today it may be a B-2 [Spirit] delivering a gravity weapon. Twenty years TWENTY YEARS. The lapse of twenty years raises a presumption of certain facts, and after such a time, the party against whom the presumption has been raised, will be required to prove a negative to establish his rights.
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 from now it may be a space weapon. So I am calling space command, and they are going to go ahead and put hardware on targets. Our challenge is we need to reach across different stovepipes in the Air Force."

Wojtowicz also said long-range strike could mean a computer attack on an enemy's command and control networks, or use of a high-powered microwave for the purpose of disrupting network systems.

Persistent intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance is the ability to monitor an enemy 24 hours a day with an unblinking eye. It is a capability the Air Force is going to need in the future and something discussed at the assessment.

"You are going to have to be able to stare in order to find the things we are looking for Looking for

In the context of general equities, this describing a buy interest in which a dealer is asked to offer stock, often involving a capital commitment. Antithesis of in touch with.
," Wojtowicz said. "If you can't find where the nuclear weapons are, if you don't have the eyes to do that, there is no way you can affect it later on."

During the assessment, participants were given scenarios to play out that involve finding nuclear weapons inside enemy territory. Persistent ISR (Interrupt Service Routine) Software routine that is executed in response to an interrupt.  may be one capability they discover they will need to locate that weapon.

Today, the Air Force has not fully developed persistent ISR that allows it to look deep inside enemy territory. Unmanned aerial vehicles

Main article: Unmanned aerial vehicle
The following is a list of Unmanned aerial vehicles developed and operated by various countries around the world. Listed with primary mission(s) and year of first flight.
 that fly along a nation's borders cannot peer deep enough inside to see what the Air Force needs to see. In space, orbiting satellites' revisit rate is not enough to provide persistent ISR, and there are places where satellites cannot operate in a geosynchronous Aligned with the earth's rotational speed. Refers to satellites that travel at the same speed as the earth, but may not always be at the same distance from the earth. See geostationary.  orbit.

One solution to providing persistent ISR includes balloons floating in "near space," an area about 18 miles above the surface. That is significantly higher than where a UAV UAV Unmanned Aerial Vehicle
UAV Unmanned Air Vehicle
UAV Unmanned Aerospace Vehicle
UAV Unmanned Airborne Vehicle
UAV Uninhabited Air Vehicle
UAV Urban Assault Vehicle
UAV Unpiloted Aerial Vehicle (less common) 
 may fly, but not as high as a satellite.

"Currently what we have is weather balloons," Wojtowicz said. "You have things that look down [with] cameras or we can use them as a communications relay point. Something that high up gives you an incredible amount of range that you can see."

In the past, the future's capability assessment has been called a "war game." Today, it is more of a guided strategic discussion about the Air Force's future capabilities. Participants are challenged with any number of future wartime scenarios and will be called upon to find solutions to those scenarios.

"These are challenges we have to have our senior leaders address today, so we have the tools to affect these things "These Things" is an EP by She Wants Revenge, released in 2005 by Perfect Kiss, a subsidiary of Geffen Records. Music Video
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 20 years down the road," Wojtowicz said.

Staff Sgt. C. Todd Lopez, USAF
COPYRIGHT 2006 Defense Acquisition University Press
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2006, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Author:Lopez, C. Todd
Publication:Defense AT & L
Geographic Code:1USA
Date:Jan 1, 2006
Words:703
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